NORWAY ELITESERIEN
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Kristiansund Stadion

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 71.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
71.9%
-
BTTS Yes
75.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
85.4%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Kristiansund BK Win 28.1%
Draw 29.3%
Sarpsborg 08 FF Win 42.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Kristiansund BK1.13
Sarpsborg 08 FF1.49
Recent Form (Last 5)
Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK
WWDLW
21 GF / 30 GA
Sarpsborg 08 FF Sarpsborg 08 FF
WLDWL
36 GF / 32 GA
Key Stats
0.95
Average Goals Scored
1.57
1.36
Average Goals Conceded
1.39
10
BTTS Yes
13
10
Over 2.5
14
3.67
Shots on Goal
4.42

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK 22 matches
Sarpsborg 08 FF Sarpsborg 08 FF 23 matches
Kristiansund BK Statistic Sarpsborg 08 FF
6 Wins 12
6 Draws 3
10 Losses 8
21 Goals For 36
30 Goals Against 32
0.95 Avg Goals Scored 1.57
1.36 Avg Goals Conceded 1.39
10 BTTS Yes 13
17 Over 1.5 19
10 Over 2.5 14
3 Over 3.5 8
4 Clean Sheets 6
10 Failed To Score 4
3.67 Shots On Goal 4.42
11.75 Total Shots 12
4.33 Corners 4.75
41.4% Ball Possession 43.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Sarpsborg 08 FF. Sarpsborg 08 FF look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Kristiansund BK expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Sarpsborg 08 FF in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sarpsborg 08 FF having the stronger overall control. Sarpsborg 08 FF carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 7 with 17 points while Kristiansund BK sit 15 on 11, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Kristiansund BK Analysis

Kristiansund BK approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 11 points from 12 matches. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 2 draws, and 7 defeats, and the 11:21 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on Leander Alvheim (5 goals), Wilfred George Igor (1 goals), Adrian Kurd Rønning (1 goals), with creative support from Alexander Munksgaard (1 assists), Mustapha Isah (1 assists), Sander Hestetun Kilen (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Sarpsborg 08 FF Analysis

