FINLAND YKKöNEN
--.--.---- --:--
Kokkolan keskuskentta
KPV-j
Match Timeline
KuPS Akatemia
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
11'
V. Valipakka
KPV-j
19'
P. Kytolaakso
KPV-j
🔄
46'
E. Tanninen ↔ O. Balde
KuPS Akatemia
🔄
46'
P. Hautakangas ↔ P. Tuomainen
KuPS Akatemia
49'
E. Erguner
KuPS Akatemia
🔄
53'
F. Friberg ↔ M. Aberg
KPV-j
54'
E. Karkkainen
KuPS Akatemia
🟨
58'
P. Kytolaakso
KPV-j
🔄
60'
O. Lansipaa ↔ J. Moilanen
KPV-j
🟨
61'
J. Kivijarvi
KuPS Akatemia
🟨
67'
J. Adarkwa
KPV-j
🔄
69'
E. Karkkainen ↔ D. Huttunen
KuPS Akatemia
🔄
69'
R. Tikkanen ↔ E. Kirjavainen
KuPS Akatemia
🔄
77'
W. Wegye ↔ V. Akerblom
KPV-j
🔄
77'
A. Arope ↔ J. Maenpaa
KPV-j
🔄
81'
V. Lahtela ↔ A. Niskanen
KuPS Akatemia
🟨
86'
J. Adarkwa
KPV-j
🟥
86'
J. Adarkwa
KPV-j
🟨
89'
E. Kirjavainen
KuPS Akatemia
🟨
90+3'
M. Aberg
KPV-j
90'
E. Kirjavainen
KuPS Akatemia
90'
O. Balde
KuPS Akatemia

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 65.5%
Odds 1.53
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds 1.22
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds 1.22
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
65.5%
1.53
BTTS Yes
82.5%
1.22
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
1.22
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
1.69
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
7.00
Correct Score 1-2
-
12.00
Probability Distribution
KPV-j Win 34.5%
Draw 29.6%
KuPS Akatemia Win 35.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
KPV-j1.53
KuPS Akatemia2.11
Recent Form (Last 5)
KPV-j KPV-j
WWDLW
21 GF / 60 GA
KuPS Akatemia KuPS Akatemia
WLDWL
32 GF / 47 GA
Key Stats
1.05
Average Goals Scored
1.52
3
Average Goals Conceded
2.24
10
BTTS Yes
14
16
Over 2.5
17
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

KPV-j KPV-j 20 matches
KuPS Akatemia KuPS Akatemia 21 matches
KPV-j Statistic KuPS Akatemia
4 Wins 2
3 Draws 6
13 Losses 13
21 Goals For 32
60 Goals Against 47
1.05 Avg Goals Scored 1.52
3 Avg Goals Conceded 2.24
10 BTTS Yes 14
18 Over 1.5 17
16 Over 2.5 17
13 Over 3.5 12
3 Clean Sheets 2
8 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward KuPS Akatemia having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring KuPS Akatemia. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

KPV-j Analysis

With 12 points from 19 games and a place of 11, KPV-j still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 3 draws, and 13 defeats, and the 18:58 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 1 draws, and 7 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

KuPS Akatemia Analysis

With 11 points from 19 games and a place of 12, KuPS Akatemia still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 5 draws, and 12 defeats, and the 30:44 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, KPV-j won 3 times, KuPS Akatemia won 4 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:13 from KPV-j's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (70.4%)
H2H summary: KPV-j wins 3, draws 0, KuPS Akatemia wins 4

