BRAZIL SERIE B
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Alfredo Jaconi
Referee: A. Policarpo Bento
Juventude
Match Timeline
Vila Nova
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
11'
Luis Mandaca
Juventude
🔄
19'
Ryan ↔ Bruno Xavier
Vila Nova
45'
Messias · Assist: Rai Silva
Juventude
🔄
46'
↔ Higor Meritao
Vila Nova
🟨
57'
Patryck
Juventude
🟨
68'
André Luís
Vila Nova
🔄
70'
Mandaca ↔ Fabio Lima
Juventude
🔄
70'
MP ↔ M. Castro
Juventude
🔄
70'
Luan Martins ↔ Lucas Mineiro
Juventude
🟨
72'
Lucas Mineiro
Juventude
🔄
75'
Nathan Camargo ↔ Hayner
Vila Nova
🔄
75'
Marquinhos Gabriel ↔ Dodo
Vila Nova
🔄
77'
Alisson Safira ↔ Allanzinho
Juventude
🔄
81'
Dudu ↔ Dellatorre
Vila Nova
🟨
85'
Rodrigo Sam
Juventude
🔄
86'
Rai Ramos ↔ Gabriel Pinheiro
Juventude

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 56.3%
Odds 1.79
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds 2.20
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds 2.46
1 agree / 0 disagree
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
56.3%
1.79
BTTS Yes
58.2%
2.20
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
2.46
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
90.8%
1.25
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.00
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.50
Probability Distribution
Juventude Win 56.3%
Draw 4.9%
Vila Nova Win 38.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Juventude1.05
Vila Nova1.14
Recent Form (Last 5)
Juventude Juventude
WWDLW
16 GF / 8 GA
Vila Nova Vila Nova
WLDWL
25 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.56
0.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.13
3
BTTS Yes
10
4
Over 2.5
8
4.44
Shots on Goal
3.88

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Juventude Juventude 16 matches
Vila Nova Vila Nova 16 matches
Juventude Statistic Vila Nova
7 Wins 9
5 Draws 4
4 Losses 3
16 Goals For 25
8 Goals Against 18
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.56
0.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1.13
3 BTTS Yes 10
8 Over 1.5 11
4 Over 2.5 8
0 Over 3.5 3
11 Clean Sheets 4
6 Failed To Score 2
4.44 Shots On Goal 3.88
12 Total Shots 13.13
4.19 Corners 4.69
50% Ball Possession 51.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Vila Nova. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Juventude expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Vila Nova in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Vila Nova having the stronger overall control. Juventude come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods.

Juventude Analysis

Juventude are currently 6 in the standings with 25 points from 15 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, while the 16:8 goal ratio supports the view of very strong form and are on a winning streak. Going forward they rely heavily on Raí (3 goals), Alan Kardec (1 goals), Wadson (1 goals), with creative support from Alan Kardec (1 assists), Wadson (1 assists), Alisson Safira (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses fits a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Vila Nova Analysis

