FINLAND YKKöNEN
--.--.---- --:--
Vare Areena
KuPS Akatemia
Match Timeline
PKKU
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
8'
O. Niemela
PKKU
18'
O. Niemi
PKKU
🟨
35'
M. Kone
PKKU
40'
P. Hautakangas
KuPS Akatemia
🟨
53'
A. Marjo
PKKU
🔄
59'
E. Tanninen ↔ E. Karkkainen
KuPS Akatemia
60'
KuPS Akatemia
KuPS Akatemia
🔄
63'
N. Lokake ↔ A. Deng
PKKU
🔄
63'
M. Kone ↔ J. Norss
PKKU
🟨
68'
E. Karkkainen
KuPS Akatemia
🔄
69'
P. Hautakangas ↔ E. Kauppinen
KuPS Akatemia
🔄
69'
V. Lahtela ↔ V. Mutlu
KuPS Akatemia
🔄
76'
A. Marjo ↔ J. Sivunen
PKKU
🔄
82'
O. Balde ↔ R. Tahkola
KuPS Akatemia
🔄
82'
K. Prince Ume ↔ D. Huttunen
KuPS Akatemia
🔄
89'
S. Tiainen ↔ V. Azemi
PKKU
🔄
89'
A. Barraza ↔ N. Nenonen
PKKU
🟨
90+1'
J. Kivijarvi
KuPS Akatemia

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 70.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
70.2%
-
BTTS Yes
82.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
KuPS Akatemia Win 25.2%
Draw 4.6%
PKKU Win 70.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
KuPS Akatemia1.45
PKKU1.97
Recent Form (Last 5)
KuPS Akatemia KuPS Akatemia
WWDLW
30 GF / 45 GA
PKKU PKKU
WLDWL
34 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
1.79
2.25
Average Goals Conceded
1.37
13
BTTS Yes
11
16
Over 2.5
11
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

KuPS Akatemia KuPS Akatemia 20 matches
PKKU PKKU 19 matches
KuPS Akatemia Statistic PKKU
2 Wins 8
5 Draws 6
13 Losses 5
30 Goals For 34
45 Goals Against 26
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 1.79
2.25 Avg Goals Conceded 1.37
13 BTTS Yes 11
16 Over 1.5 15
16 Over 2.5 11
11 Over 3.5 8
2 Clean Sheets 6
6 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by PKKU's more proactive style and KuPS Akatemia's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring PKKU. PKKU carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 5 with 27 points while KuPS Akatemia sit 12 on 11, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward PKKU having the stronger overall control.

KuPS Akatemia Analysis

KuPS Akatemia are currently 12 in the standings with 11 points from 18 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 5 draws, and 11 losses, while the 29:42 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 6 losses fits a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

PKKU Analysis

PKKU come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 27 points from 18 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses, while the 33:26 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, KuPS Akatemia won 2 times, PKKU won 5 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:16 from KuPS Akatemia's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3.22 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.4%)
H2H summary: KuPS Akatemia wins 2, draws 2, PKKU wins 5