Lineups

KuPS Akatemia
Formation
KPV-j
R. Tikkanen
R. Tikkanen
R. Tahkola
R. Tahkola
L. Paasisalo
L. Paasisalo
J. Kivijarvi
J. Kivijarvi
J. Aimola
J. Aimola
P. Hautakangas
P. Hautakangas
E. Tanninen
E. Tanninen
V. Lahtela
V. Lahtela
E. Karkkainen
E. Karkkainen
E. Erguner
E. Erguner
N. Mattila
N. Mattila
D. Madut
D. Madut
E. Vesala
E. Vesala
V. Valipakka
V. Valipakka
W. Wegye
W. Wegye
J. Adarkwa
J. Adarkwa
N. Santalo
N. Santalo
O. Moilanen
O. Moilanen
F. Friberg
F. Friberg
A. Arope
A. Arope
O. Lansipaa
O. Lansipaa
F. Enqvist
F. Enqvist
KuPS Akatemia 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
3
R. Tikkanen
↓ 69'
5
R. Tahkola
7
L. Paasisalo
8
J. Kivijarvi
🟨 61'
12
J. Aimola
14
P. Hautakangas
↓ 46'
17
E. Tanninen
↓ 46'
18
V. Lahtela
↓ 81'
20
E. Karkkainen
⚽ 54' ↓ 69'
22
E. Erguner
⚽ 49'
23
N. Mattila
Substitutes
1
E. Kangaskolkka
6
O. Balde
⚽ 90' ↑ 46'
9
D. Huttunen
↑ 69'
13
P. Tuomainen
↑ 46'
28
E. Kirjavainen
⚽ 90' ↑ 69' 🟨 89'
33
A. Niskanen
↑ 81'
KPV-j 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
3
D. Madut
4
E. Vesala
8
V. Valipakka
⚽ 11'
9
W. Wegye
↓ 77'
10
J. Adarkwa
🟨 67' 🟨 86' 🟥 86'
11
N. Santalo
13
O. Moilanen
17
F. Friberg
↓ 53'
45
A. Arope
↓ 77'
87
O. Lansipaa
↓ 60'
99
F. Enqvist
Substitutes
1
P. Kytolaakso
6
M. Aberg
↑ 53' 🟨 90+3'
7
P. Kytolaakso
⚽ 19' 🟨 58'
12
K. Suoraniemi
14
V. Akerblom
↑ 77'
20
J. Maenpaa
↑ 77'
22
O. Santalo
44
J. Moilanen
↑ 60'
Last matches: KPV-j
16.08.26
Ykk
KPV-j
Inter Turku II
3
2
W
09.08.26
Ykk
KPV-j
VJS
1
2
L
05.08.26
Ykk
KPV-j
Tampere United
0
6
L
01.08.26
Ykk
KPV-j
SalPa
3
0
W
26.07.26
Ykk
KPV-j
OLS
1
2
L
20.07.26
Ykk
KPV-j
Rops
1
1
D
11.07.26
Ykk
KPV-j
TPV
1
3
L
02.07.26
Ykk
KPV-j
FC jazz
1
0
W
28.06.26
Ykk
KPV-j
PKKU
1
3
L
13.06.26
Ykk
KPV-j
JJK
2
3
L
05.06.26
Ykk
KPV-j
KuPS Akatemia
1
4
L
29.05.26
Ykk
KPV-j
Inter Turku II
4
2
W
23.05.26
Ykk
KPV-j
VJS
0
5
L
16.05.26
Ykk
KPV-j
Tampere United
0
6
L
09.05.26
Ykk
KPV-j
SalPa
0
6
L
02.05.26
Ykk
KPV-j
OLS
0
4
L
25.04.26
Ykk
KPV-j
Rops
0
7
L
20.04.26
Ykk
KPV-j
FC jazz
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ykk
KPV-j
TPV
0
0
D
04.04.26
Ykk
KPV-j
PKKU
2
2
D
Last matches: KuPS Akatemia
16.08.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
PKKU
2
2
D
11.08.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
Rops
1
2
L
07.08.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
Inter Turku II
0
1
L
30.07.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
FC jazz
2
2
D
26.07.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
VJS
2
2
D
18.07.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
TPV
1
3
L
11.07.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
JJK
4
4
D
04.07.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
Tampere United
2
3
L
28.06.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
OLS
2
2
D
12.06.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
SalPa
3
4
L
05.06.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
KPV-j
4
1
W
29.05.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
PKKU
0
3
L
24.05.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
Rops
0
1
L
17.05.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
Inter Turku II
2
4
L
09.05.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
FC jazz
1
2
L
02.05.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
VJS
0
0
D
24.04.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
TPV
3
0
W
18.04.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
Tampere United
0
4
L
10.04.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
JJK
1
2
L
05.04.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
OLS
2
4
L
H2H: KPV-j vs KuPS Akatemia
21.08.26
H2H
KPV-j
KuPS Akatemia
2
4
L
05.06.26
H2H
KuPS Akatemia
KPV-j
4
1
L
19.10.25
H2H
KPV-j
KuPS Akatemia
1
3
L
20.07.25
H2H
KuPS Akatemia
KPV-j
1
0
L
03.05.25
H2H
KPV-j
KuPS Akatemia
1
0
W
27.07.24
H2H
KuPS Akatemia
KPV-j
1
2
W
18.05.24
H2H
KPV-j
KuPS Akatemia
1
0
W
Last matches: KPV-j
09.08.26
Ykk
KPV-j
VJS
1
2
L
01.08.26
Ykk
KPV-j
SalPa
3
0
W
20.07.26
Ykk
KPV-j
Rops
1
1
D
11.07.26
Ykk
KPV-j
TPV
1
3
L
28.06.26
Ykk
KPV-j
PKKU
1
3
L
13.06.26
