Login Register
FINLAND › YKKöSLIIGA
09.10.2026 16:00
FT
1 - 1
Markku.fi Areena
Referee: J. Nieminen
KäPa
Match Timeline
MP
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
5'
D. Ripatti
KäPa
⚽
13'
S. Seppanen
MP
🟨
14'
D. Ripatti
KäPa
🟨
15'
N. Forsell
MP
🟨
58'
O. Heinonen
KäPa
🟨
65'
S. Puputti
KäPa
🟨
71'
A. Ring
MP
🟨
71'
H. Toivonen
KäPa
🔄
72'
S. Puputti ↔ R. Huhtamaki
KäPa
🔄
72'
O. Heinonen ↔ V. Jokiranta
KäPa
🔄
73'
S. Obioha ↔ S. Stenius
MP
🔄
80'
H. Toivonen ↔ E. Ahola
KäPa
🔄
87'
N. Leinonen ↔ J. Salmi
KäPa
🔄
87'
A. Tervaniemi ↔ M. Koivuniemi
MP

KäPa vs MP Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 75.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
75.2%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
78.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
KäPa Win 24.8%
Draw 27.3%
MP Win 47.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
KäPa1.29
MP1.42
Recent Form (Last 5)
KäPa KäPa
WWDLW
34 GF / 48 GA
MP MP
WLDWL
38 GF / 44 GA
Key Stats
1.21
Average Goals Scored
1.23
1.71
Average Goals Conceded
1.42
18
BTTS Yes
16
19
Over 2.5
13
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

KäPa KäPa 28 matches
MP MP 31 matches
KäPa Statistic MP
8 Wins 11
6 Draws 6
14 Losses 14
34 Goals For 38
48 Goals Against 44
1.21 Avg Goals Scored 1.23
1.71 Avg Goals Conceded 1.42
18 BTTS Yes 16
21 Over 1.5 22
19 Over 2.5 13
12 Over 3.5 8
4 Clean Sheets 6
8 Failed To Score 9
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring MP. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward MP having the stronger overall control.

KäPa Analysis

So far, KäPa have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 24 points from 25 matches. The record of 6 wins, 6 draws, and 13 defeats, together with a 30:45 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

MP Analysis

From their first 25 matches, MP have collected 29 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 5 draws, and 12 losses, while the 27:35 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses fits a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, KäPa won 6 times, MP won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:15 from KäPa's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 4.22 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (75.2%)
H2H summary: KäPa wins 6, draws 1, MP wins 2

Standings

Ykkösliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 18 4 4 48:26 22 58
L D W W W
2 26 14 7 5 41:21 20 49
L D L W D
3 26 14 5 7 50:29 21 47
W L W D L
4 26 12 8 6 36:21 15 44
W D L W L
5 26 11 2 13 23:40 -17 35
L L W L W
6
MP Away
26 8 6 12 28:36 -8 30
D D W D W
7 26 8 5 13 29:44 -15 29
L D L D D
8 26 6 8 12 37:37 0 26
W W L L D
9
KäPa Home
26 6 7 13 31:46 -15 25
D W W L D
10 26 3 8 15 21:44 -23 17
W D L D L
Promotion - Veikkausliiga
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Promotion)
Ykkosliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Ykkonen