Vila Nova approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 28 points after 15 outings. They have recorded 8 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, with a 23:17 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Ryan Lima (3 goals), Rafael Silva (3 goals), Janderson (2 goals), with creative support from Janderson (4 assists), Marquinhos Gabriel (4 assists), Ryan Lima (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, their record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Juventude won 2 times, Vila Nova won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:6 from Juventude's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 0.9 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.1%)
Predicted formations: Juventude 3-4-2-1 / Vila Nova 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Juventude wins 2, draws 4, Vila Nova wins 4
Stats
Juventude Juventude
Vila Nova Vila Nova
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
0
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
5
5 Corner Kicks 2
24 Fouls 16
3 Offsides 1
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Goal 0
4 Shots off Goal 3
2 Blocked Shots 5
4 Shots insidebox 6
6 Shots outsidebox 2
0 Goalkeeper Saves 3
324 Total passes 419
251 Passes accurate 344
0.49 expected_goals 0.62
🟨 4 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Juventude
Formation
Vila Nova
Jandrei
Jandrei
Rodrigo Sam
Rodrigo Sam
Messias
Messias
Marcos Paulo
Marcos Paulo
Rai Ramos
Rai Ramos
Luan Martins
Luan Martins
Mandaca
Mandaca
Patryck
Patryck
Rai Silva
🎯
Rai Silva
MP
MP
Alisson Safira
Alisson Safira
Helton Leite
Helton Leite
Nathan Camargo
Nathan Camargo
Tiago Pagnussat
Tiago Pagnussat
Anderson Jesus
Anderson Jesus
Higor
Higor
Joao Vieira
Joao Vieira
Ryan
Ryan
Dudu
Dudu
Marquinhos Gabriel
Marquinhos Gabriel
Janderson
Janderson
Andre Luis
Andre Luis
Juventude 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
93
Jandrei
G
34
Rodrigo Sam
🟨 85'
D
4
Messias
⚽ 45'
D
47
Marcos Paulo
D
2
Rai Ramos
↓ 86'
M
5
Luan Martins
↓ 70'
M
44
Mandaca
↓ 70' 🟨 11'
M
30
Patryck
🟨 57'
M
75
Rai Silva
🎯 45'
F
10
MP
↓ 70'
F
25
Alisson Safira
↓ 77'
F
Substitutes
12
Pedro Rocha
G
3
Titi
D
7
Pablo Roberto
M
20
Allanzinho
↑ 77'
F
11
Fabio Lima
↑ 70'
F
27
Ray Breno
6
Wadson
D
9
Alan Kardec
F
17
M. Castro
↑ 70'
F
8
Lucas Mineiro
↑ 70' 🟨 72'
M
97
Gabriel Pinheiro
↑ 86'
D
26
I. Ly
Vila Nova 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
1
Helton Leite
G
20
Nathan Camargo
↓ 75'
D
3
Tiago Pagnussat
D
14
Anderson Jesus
6
Higor
D
5
Joao Vieira
M
11
Ryan
↓ 19'
15
Dudu
↓ 81'
M
10
Marquinhos Gabriel
↓ 75'
M
99
Janderson
M
7
Andre Luis
🟨 68'
F
Substitutes
29
Dalberson
G
33
Bruno Xavier
↑ 19'
M
22
Hayner
↑ 75'
D
16
Igor Carius
D
18
Enzo Bizzotto
M
23
Breno Augusto
49
Dellatorre
↑ 81'
F
31
Dodo
↑ 75'
M
13
Willian Formiga
D
70
Emerson Urso
F
21
Higor Meritao
↑ 46'
M
Last matches: Juventude
05.07.26
Ser
Juventude
Nautico Recife
0
0
D
28.06.26
Ser
Juventude
Ceara
2
0
W
21.06.26
Ser
Juventude
São Bernardo
1
0
W
14.06.26
Ser
Juventude
Ponte Preta
3
0
W
05.06.26
Ser
Juventude
Operario-PR
1
2
L
30.05.26
Ser
Juventude
America Mineiro
3
0
W
23.05.26
Ser
Juventude
Sport Recife
0
1
L
17.05.26
Ser
Juventude
Athletic Club
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Juventude
Criciuma
0
0
D
03.05.26
Ser
Juventude
Atletico Goianiense
0
0
D
26.04.26
Ser
Juventude
Londrina
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Juventude
CRB
1
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Juventude
Goias
2
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Juventude
Fortaleza EC
1
2
L
31.03.26
Ser
Juventude
Novorizontino
0
0
D
22.03.26
Ser
Juventude
Avai
0
2
L
Last matches: Vila Nova
06.07.26
Ser
Vila Nova
São Bernardo
2
1
W
26.06.26
Ser
Vila Nova
Novorizontino
1
2
L
20.06.26
Ser
Vila Nova
Nautico Recife
4
3
W
14.06.26
Ser
Vila Nova
Cuiaba
0
1
L
08.06.26
Ser
Vila Nova
Botafogo SP
1
0
W
31.05.26
Ser
Vila Nova
Londrina
1
0
W
24.05.26
Ser
Vila Nova
America Mineiro
2
1
W
17.05.26
Ser
Vila Nova
Avai
2
0
W
09.05.26
Ser
Vila Nova
Goias
0
1
L
04.05.26
Ser
Vila Nova
Athletic Club
1
1
D
26.04.26
Ser
Vila Nova
Ceara
3
3
D
18.04.26
Ser
Vila Nova
Operario-PR
2
1
W
11.04.26
Ser
Vila Nova
Ponte Preta
1
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Vila Nova
Atletico Goianiense
2
1
W
01.04.26
Ser
Vila Nova
Sport Recife
1
1
D
21.03.26
Ser
Vila Nova
CRB
2
2
D
H2H: Juventude vs Vila Nova
10.07.26
H2H
Juventude
Vila Nova
1
0
W
07.08.23
H2H
Juventude
Vila Nova
0
2
L