So far, Sarpsborg 08 FF have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 17 points from 12 matches. The record of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 14:16 goal balance, points toward very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking threat comes through Daniel Karlsbakk (3 goals), Victor Emanuel Halvorsen (2 goals), Claus Niyukuri (1 goals), with creative support from Claus Niyukuri (3 assists), Sondre Sörli (2 assists), Sander Christiansen (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Kristiansund BK won 7 times, Sarpsborg 08 FF won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:12 from Kristiansund BK's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.62 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (71.9%)
Predicted formations: Kristiansund BK 4-2-3-1 / Sarpsborg 08 FF 4-4-2
Missing players: Kristiansund BK 3, Sarpsborg 08 FF 2
H2H summary: Kristiansund BK wins 7, draws 3, Sarpsborg 08 FF wins 3
Last matches: Kristiansund BK
12.07.26
Eli
Kristiansund BK
Rosenborg
0
3
L
03.07.26
Fri
Kristiansund BK
Brann
2
1
W
27.06.26
Fri
Kristiansund BK
Aalesund
0
3
L
29.05.26
Eli
Kristiansund BK
Valerenga
1
3
L
24.05.26
Eli
Kristiansund BK
Viking
1
2
L
20.05.26
Eli
Kristiansund BK
Lillestrom
2
1
W
16.05.26
Eli
Kristiansund BK
Molde
0
1
L
10.05.26
Eli
Kristiansund BK
Sandefjord
0
2
L
03.05.26
Eli
Kristiansund BK
Ham-Kam
1
1
D
26.04.26
Eli
Kristiansund BK
Aalesund
1
1
D
19.04.26
Eli
Kristiansund BK
Fredrikstad
2
0
W
11.04.26
Eli
Kristiansund BK
Tromso
0
2
L
06.04.26
Eli
Kristiansund BK
Bodo/Glimt
0
3
L
28.03.26
Fri
Kristiansund BK
Brattvåg
4
0
W
15.03.26
Eli
Kristiansund BK
Brann
3
2
W
08.03.26
Fri
Kristiansund BK
Ranheim
1
1
D
25.02.26
Fri
Kristiansund BK
Sarpsborg 08 FF
0
1
L
18.02.26
Fri
Kristiansund BK
Ham-Kam
2
1
W
15.02.26
Fri
Kristiansund BK
Egersund
1
1
D
06.02.26
Fri
Kristiansund BK
Molde
0
0
D
Last matches: Sarpsborg 08 FF
12.07.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Viking
1
0
W
03.07.26
Fri
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Lillestrom
1
3
L
29.05.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Brann
2
1
W
25.05.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Molde
2
1
W
16.05.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Valerenga
2
3
L
09.05.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Fredrikstad
2
1
W
03.05.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Lillestrom
0
4
L
26.04.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
KFUM Oslo
0
1
L
19.04.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Tromso
0
1
L
15.04.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Bodo/Glimt
1
1
D
12.04.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Rosenborg
1
2
L
06.04.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Start
1
1
D
26.03.26
Fri
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Ham-Kam
2
2
D
22.03.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Sandefjord
2
0
W
14.03.26
Fri
Sarpsborg 08 FF
BK Hacken
3
0
W
01.03.26
Fri
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Viking
0
2
L
25.02.26
Fri
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Kristiansund BK
1
0
W
19.02.26
Fri
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Zbrojovka Brno
2
0
W
13.02.26
Fri
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Ham-Kam
3
2
W
06.02.26
Fri
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Moss
3
1
W
H2H: Kristiansund BK vs Sarpsborg 08 FF
25.02.26
H2H
Kristiansund BK
Sarpsborg 08 FF
0
1
L
25.08.25
H2H
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Kristiansund BK
0
1
W
13.07.25
H2H
Kristiansund BK
Sarpsborg 08 FF
0
0
D
15.09.24
H2H
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Kristiansund BK
0
2
W
02.06.24
H2H
Kristiansund BK
Sarpsborg 08 FF
3
1
W
06.11.22
H2H
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Kristiansund BK
2
2
D
10.04.22
H2H
Kristiansund BK
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2
3
L
24.10.21
H2H
Kristiansund BK
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1
3
L
21.08.21
H2H
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Kristiansund BK
0
0
D
10.07.21
H2H
Kristiansund BK
Sarpsborg 08 FF
0
0
D
27.05.21
H2H
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Kristiansund BK
0
1
W
02.12.20
H2H
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Kristiansund BK
1
1
D
22.08.20
H2H
Kristiansund BK
Sarpsborg 08 FF
4
1
W
10.11.19
H2H
Kristiansund BK
Sarpsborg 08 FF
4
0
W
12.05.19
H2H
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Kristiansund BK
0
1
W
Last matches: Kristiansund BK
27.06.26
Fri
Kristiansund BK
Aalesund
0
3
L
24.05.26
Eli
Kristiansund BK
Viking
1
2
L
03.05.26
Eli
Kristiansund BK
Ham-Kam
1
1
D
19.04.26
Eli
Kristiansund BK
Fredrikstad
2
0
W
06.04.26
Eli
Kristiansund BK
Bodo/Glimt
0
3
L
28.03.26
Fri
Kristiansund BK
Brattvåg
4
0
W
15.03.26
Eli
Kristiansund BK
Brann
3
2
W
08.03.26
Fri
Kristiansund BK
Ranheim
1
1
D
25.02.26
Fri
Kristiansund BK
Sarpsborg 08 FF
0
1
L
18.02.26
Fri
Kristiansund BK
Ham-Kam
2
1
W
15.02.26
Fri
Kristiansund BK
Egersund
1
1
D
23.01.26
Fri
Kristiansund BK
hodd
0
0
D
H2H at home: Kristiansund BK
25.02.26
H2H
Kristiansund BK
Sarpsborg 08 FF
0
1
L
13.07.25
H2H
Kristiansund BK
Sarpsborg 08 FF
0
0
D
02.06.24
H2H
Kristiansund BK
Sarpsborg 08 FF
3
1
W
10.04.22
H2H
Kristiansund BK
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2
3
L
24.10.21
H2H
Kristiansund BK
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1
3
L
10.07.21
H2H
Kristiansund BK
Sarpsborg 08 FF
0
0
D
22.08.20
H2H
Kristiansund BK
Sarpsborg 08 FF
4
1
W
10.11.19
H2H
Kristiansund BK
Sarpsborg 08 FF
4
0
W
Last matches: Sarpsborg 08 FF
03.07.26
Fri
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Lillestrom
1
3
L
29.05.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Brann
2
1
W
16.05.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Valerenga
2
3
L
03.05.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Lillestrom
0
4
L
26.04.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
KFUM Oslo
0
1
L
12.04.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Rosenborg
1
2
L
22.03.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Sandefjord
2
0
W
01.03.26
Fri
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Viking
0
2
L
25.02.26
Fri
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Kristiansund BK
1
0
W
05.02.26
Fri
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Sirius
3
2
W
24.01.26
Fri
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Gais
1
4
L
H2H away: Sarpsborg 08 FF
25.02.26
H2H
Kristiansund BK
Sarpsborg 08 FF
0
1
W
13.07.25
H2H
Kristiansund BK
Sarpsborg 08 FF
0
0
D
02.06.24
H2H
Kristiansund BK
Sarpsborg 08 FF
3
1
L
10.04.22
H2H
Kristiansund BK
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2
3
W
24.10.21
H2H
Kristiansund BK
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1
3
W
10.07.21
H2H
Kristiansund BK
Sarpsborg 08 FF
0
0
D
22.08.20
H2H
Kristiansund BK
Sarpsborg 08 FF
4
1
L
10.11.19
H2H
Kristiansund BK
Sarpsborg 08 FF
4
0
L

Standings

Eliteserien
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 14 8 4 2 22:14 8 28
W D D L W
2 11 9 0 2 29:11 18 27
L W W W W
3 12 8 2 2 30:11 19 26
W D W W W
4 12 7 1 4 19:11 8 22
W L L W L
5 12 6 2 4 20:15 5 20
D W L W L
6 11 5 3 3 19:18 1 18
D D W L W
7 12 5 2 5 14:16 -2 17
W W W L W
8 13 5 1 7 26:21 5 16
W L L L W
9 12 4 3 5 12:15 -3 15
D L D L W
10 12 4 2 6 15:22 -7 14
L W D W L
11 12 4 2 6 13:21 -8 14
L W L W L
12 12 2 6 4 17:22 -5 12
D D D W W
13 12 3 3 6 12:18 -6 12
W D L L W
14 12 3 3 6 12:19 -7 12
L D W L L
15 12 3 2 7 11:21 -10 11
L L L W L
16 13 1 4 8 14:30 -16 7
L L W L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen

Missing Players

Kristiansund BK 3 missing
-
M. Williamsen
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
T. Svendsen
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
D. Tufekcic
Missing Fixture Thigh Injury
OUT
Sarpsborg 08 FF 2 missing
-
S. Rosted
Missing Fixture Ankle Injury
OUT
-
F. Carstensen
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT