RUSSIA PREMIER LEAGUE
05.09.2026 11:00
Samara Arena
Referee: Inal Tanashev, Russia
Krylia Sovetov
Match Timeline
FC Krasnodar
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
3'
J. Cordoba · Assist: D. Vorobyev
FC Krasnodar
17'
Joao Batxi · Assist: L. Olaza
FC Krasnodar
🔄
46'
I. Chesnokov ↔ A. Rahmanovic
Krylia Sovetov
🔄
46'
Christian ↔ J. Boselli
FC Krasnodar
55'
A. Rahmanovic · Assist: I. Oleynikov
Krylia Sovetov
🔄
56'
D. Vorobyev ↔ D. Utkin
FC Krasnodar
🔄
63'
M. Kramaric ↔ D. Makarov
Krylia Sovetov
🔄
63'
M. Vityugov ↔ K. Mukailov
Krylia Sovetov
🔄
69'
A. Chernikov ↔ S. Petrov
FC Krasnodar
🔄
69'
L. Olaza ↔ K. Lenini
FC Krasnodar
🔄
72'
N. Rasskazov ↔ D. Fernandez
Krylia Sovetov
🟨
79'
Amar Rahmanović
Krylia Sovetov
79'
A. Rahmanovic · Assist: I. Oleynikov
Krylia Sovetov
🔄
81'
Douglas Augusto ↔ M. Ozdoev
FC Krasnodar
🟨
83'
Ilya Vakhaniya
FC Krasnodar
🟨
89'
Sergey Bozhin
Krylia Sovetov
🔄
89'
I. Oleynikov ↔ D. Oroz
Krylia Sovetov

Krylia Sovetov vs FC Krasnodar Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 70.7%
Odds 1.76
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 1.71
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds 1.79
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
70.7%
1.76
BTTS Yes
67.1%
1.71
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
1.79
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
85.5%
1.35
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
4.55
Correct Score 1-2
-
8.00
Probability Distribution
Krylia Sovetov Win 21.5%
Draw 7.8%
FC Krasnodar Win 70.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Krylia Sovetov1.33
FC Krasnodar1.93
Recent Form (Last 5)
Krylia Sovetov Krylia Sovetov
WWDLW
27 GF / 29 GA
FC Krasnodar FC Krasnodar
WLDWL
31 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
1.59
Average Goals Scored
2.07
1.71
Average Goals Conceded
0.93
10
BTTS Yes
8
10
Over 2.5
9
5.5
Shots on Goal
5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Krylia Sovetov Krylia Sovetov 17 matches
FC Krasnodar FC Krasnodar 15 matches
Krylia Sovetov Statistic FC Krasnodar
5 Wins 10
4 Draws 3
8 Losses 2
27 Goals For 31
29 Goals Against 14
1.59 Avg Goals Scored 2.07
1.71 Avg Goals Conceded 0.93
10 BTTS Yes 8
14 Over 1.5 10
10 Over 2.5 9
6 Over 3.5 6
3 Clean Sheets 5
5 Failed To Score 2
5.5 Shots On Goal 5
11.83 Total Shots 14.67
4 Corners 3.83
46.2% Ball Possession 56%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by FC Krasnodar's more proactive style and Krylia Sovetov's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward FC Krasnodar. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. FC Krasnodar carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 15 points while Krylia Sovetov sit 11 on 5, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. FC Krasnodar look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match.

Krylia Sovetov Analysis

Krylia Sovetov are currently 11 in the standings with 5 points from 5 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, while the 5:7 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Ivan Oleynikov (1 goals), Maksim Vityugov (1 goals), Dominik Oroz (1 goals), with creative support from Mihajlo Banjac (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

FC Krasnodar Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 15 points from 5 games, FC Krasnodar bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 5 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a 10:4 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on Nikita Krivtsov (3 goals), Christian (2 goals), Jubal (2 goals), with creative support from Nikita Krivtsov (1 assists), Christian (1 assists), Lucas Olaza (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Krylia Sovetov won 3 times, FC Krasnodar won 7 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:27 from Krylia Sovetov's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.3%)
Predicted formations: Krylia Sovetov 4-2-3-1 / FC Krasnodar 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Krylia Sovetov 2, FC Krasnodar 1
H2H summary: Krylia Sovetov wins 3, draws 5, FC Krasnodar wins 7

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 6 3 0 14:7 7 21
D D D W W
2 9 6 1 2 14:8 6 19
W W W W W
3 9 5 4 0 15:9 6 19
W D W D W
4 9 6 1 2 16:7 9 19
W W L D W
5 9 6 0 3 19:9 10 18
W W L W L
6 9 2 6 1 12:11 1 12
D D D W D
7 9 4 0 5 15:16 -1 12
L L W L L
8 9 3 2 4 14:12 2 11
L D L W D
9 9 2 5 2 13:14 -1 11
D W D D W
10 9 2 4 3 13:13 0 10
L W D D W
11 9 1 6 2 7:10 -3 9
D L D D D
12 9 2 2 5 10:17 -7 8
L L W L L
13 9 1 5 3 11:18 -7 8
W D D D L
14 9 1 4 4 8:11 -3 7
D L W L L
15 9 1 2 6 10:22 -12 5
D L L L L
16 9 0 3 6 6:13 -7 3
L D L L D
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - FNL