30.04.23
H2H
Vila Nova
Juventude
1
0
L
09.04.21
H2H
Vila Nova
Juventude
1
1
D
08.05.19
H2H
Vila Nova
Juventude
0
0
D
25.04.19
H2H
Juventude
Vila Nova
0
0
D
20.10.18
H2H
Vila Nova
Juventude
1
0
L
26.06.18
H2H
Juventude
Vila Nova
0
1
L
18.08.17
H2H
Juventude
Vila Nova
1
0
W
19.05.17
H2H
Vila Nova
Juventude
0
0
D
Last matches: Juventude
28.06.26
Ser
Juventude
Ceara
2
0
W
14.06.26
Ser
Juventude
Ponte Preta
3
0
W
30.05.26
Ser
Juventude
America Mineiro
3
0
W
23.05.26
Ser
Juventude
Sport Recife
0
1
L
10.05.26
Ser
Juventude
Criciuma
0
0
D
26.04.26
Ser
Juventude
Londrina
1
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Juventude
Goias
2
0
W
31.03.26
Ser
Juventude
Novorizontino
0
0
D
H2H at home: Juventude
10.07.26
H2H
Juventude
Vila Nova
1
0
W
07.08.23
H2H
Juventude
Vila Nova
0
2
L
25.04.19
H2H
Juventude
Vila Nova
0
0
D
26.06.18
H2H
Juventude
Vila Nova
0
1
L
18.08.17
H2H
Juventude
Vila Nova
1
0
W
Last matches: Vila Nova
26.06.26
Ser
Vila Nova
Novorizontino
1
2
L
14.06.26
Ser
Vila Nova
Cuiaba
0
1
L
31.05.26
Ser
Vila Nova
Londrina
1
0
W
24.05.26
Ser
Vila Nova
America Mineiro
2
1
W
09.05.26
Ser
Vila Nova
Goias
0
1
L
26.04.26
Ser
Vila Nova
Ceara
3
3
D
11.04.26
Ser
Vila Nova
Ponte Preta
1
0
W
01.04.26
Ser
Vila Nova
Sport Recife
1
1
D
H2H away: Vila Nova
10.07.26
H2H
Juventude
Vila Nova
1
0
L
07.08.23
H2H
Juventude
Vila Nova
0
2
W
25.04.19
H2H
Juventude
Vila Nova
0
0
D
26.06.18
H2H
Juventude
Vila Nova
0
1
W
18.08.17
H2H
Juventude
Vila Nova
1
0
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 5.04
Draw 3.30
Home 1.79
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 5.70
Draw 2.06
Home 2.48
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.10
Over 1.5 1.47
Over 1.75 1.61
Over 2.0 1.83
Over 2.25 2.15
Over 2.5 2.46
Over 3.5 4.78
Under 0.5 6.82
Under 1.5 2.66
Under 1.75 2.33
Under 2.0 1.99
Under 2.25 1.70
Under 2.5 1.54
Under 3.5 1.18
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.75
Draw 3.20
Home 1.83
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 5.50
Draw 2.00
Home 2.50
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.50
Draw 2.25
Home 2.20
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.10
Over 1.5 1.44
Over 2.5 2.40
Over 3.5 4.50
Over 4.5 11.00
Over 5.5 23.00
Over 6.5 51.00
Under 0.5 7.00
Under 1.5 2.62
Under 2.5 1.53
Under 3.5 1.18
Under 4.5 1.05
Under 5.5 1.01
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.69
Draw 3.25
Home 1.81
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 5.69
Draw 1.93
Home 2.46
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.96
Draw 2.25
Home 2.20
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.04
Over 0.75 1.05
Over 1.0 1.08
Over 1.25 1.24
Over 1.5 1.41
Over 1.75 1.54
Over 2.0 1.75
Over 2.25 2.10
Over 2.5 2.42
Over 2.75 2.81
Over 3.0 3.72
Over 3.25 4.14
Over 3.5 4.55
Over 3.75 5.89
Over 4.0 8.80
Over 4.5 10.50
Over 5.5 26.00
Over 6.5 50.00
Under 0.5 7.10
Under 0.75 6.40
Under 1.0 5.65
Under 1.25 3.34
Under 1.5 2.52
Under 1.75 2.24
Under 2.0 1.91
Under 2.25 1.70
Under 2.5 1.53
Under 2.75 1.35
Under 3.0 1.21
Under 3.25 1.16
Under 3.5 1.13
Under 3.75 1.07
Under 4.0 1.01
Under 4.5 1.01
Under 5.5 1.01
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.40
Draw 3.40
Home 1.82
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 5.00
Draw 2.07
Home 2.50
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.40
Draw 2.43
Home 2.23
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.06
Over 1.5 1.41
Over 1.75 1.52
Over 2.0 1.70
Over 2.25 2.00
Over 2.5 2.28
Over 2.75 2.70
Over 3.0 3.50
Over 3.25 3.90
Over 3.5 4.30
Over 4.5 9.00
Under 0.5 8.00
Under 1.5 2.80
Under 1.75 2.45
Under 2.0 2.10
Under 2.25 1.78
Under 2.5 1.60
Under 2.75 1.44
Under 3.0 1.28
Under 3.25 1.24
Under 3.5 1.19
Under 4.5 1.04

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 17 9 6 2 20:12 8 33
W W W W D
2 17 9 4 4 25:19 6 31
L W L W L
3 17 9 4 4 22:18 4 31
W W W W L
4 17 8 6 3 28:16 12 30
L W W W D
5 17 8 5 4 17:8 9 29
W D W W W
6 17 8 4 5 20:17 3 28
L W W D L
7 17 7 5 5 23:16 7 26
D L L L D
8 17 6 8 3 21:15 6 26
D L L D D
9 17 7 4 6 18:23 -5 25
D W W L D
10 17 6 6 5 19:19 0 24
W L W D D
11 17 5 9 3 14:11 3 24
D W D L W
12 16 5 7 4 16:16 0 22
L W L D D
13 17 6 3 8 21:21 0 21
L D L L D
14 17 5 5 7 20:18 2 20
D W L W W
15 17 5 5 7 26:31 -5 20
D L W D D
16 16 5 3 8 24:24 0 18
W D W W L
17 16 4 5 7 15:20 -5 17
L L L D W
18 17 4 4 9 18:24 -6 16
W L L W L
19 17 2 2 13 11:33 -22 8
L L L L L
20 16 1 3 12 10:27 -17 6
L L L W L
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