ICELAND ÚRVALSDEILD
27.07.2026 19:15
Referee: T. Thordarson
KA Akureyri
Match Timeline
Thor Akureyri
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
13'
B. Hlynsson
Thor Akureyri
🟨
22'
A. Palsson
KA Akureyri
🟨
26'
F. Gislason
Thor Akureyri
🔄
41'
K. Kristjansson ↔ V. Ottosson
Thor Akureyri
🔄
46'
R. Ragnarsson ↔ A. Arnarsson
Thor Akureyri
🟨
49'
S. Hoskuldsson
Thor Akureyri
🔄
63'
K. Gautason ↔ B. Baldursson
KA Akureyri
🟨
67'
J. Arnason
KA Akureyri
🔄
70'
D. Djuric ↔ V. Saevarsson
KA Akureyri
🔄
70'
B. Hlynsson ↔ S. Ingason
Thor Akureyri
🔄
70'
C. Jakobsen ↔ T. Ingolfsson
Thor Akureyri
🔄
74'
V. Bertomeu ↔ A. Sigurjonsson
Thor Akureyri
🟨
81'
A. Sigurjonsson
Thor Akureyri
🟨
84'
Y. Affi
Thor Akureyri
🔄
88'
A. Romer ↔ S. Kroon
KA Akureyri
🔄
88'
A. Palsson ↔ M. Thordarson
KA Akureyri

KA Akureyri vs Thor Akureyri Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 73.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 88%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
73.2%
-
BTTS Yes
88%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
KA Akureyri Win 73.2%
Draw 18.5%
Thor Akureyri Win 8.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
KA Akureyri2.08
Thor Akureyri1.57
Recent Form (Last 5)
KA Akureyri KA Akureyri
WWDLW
26 GF / 33 GA
Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri
WLDWL
20 GF / 44 GA
Key Stats
1.63
Average Goals Scored
1.25
2.06
Average Goals Conceded
2.75
12
BTTS Yes
11
11
Over 2.5
12
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 16 matches
Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 16 matches
KA Akureyri Statistic Thor Akureyri
5 Wins 4
2 Draws 2
9 Losses 10
26 Goals For 20
33 Goals Against 44
1.63 Avg Goals Scored 1.25
2.06 Avg Goals Conceded 2.75
12 BTTS Yes 11
14 Over 1.5 13
11 Over 2.5 12
8 Over 3.5 9
2 Clean Sheets 1
2 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Thor Akureyri having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Thor Akureyri. KA Akureyri have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

KA Akureyri Analysis

KA Akureyri approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 10 with 14 points from 15 matches. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 2 draws, and 9 defeats, and the 24:32 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Thor Akureyri Analysis

Thor Akureyri sit 12 with 11 points after 15 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 2 draws, and 10 losses, while the 17:42 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses points toward a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, KA Akureyri won 4 times, Thor Akureyri won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:0 from KA Akureyri's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (91.6%)
Predicted formations: KA Akureyri 4-1-4-1 / Thor Akureyri 4-3-3
H2H summary: KA Akureyri wins 4, draws 1, Thor Akureyri wins 0

Standings

Úrvalsdeild
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 16 5 1 67:21 46 53
W D D W W
2 22 13 6 3 56:42 14 45
D D W W L
3 22 13 5 4 74:49 25 44
W L D W D
4 22 8 6 8 43:41 2 30
L L L D L
5 22 8 6 8 39:41 -2 30
L W D D W
6 22 8 4 10 33:38 -5 28
L L L W W
7 22 8 4 10 42:50 -8 28
W D W W L
8 22 8 3 11 39:45 -6 27
W W D L D
9 22 4 9 9 27:39 -12 21
W L W D L
10 22 6 3 13 22:50 -28 21
L W W L L
11 22 5 5 12 35:48 -13 20
L W D L D
12 22 4 6 12 32:45 -13 18
L D L L L
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs