ITALY SERIE A
--.--.---- --:--
Stadio Ettore Giardiniero - Via del Mare
Referee: L. Marinelli
Lecce
Match Timeline
Inter
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
6'
Event
🟨
16'
Event
VAR
26'
Event
39'
Event
57'
Event
61'
Event
🟨
82'
Event

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Lecce Win 0%
Draw 0%
Inter Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Lecce0.79
Inter2.21
Recent Form (Last 5)
Lecce Lecce
WWDLW
15 GF / 36 GA
Inter Inter
WLDWL
51 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
0.71
Average Goals Scored
2.55
1.71
Average Goals Conceded
0.9
8
BTTS Yes
10
9
Over 2.5
13
3.38
Shots on Goal
5.8

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Lecce Lecce 21 matches
Inter Inter 20 matches
Lecce Statistic Inter
5 Wins 14
5 Draws 5
11 Losses 1
15 Goals For 51
36 Goals Against 18
0.71 Avg Goals Scored 2.55
1.71 Avg Goals Conceded 0.9
8 BTTS Yes 10
13 Over 1.5 17
9 Over 2.5 13
6 Over 3.5 10
5 Clean Sheets 10
10 Failed To Score 0
3.38 Shots On Goal 5.8
11.67 Total Shots 15.9
3.67 Corners 6.2
43.8% Ball Possession 59.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Lecce won 1 times, Inter won 11 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:30 from Lecce's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Lecce 4-3-3 / Inter 3-5-2
H2H summary: Lecce wins 1, draws 2, Inter wins 11
Stats
Lecce Lecce
Inter Inter
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
8
Shots off Goal
1
Blocked Shots
5
Blocked Shots
3
7 Corner Kicks 0
13 Fouls 12
1 Offsides 4
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Goal 5
8 Shots off Goal 1
5 Blocked Shots 3
12 Shots insidebox 7
5 Shots outsidebox 2
1 Goalkeeper Saves 4
438 Total passes 462
377 Passes accurate 407
0.88 expected_goals 2.03
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥
Last matches: Lecce
23.08.26
Ser
Lecce
Venezia
2
0
W
17.08.26
Cop
Lecce
Palermo
0
2
L
09.08.26
Fri
Lecce
SS Monopoli
1
0
W
29.07.26
Fri
Lecce
Bistrica
5
2
W
25.07.26
Fri
Lecce
Istra 1961
2
2
D
22.07.26
Fri
Lecce
FC Politehnica Timisoara
0
1
L
19.07.26
Fri
Lecce
Szombathelyi Haladas
1
0
W
24.05.26
Ser
Lecce
Genoa
1
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
Lecce
Sassuolo
3
2
W
09.05.26
Ser
Lecce
Juventus
0
1
L
01.05.26
Ser
Lecce
Pisa
2
1
W
25.04.26
Ser
Lecce
Hellas Verona
0
0
D
20.04.26
Ser
Lecce
Fiorentina
1
1
D
12.04.26
Ser
Lecce
Bologna
0
2
L
06.04.26
Ser
Lecce
Atalanta
0
3
L
22.03.26
Ser
Lecce
AS Roma
0
1
L
14.03.26
Ser
Lecce
Napoli
1
2
L
08.03.26
Ser
Lecce
Cremonese
2
1
W
28.02.26
Ser
Lecce
Como
1
3
L
21.02.26
Ser
Lecce
Inter
0
2
L
Last matches: Inter
22.08.26
Ser
Inter
Monza
4
1
W
15.08.26
Fri
Inter
Real Betis
1
0
W
08.08.26
Fri
Inter
Juventus
2
1
W
05.08.26
Fri
Inter
AC Milan
1
1
D
01.08.26
Fri
Inter
Manchester City
1
1
D
26.07.26
Fri
Inter
Karlsruher SC
2
1
W
23.05.26
Ser
Inter
Bologna
3
3
D
17.05.26
Ser
Inter
Hellas Verona
1
1
D
13.05.26
Cop
Inter
Lazio
2
0
W
09.05.26
Ser
Inter
Lazio
3
0
W
03.05.26
Ser
Inter
Parma
2
0
W
26.04.26
Ser
Inter
Torino
2
2
D
21.04.26
Cop
Inter
Como
3
2
W
17.04.26
Ser
Inter
Cagliari
3
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
Inter
Como
4
3
W
05.04.26
Ser
Inter
AS Roma
5
2
W
22.03.26
