SCOTLAND PREMIERSHIP
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Rugby Park

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Kilmarnock Win 0%
Draw 0%
Motherwell Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Kilmarnock3.17
Motherwell1.4
Recent Form (Last 5)
Kilmarnock Kilmarnock
WWDLW
7 GF / 2 GA
Motherwell Motherwell
WLDWL
5 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
3.5
Average Goals Scored
1.67
1
Average Goals Conceded
2.67
1
BTTS Yes
1
2
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 2 matches
Motherwell Motherwell 3 matches
Kilmarnock Statistic Motherwell
2 Wins 1
0 Draws 0
0 Losses 2
7 Goals For 5
2 Goals Against 8
3.5 Avg Goals Scored 1.67
1 Avg Goals Conceded 2.67
1 BTTS Yes 1
2 Over 1.5 3
2 Over 2.5 2
2 Over 3.5 2
1 Clean Sheets 1
0 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Kilmarnock won 3 times, Motherwell won 6 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:23 from Kilmarnock's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Kilmarnock 4-3-2-1 / Motherwell 4-3-3
H2H summary: Kilmarnock wins 3, draws 6, Motherwell wins 6
Last matches: Kilmarnock
04.07.26
Fri
Kilmarnock
Linfield
3
2
W
01.07.26
Fri
Kilmarnock
Glentoran
4
0
W
17.05.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Livingston
4
1
W
12.05.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Dundee
3
1
W
09.05.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
ST Mirren
3
0
W
02.05.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Dundee Utd
3
0
W
25.04.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Aberdeen
0
1
L
11.04.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Dundee
2
2
D
04.04.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Hibernian
0
3
L
21.03.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Livingston
2
0
W
14.03.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Heart Of Midlothian
1
0
W
28.02.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Falkirk
1
5
L
21.02.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Dundee Utd
1
1
D
15.02.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Celtic
2
3
L
11.02.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
ST Mirren
4
3
W
04.02.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Rangers
1
5
L
31.01.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Aberdeen
3
0
W
24.01.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Motherwell
0
4
L
10.01.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Livingston
1
1
D
03.01.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Hibernian
1
3
L
Last matches: Motherwell
23.07.26
UEF
Motherwell
HB Torshavn
2
0
W
17.07.26
Fri
Motherwell
Genk
3
4
L
05.07.26
Fri
Motherwell
Aarhus
0
4
L
16.05.26
Pre
Motherwell
Hibernian
1
0
W
13.05.26
Pre
Motherwell
Celtic
2
3
L
09.05.26
Pre
Motherwell
Heart Of Midlothian
1
1
D
02.05.26
Pre
Motherwell
Falkirk
0
1
L
26.04.26
Pre
Motherwell
Rangers
3
2
W
11.04.26
Pre
Motherwell
Heart Of Midlothian
1
3
L
04.04.26
Pre
Motherwell
Falkirk
2
3
L
21.03.26
Pre
Motherwell
Hibernian
0
0
D
14.03.26
Pre
Motherwell
Celtic
1
3
L
07.03.26
Pre
Motherwell
Dundee
1
2
L
28.02.26
Pre
Motherwell
Dundee Utd
2
0
W
21.02.26
Pre
Motherwell
ST Mirren
5
0
W
15.02.26
Pre
Motherwell
Aberdeen
2
0
W
11.02.26
Pre
Motherwell
Rangers
1
1
D
31.01.26
Pre
Motherwell
Livingston
2
0
W
24.01.26
Pre
Motherwell
Kilmarnock
4
0
W
10.01.26
Pre
Motherwell
Hibernian
1
1
D
H2H: Kilmarnock vs Motherwell
24.01.26
H2H
Motherwell
Kilmarnock
4
0
L
22.11.25
H2H
Kilmarnock
Motherwell
1
3
L
30.08.25
H2H
Motherwell
Kilmarnock
2
2
D
14.05.25
H2H
Motherwell
Kilmarnock
3
0
L
05.04.25
H2H
Kilmarnock
Motherwell
2
0
W
08.01.25
H2H
Kilmarnock
Motherwell
0
0
D
20.12.24
H2H
Motherwell
Kilmarnock
1
1
D
18.08.24
H2H
Motherwell
Kilmarnock
1
0
L
03.02.24
H2H
Motherwell
Kilmarnock
1
1
D
04.11.23
H2H
Kilmarnock
Motherwell
1
0
W
26.08.23
H2H
Motherwell
Kilmarnock
2
1
L
06.05.23
H2H
Motherwell
Kilmarnock
2
0
L
25.02.23
H2H
Kilmarnock
Motherwell
1
1
D
23.12.22
H2H
Motherwell
Kilmarnock
2
2
D
27.08.22
H2H
Kilmarnock
Motherwell
2
1
W
Last matches: Kilmarnock
12.05.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Dundee
3
1
W
02.05.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Dundee Utd
3
0
W
11.04.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Dundee
2
2
D
21.03.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Livingston
2
0
W
14.03.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Heart Of Midlothian
1
0
W
15.02.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Celtic
2
3
L
11.02.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
ST Mirren
4
3
W
31.01.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Aberdeen
3
0
W
03.01.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Hibernian
1
3
L
20.12.25
Pre
Kilmarnock
Falkirk
0
1
L
06.12.25
Pre
Kilmarnock
Rangers
0
3
L
29.11.25
Pre
Kilmarnock
Dundee Utd
1
1
D
22.11.25
Pre
Kilmarnock
Motherwell
1
3
L
29.10.25
Pre
Kilmarnock
Aberdeen
0
1
L
18.10.25
Pre
Kilmarnock
Heart Of Midlothian
0
3
L
04.10.25
Pre
Kilmarnock
ST Mirren
2
0
W
14.09.25
Pre
Kilmarnock
Celtic
1
2
L
23.08.25
Pre
Kilmarnock
Dundee
0
0
D
02.08.25
Pre
Kilmarnock
Livingston
2
2
D
H2H at home: Kilmarnock
22.11.25
H2H
Kilmarnock
Motherwell
1
3
L
05.04.25
H2H
Kilmarnock
Motherwell
2
0
W
08.01.25
H2H
Kilmarnock
Motherwell
0
0
D
04.11.23
H2H
Kilmarnock
Motherwell
1
0
W
25.02.23
H2H
Kilmarnock
Motherwell
1
1
D
27.08.22
H2H
Kilmarnock
Motherwell
2
1
W
Last matches: Motherwell
05.07.26
Fri
Motherwell
Aarhus
0
4
L
16.05.26
Pre
Motherwell
Hibernian
1
0
W
02.05.26
Pre
Motherwell
Falkirk
0
1
L
26.04.26
Pre
Motherwell
Rangers
3
2
W
11.04.26
Pre
Motherwell
Heart Of Midlothian
1
3
L
14.03.26
Pre
Motherwell
Celtic
1
3
L
07.03.26
Pre
Motherwell
Dundee
1
2
L
21.02.26
Pre
Motherwell
ST Mirren
5
0
W
31.01.26
Pre
Motherwell
Livingston
2
0
W
10.01.26
Pre
Motherwell
Hibernian
1
1
D
27.12.25
Pre
Motherwell
Rangers
0
1
L
13.12.25
Pre
Motherwell
Dundee Utd
0
0
D
03.12.25
Pre
Motherwell
Falkirk
0
0
D
22.11.25
Pre
Motherwell
Kilmarnock
3
1
W
09.11.25
Pre
Motherwell
Aberdeen
1
1
D
25.10.25
Pre
Motherwell
Livingston
2
1
W
05.10.25
Pre
Motherwell
Celtic
2
3
L
13.09.25
Pre
Motherwell
Dundee
1
1
D
23.08.25
Pre
Motherwell
Heart Of Midlothian
3
3
D
09.08.25
Pre
Motherwell
ST Mirren
0
0
D
H2H away: Motherwell
22.11.25
H2H
Kilmarnock
Motherwell
1
3
W
05.04.25
H2H
Kilmarnock
Motherwell
2
0
L
08.01.25
H2H
Kilmarnock
Motherwell
0
0
D
04.11.23
H2H
Kilmarnock
Motherwell
1
0
L
25.02.23
H2H
Kilmarnock
Motherwell
1
1
D
27.08.22
H2H
Kilmarnock
Motherwell
2
1
L

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
2 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
3 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
4 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
5 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
6 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
7 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
8 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
9 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
10 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
11 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
12 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
Promotion - Premiership (Championship Group)
Premiership (Relegation Group)