Necaxa
Match Timeline
Cruz Azul
Necaxa vs Cruz Azul Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
No Draw
BTTS
Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
86.3%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
88%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
87%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Necaxa Win 41.5%
Draw 13.7%
Cruz Azul Win 44.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Necaxa1.59
Cruz Azul1.68
Recent Form (Last 5)
Necaxa
WWDLW
16 GF / 12 GA
Cruz Azul
WLDWL
28 GF / 22 GA
Key Stats
1.6
Average Goals Scored
2
1.2
Average Goals Conceded
1.57
7
BTTS Yes
9
6
Over 2.5
11
5.8
Shots on Goal
7.27
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Necaxa
10 matches
Cruz Azul
14 matches
| Necaxa | Statistic | Cruz Azul |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 6 |
| 3 | Draws | 3 |
| 2 | Losses | 5 |
| 16 | Goals For | 28 |
| 12 | Goals Against | 22 |
| 1.6 | Avg Goals Scored | 2 |
| 1.2 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.57 |
| 7 | BTTS Yes | 9 |
| 7 | Over 1.5 | 14 |
| 6 | Over 2.5 | 11 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 5.8 | Shots On Goal | 7.27 |
| 15.6 | Total Shots | 20.55 |
| 5.6 | Corners | 7 |
| 53.4% | Ball Possession | 60.9% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Necaxa won 3 times, Cruz Azul won 9 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:28 from Necaxa's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.
1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.3%)
Predicted formations: Necaxa 3-5-2 / Cruz Azul 5-4-1
H2H summary: Necaxa wins 3, draws 3, Cruz Azul wins 9
Standings
Liga MX: Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 22:11 | 11 | 21 |
D
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 25:15 | 10 | 20 |
L
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15:8 | 7 | 20 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18:11 | 7 | 19 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 18 |
D
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 17:18 | -1 | 18 |
D
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 7 |
Cruz Azul
Away
|
11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 22:21 | 1 | 17 |
D
D
L
W
W
|
| 8 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15:14 | 1 | 15 |
D
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12:13 | -1 | 15 |
D
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17:15 | 2 | 14 |
D
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 18:14 | 4 | 13 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 12 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 17:19 | -2 | 13 |
D
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 13 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 13:15 | -2 | 13 |
W
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 14 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 12:16 | -4 | 13 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15:20 | -5 | 12 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 12:17 | -5 | 11 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 17 |
Necaxa
Home
|
11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 15:23 | -8 | 9 |
D
L
L
L
D
|
| 18 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8:26 | -18 | 4 |
D
L
W
L
L
|
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs: Quarter-finals)