Ser
Inter
Fiorentina
1
1
D
14.03.26
Ser
Inter
Atalanta
1
1
D
08.03.26
Ser
Inter
AC Milan
0
1
L
03.03.26
Cop
Inter
Como
0
0
D
H2H: Lecce vs Inter
21.02.26
H2H
Lecce
Inter
0
2
L
14.01.26
H2H
Inter
Lecce
1
0
L
26.01.25
H2H
Lecce
Inter
0
4
L
24.08.24
H2H
Inter
Lecce
2
0
L
25.02.24
H2H
Lecce
Inter
0
4
L
23.12.23
H2H
Inter
Lecce
2
0
L
05.03.23
H2H
Inter
Lecce
2
0
L
13.08.22
H2H
Lecce
Inter
1
2
L
19.01.20
H2H
Lecce
Inter
1
1
D
26.08.19
H2H
Inter
Lecce
4
0
L
29.01.12
H2H
Lecce
Inter
1
0
W
21.12.11
H2H
Inter
Lecce
4
1
L
20.03.11
H2H
Inter
Lecce
1
0
L
10.11.10
H2H
Lecce
Inter
1
1
D
Last matches: Lecce
09.08.26
Fri
Lecce
SS Monopoli
1
0
W
29.07.26
Fri
Lecce
Bistrica
5
2
W
25.07.26
Fri
Lecce
Istra 1961
2
2
D
22.07.26
Fri
Lecce
FC Politehnica Timisoara
0
1
L
24.05.26
Ser
Lecce
Genoa
1
0
W
09.05.26
Ser
Lecce
Juventus
0
1
L
20.04.26
Ser
Lecce
Fiorentina
1
1
D
06.04.26
Ser
Lecce
Atalanta
0
3
L
08.03.26
Ser
Lecce
Cremonese
2
1
W
21.02.26
Ser
Lecce
Inter
0
2
L
08.02.26
Ser
Lecce
Udinese
2
1
W
24.01.26
Ser
Lecce
Lazio
0
0
D
11.01.26
Ser
Lecce
Parma
1
2
L
06.01.26
Ser
Lecce
AS Roma
0
2
L
27.12.25
Ser
Lecce
Como
0
3
L
12.12.25
Ser
Lecce
Pisa
1
0
W
30.11.25
Ser
Lecce
Torino
2
1
W
08.11.25
Ser
Lecce
Hellas Verona
0
0
D
28.10.25
Ser
Lecce
Napoli
0
1
L
18.10.25
Ser
Lecce
Sassuolo
0
0
D
H2H at home: Lecce
21.02.26
H2H
Lecce
Inter
0
2
L
26.01.25
H2H
Lecce
Inter
0
4
L
25.02.24
H2H
Lecce
Inter
0
4
L
13.08.22
H2H
Lecce
Inter
1
2
L
19.01.20
H2H
Lecce
Inter
1
1
D
29.01.12
H2H
Lecce
Inter
1
0
W
10.11.10
H2H
Lecce
Inter
1
1
D
Last matches: Inter
08.08.26
Fri
Inter
Juventus
2
1
W
05.08.26
Fri
Inter
AC Milan
1
1
D
01.08.26
Fri
Inter
Manchester City
1
1
D
26.07.26
Fri
Inter
Karlsruher SC
2
1
W
23.05.26
Ser
Inter
Bologna
3
3
D
13.05.26
Cop
Inter
Lazio
2
0
W
09.05.26
Ser
Inter
Lazio
3
0
W
26.04.26
Ser
Inter
Torino
2
2
D
12.04.26
Ser
Inter
Como
4
3
W
22.03.26
Ser
Inter
Fiorentina
1
1
D
08.03.26
Ser
Inter
AC Milan
0
1
L
03.03.26
Cop
Inter
Como
0
0
D
21.02.26
Ser
Inter
Lecce
2
0
W
18.02.26
UEF
Inter
Bodo/Glimt
1
3
L
08.02.26
Ser
Inter
Sassuolo
5
0
W
01.02.26
Ser
Inter
Cremonese
2
0
W
28.01.26
UEF
Inter
Borussia Dortmund
2
0
W
17.01.26
Ser
Inter
Udinese
1
0
W
07.01.26
Ser
Inter
Parma
2
0
W
28.12.25
Ser
Inter
Atalanta
1
0
W
H2H away: Inter
21.02.26
H2H
Lecce
Inter
0
2
W
26.01.25
H2H
Lecce
Inter
0
4
W
25.02.24
H2H
Lecce
Inter
0
4
W
13.08.22
H2H
Lecce
Inter
1
2
W
19.01.20
H2H
Lecce
Inter
1
1
D
29.01.12
H2H
Lecce
Inter
1
0
L
10.11.10
H2H
Lecce
Inter
1
1
D

Standings

Standings
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 24 10 4 : 32 82
W D D W W
2
Inter Away
38 24 9 5 : 44 81
W D W W L
3 38 22 8 8 : 41 74
L W W W D
4 38 18 16 4 : 23 70
W W D D W
5 38 20 9 9 : 21 69
W W L W W
6 38 19 8 11 : 19 65
W W L L W
7 38 18 11 9 : 12 65
L D D W D
8 38 18 9 11 : 18 63
W L W W W
9 38 16 14 8 : 10 62
L L L D D
10 38 13 10 15 : -3 49
L D W W W
11 38 10 14 14 : -6 44
L L L D L
12 38 12 8 18 : -15 44
L L L W D
13 38 10 13 15 : -12 43
W L D L L
14 38 10 7 21 : -32 37
W D D L L
15 38 9 9 20 : -16 36
L W L L W
16 38 7 15 16 : -14 36
W D L L D
17
Lecce Home
38 8 10 20 : -31 34
W W D L D
18 38 6 13 19 : -26 31
L W W L L
19 38 5 14 19 : -24 29
L L W D L
20 38 3 9 26 : -41 18
L L W L L