Lineups

KuPS Akatemia
Formation
PKKU
O. Balde
O. Balde
L. Paasisalo
L. Paasisalo
J. Kivijarvi
J. Kivijarvi
J. Aimola
J. Aimola
P. Tuomainen
P. Tuomainen
P. Hautakangas
P. Hautakangas
E. Tanninen
E. Tanninen
V. Lahtela
V. Lahtela
K. Prince Ume
K. Prince Ume
N. Oksanen
N. Oksanen
E. Erguner
E. Erguner
L. Koivunen
L. Koivunen
O. Niemela
O. Niemela
R. Makila
R. Makila
S. Tiainen
S. Tiainen
N. Lokake
N. Lokake
A. Marjo
A. Marjo
O. Niemi
O. Niemi
A. Barraza
A. Barraza
A. Musa
A. Musa
M. Kone
M. Kone
O. Tikkanen
O. Tikkanen
KuPS Akatemia 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
6
O. Balde
↓ 82'
7
L. Paasisalo
8
J. Kivijarvi
🟨 90+1'
12
J. Aimola
13
P. Tuomainen
14
P. Hautakangas
⚽ 40' ↓ 69'
17
E. Tanninen
↓ 59'
18
V. Lahtela
↓ 69'
19
K. Prince Ume
↓ 82'
21
N. Oksanen
22
E. Erguner
Substitutes
2
E. Kauppinen
↑ 69'
5
R. Tahkola
↑ 82'
9
D. Huttunen
↑ 82'
10
V. Mutlu
↑ 69'
20
E. Karkkainen
↑ 59' 🟨 68'
33
A. Niskanen
PKKU 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
3
L. Koivunen
4
O. Niemela
⚽ 8'
5
R. Makila
17
S. Tiainen
↓ 89'
19
N. Lokake
↓ 63'
21
A. Marjo
↓ 76' 🟨 53'
25
O. Niemi
⚽ 18'
28
A. Barraza
↓ 89'
31
A. Musa
33
M. Kone
↓ 63' 🟨 35'
56
O. Tikkanen
Substitutes
1
R. Barton
6
V. Azemi
↑ 89'
11
N. Nenonen
↑ 89'
13
J. Sivunen
↑ 76'
15
A. Deng
↑ 63'
16
J. Norss
↑ 63'
Last matches: KuPS Akatemia
21.08.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
KPV-j
4
2
W
11.08.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
Rops
1
2
L
07.08.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
Inter Turku II
0
1
L
30.07.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
FC jazz
2
2
D
26.07.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
VJS
2
2
D
18.07.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
TPV
1
3
L
11.07.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
JJK
4
4
D
04.07.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
Tampere United
2
3
L
28.06.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
OLS
2
2
D
12.06.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
SalPa
3
4
L
05.06.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
KPV-j
4
1
W
29.05.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
PKKU
0
3
L
24.05.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
Rops
0
1
L
17.05.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
Inter Turku II
2
4
L
09.05.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
FC jazz
1
2
L
02.05.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
VJS
0
0
D
24.04.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
TPV
3
0
W
18.04.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
Tampere United
0
4
L
10.04.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
JJK
1
2
L
05.04.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
OLS
2
4
L
Last matches: PKKU
21.08.26
Ykk
PKKU
JJK
2
2
D
11.08.26
Ykk
PKKU
Inter Turku II
1
0
W
05.08.26
Ykk
PKKU
VJS
0
0
D
31.07.26
Ykk
PKKU
Tampere United
4
4
D
25.07.26
Ykk
PKKU
SalPa
1
0
W
22.07.26
Ykk
PKKU
VJS
1
3
L
18.07.26
Ykk
PKKU
OLS
1
1
D
11.07.26
Ykk
PKKU
FC jazz
2
1
W
05.07.26
Ykk
PKKU
Rops
3
4
L
28.06.26
Ykk
PKKU
KPV-j
3
1
W
14.06.26
Ykk
PKKU
TPV
2
2
D
06.06.26
Ykk
PKKU
JJK
3
1
W
29.05.26
Ykk
PKKU
KuPS Akatemia
3
0
W
24.05.26
Ykk
PKKU
Inter Turku II
1
2
L
09.05.26
Ykk
PKKU
Tampere United
0
0
D
02.05.26
Ykk
PKKU
SalPa
2
0
W
25.04.26
Ykk
PKKU
OLS
0
2
L
18.04.26
Ykk
PKKU
Rops
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ykk
PKKU
FC jazz
5
1
W
04.04.26
Ykk
PKKU
KPV-j
2
2
D
H2H: KuPS Akatemia vs PKKU
16.08.26
H2H
KuPS Akatemia
PKKU
2
2
D
29.05.26
H2H
PKKU
KuPS Akatemia
3
0
L
06.07.25
H2H
KuPS Akatemia
PKKU
0
1
L
28.04.25
H2H
PKKU
KuPS Akatemia
2
2
D
05.10.24
H2H
KuPS Akatemia
PKKU
2
3
L
20.07.24
H2H
KuPS Akatemia
PKKU
1
2
L
12.05.24
H2H
PKKU
KuPS Akatemia
1
2
W
30.07.22
H2H
KuPS Akatemia
PKKU
4
0
W
14.05.22
H2H
PKKU
KuPS Akatemia
2
0
L
Last matches: KuPS Akatemia
07.08.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
Inter Turku II
0
1
L
26.07.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
VJS
2
2
D
04.07.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
Tampere United
2
3
L
05.06.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
KPV-j
4
1
W
24.05.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
Rops
0
1
L
09.05.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
FC jazz
1
2
L
24.04.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
TPV
3
0
W
10.04.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
JJK
1
2
L
05.04.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
OLS
2
4
L
H2H at home: KuPS Akatemia
16.08.26
H2H
KuPS Akatemia
PKKU
2
2
D
06.07.25
H2H
KuPS Akatemia
PKKU
0
1
L
05.10.24
H2H
KuPS Akatemia
PKKU
2
3
L
20.07.24
H2H
KuPS Akatemia
PKKU
1
2
L
30.07.22
H2H
KuPS Akatemia
PKKU
4
0
W
Last matches: PKKU
05.08.26
Ykk
PKKU
VJS
0
0
D
25.07.26
Ykk
PKKU
SalPa
1
0
W
05.07.26
Ykk
PKKU
Rops
3
4
L
28.06.26
Ykk
PKKU
KPV-j
3
1
W
06.06.26
Ykk
PKKU
JJK
3
1
W
24.05.26
Ykk
PKKU
Inter Turku II
1
2
L
09.05.26
Ykk
PKKU
Tampere United
0
0
D
25.04.26
Ykk
PKKU
OLS
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ykk
PKKU
FC jazz
5
1
W
H2H away: PKKU
16.08.26
H2H
KuPS Akatemia
PKKU
2
2
D
06.07.25
H2H
KuPS Akatemia
PKKU
0
1
W
05.10.24
H2H
KuPS Akatemia
PKKU
2
3
W
20.07.24
H2H
KuPS Akatemia
PKKU
1
2
W
30.07.22
H2H
KuPS Akatemia
PKKU
4
0
L

Standings

Group Stage
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 21 13 5 3 46:16 30 44
W D D W D
2 21 10 7 4 45:32 13 37
L D W D L
3 21 9 6 6 38:34 4 33
W L D W L
4
PKKU Away
21 8 8 5 38:30 8 32
D D W D D
5 21 7 10 4 38:29 9 31
D D W D D
6 21 8 7 6 41:34 7 31
L D D W W
7 21 8 6 7 30:29 1 30
D W D D D
8 21 7 7 7 47:41 6 28
D D D L L
9 21 6 6 9 30:38 -8 24
W D D L W
10 21 5 5 11 32:49 -17 20
L L L W D
11 21 3 6 12 36:48 -12 15
W D L L D
12 21 4 3 14 23:64 -41 15
L W L L W