Ykk
KPV-j
JJK
2
3
L
29.05.26
Ykk
KPV-j
Inter Turku II
4
2
W
16.05.26
Ykk
KPV-j
Tampere United
0
6
L
02.05.26
Ykk
KPV-j
OLS
0
4
L
20.04.26
Ykk
KPV-j
FC jazz
0
2
L
H2H at home: KPV-j
21.08.26
H2H
KPV-j
KuPS Akatemia
2
4
L
19.10.25
H2H
KPV-j
KuPS Akatemia
1
3
L
03.05.25
H2H
KPV-j
KuPS Akatemia
1
0
W
18.05.24
H2H
KPV-j
KuPS Akatemia
1
0
W
Last matches: KuPS Akatemia
11.08.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
Rops
1
2
L
30.07.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
FC jazz
2
2
D
18.07.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
TPV
1
3
L
11.07.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
JJK
4
4
D
28.06.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
OLS
2
2
D
12.06.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
SalPa
3
4
L
29.05.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
PKKU
0
3
L
17.05.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
Inter Turku II
2
4
L
02.05.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
VJS
0
0
D
18.04.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
Tampere United
0
4
L
10.01.26
Fri
KuPS Akatemia
JIPPO
0
1
L
H2H away: KuPS Akatemia
21.08.26
H2H
KPV-j
KuPS Akatemia
2
4
W
19.10.25
H2H
KPV-j
KuPS Akatemia
1
3
W
03.05.25
H2H
KPV-j
KuPS Akatemia
1
0
L
18.05.24
H2H
KPV-j
KuPS Akatemia
1
0
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.48
Draw 4.14
Home 2.31
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.85
Draw 2.74
Home 2.67
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 2.75 1.37
Over 3.0 1.36
Over 3.25 1.52
Over 3.5 1.68
Over 3.75 1.84
Over 4.0 2.05
Over 4.25 2.27
Over 4.5 2.50
Over 4.75 2.58
Under 2.75 2.92
Under 3.0 2.96
Under 3.25 2.44
Under 3.5 2.16
Under 3.75 1.97
Under 4.0 1.75
Under 4.25 1.59
Under 4.5 1.49
Under 4.75 1.47
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.38
Draw 4.10
Home 2.20
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.88
Draw 2.88
Home 2.75
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.60
Draw 3.10
Home 2.50
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.00
Over 1.5 1.05
Over 2.5 1.22
Over 3.5 1.53
Over 4.5 2.25
Over 5.5 3.50
Over 6.5 6.50
Over 7.5 13.00
Over 8.5 23.00
Over 9.5 41.00
Under 0.5 34.00
Under 1.5 11.00
Under 2.5 4.20
Under 3.5 2.38
Under 4.5 1.57
Under 5.5 1.28
Under 6.5 1.11
Under 7.5 1.04
Under 8.5 1.01
Under 9.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.41
Draw 3.98
Home 2.25
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.81
Draw 2.62
Home 2.63
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.60
Draw 3.04
Home 2.47
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 1.5 1.02
Over 1.75 1.03
Over 2.0 1.04
Over 2.25 1.13
Over 2.5 1.22
Over 2.75 1.27
Over 3.0 1.31
Over 3.25 1.49
Over 3.5 1.65
Over 3.75 1.80
Over 4.0 1.96
Over 4.25 2.20
Over 4.5 2.38
Over 4.75 2.76
Over 5.0 3.34
Over 5.25 3.68
Over 5.5 3.94
Over 6.0 6.30
Over 6.5 6.50
Over 7.5 13.00
Over 8.5 23.00
Over 9.5 41.00
Under 0.5 22.00
Under 1.5 7.90
Under 1.75 7.40
Under 2.0 6.95
Under 2.25 4.61
Under 2.5 3.50
Under 2.75 3.22
Under 3.0 2.92
Under 3.25 2.38
Under 3.5 2.11
Under 3.75 1.90
Under 4.0 1.68
Under 4.25 1.57
Under 4.5 1.46
Under 4.75 1.36
Under 5.0 1.24
Under 5.25 1.20
Under 5.5 1.17
Under 6.0 1.06
Under 6.5 1.11
Under 7.5 1.04
Under 8.5 1.01
Under 9.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.35
Draw 3.70
Home 2.33
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.70
Draw 2.63
Home 2.70
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 2.5 1.27
Over 3.5 1.70
Over 4.5 2.60
Under 2.5 3.20
Under 3.5 1.94
Under 4.5 1.38

Standings

Group Stage
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 21 13 5 3 46:16 30 44
W D D W D
2 21 10 7 4 45:32 13 37
L D W D L
3 21 9 6 6 38:34 4 33
W L D W L
4 21 8 8 5 38:30 8 32
D D W D D
5 21 7 10 4 38:29 9 31
D D W D D
6 21 8 7 6 41:34 7 31
L D D W W
7 21 8 6 7 30:29 1 30
D W D D D
8 21 7 7 7 47:41 6 28
D D D L L
9 21 6 6 9 30:38 -8 24
W D D L W
10 21 5 5 11 32:49 -17 20
L L L W D
11 21 3 6 12 36:48 -12 15
W D L L D
12
KPV-j Home
21 4 3 14 23:64 -41 15
L W L L W