BRAZIL SERIE B
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Alfredo Jaconi
Referee: L. Casagrande
Juventude
Match Timeline
Ceara
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
13'
Diogo Barbosa ↔ Gabriel Pinheiro
Juventude
26'
Alisson Safira · Assist: Marcos Paulo
Juventude
34'
Gabriel Pinheiro · Assist: Rai Silva
Juventude
🔄
46'
Pedro Esli ↔ Caio
Ceara
🔄
63'
Joao Gabriel ↔ Luiz Otavio
Ceara
🔄
63'
R. Ramos ↔ Enzo Lodovico
Ceara
🔄
64'
MP ↔ Mandaca
Juventude
🔄
64'
Rai Silva ↔ M. Castro
Juventude
🔄
67'
Matheusinho ↔ Kaua Ziegler
Ceara
🟨
68'
Enzo Valentim Lodovico
Ceara
🔄
78'
Alisson Safira ↔ Wadson
Juventude
🔄
78'
Fabio Lima ↔ Luan Martins
Juventude
🔄
78'
Melk ↔ Wendel Silva
Ceara

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 67%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
67%
-
BTTS Yes
71.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
88.6%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Juventude Win 67%
Draw 5.1%
Ceara Win 27.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Juventude1.06
Ceara0.87
Recent Form (Last 5)
Juventude Juventude
WWDLW
14 GF / 8 GA
Ceara Ceara
WLDWL
15 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.07
0.57
Average Goals Conceded
1.14
3
BTTS Yes
8
4
Over 2.5
5
4.36
Shots on Goal
4.29

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Juventude Juventude 14 matches
Ceara Ceara 14 matches
Juventude Statistic Ceara
6 Wins 4
4 Draws 5
4 Losses 5
14 Goals For 15
8 Goals Against 16
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.07
0.57 Avg Goals Conceded 1.14
3 BTTS Yes 8
7 Over 1.5 10
4 Over 2.5 5
0 Over 3.5 1
9 Clean Sheets 3
5 Failed To Score 4
4.36 Shots On Goal 4.29
12.21 Total Shots 13.21
4.21 Corners 5.43
50.9% Ball Possession 48.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Juventude's more proactive style and Ceara's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Ceara. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Ceara arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Ceara having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Juventude Analysis

Juventude are currently 8 in the standings with 19 points from 13 matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 13:8 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by MP (3 goals), Raí (3 goals), Alan Kardec (2 goals), with creative support from Alan Kardec (1 assists), Alisson Safira (1 assists), Fabio Lima (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Ceara Analysis

Ceara sit 14 with 17 points after 14 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 5 draws, and 5 defeats, and the 15:16 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Melk (4 goals), Juan Alano (2 goals), Julio Cesar (2 goals), with creative support from Melk (3 assists), Julio Cesar (1 assists), Fernandinho (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Juventude won 7 times, Ceara won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:10 from Juventude's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.9%)
Predicted formations: Juventude 3-4-3 / Ceara 3-5-2
H2H summary: Juventude wins 7, draws 1, Ceara wins 3
Stats
Juventude Juventude
Ceara Ceara
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
3
6 Corner Kicks 4
17 Fouls 15
1 Offsides 1
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Goal 2
3 Shots off Goal 5
2 Blocked Shots 3
5 Shots insidebox 4
5 Shots outsidebox 6
2 Goalkeeper Saves 3
204 Total passes 208
90 Passes accurate 83
0.86 expected_goals 1.09
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Juventude
Formation
Ceara
Jandrei
Jandrei
Rodrigo Sam
Rodrigo Sam
Messias
Messias
Marcos Paulo
🎯
Marcos Paulo
Aderlan
Aderlan
Rai Silva
🎯
Rai Silva
Lucas Mineiro
Lucas Mineiro
Diogo Barbosa
Diogo Barbosa
Fabio Lima
Fabio Lima
MP
MP
Alisson Safira
Alisson Safira
Richard
Richard
Julio Cesar
Julio Cesar
Luiz Otavio
Luiz Otavio
Gabriel Rocha
Gabriel Rocha
R. Ramos
R. Ramos
Joao Gabriel
Joao Gabriel
Pedro Esli
Pedro Esli
Sanchez
Sanchez
Melk
Melk
Lucca
Lucca
Matheusinho
Matheusinho
Juventude 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
93
Jandrei
G
34
Rodrigo Sam
D
4
Messias
D
47
Marcos Paulo
🎯 26'
D
13
Aderlan
M
75
Rai Silva
🎯 34' ↓ 64'
M
8
Lucas Mineiro
M
16
Diogo Barbosa
↓ 13'
M
11
Fabio Lima
↓ 78'
F
10
MP
↓ 64'
F
25
Alisson Safira
⚽ 26' ↓ 78'
F
Substitutes
12
Pedro Rocha
G
3
Titi
D
2
Rai Ramos
D
20
Allanzinho
F
44
Mandaca
↑ 64'
M
27
Ray Breno
6
Wadson
↑ 78'
D
17
M. Castro
↑ 64'
F
97
Gabriel Pinheiro
⚽ 34' ↑ 13'
D
30
Patryck
D
5
Luan Martins
↑ 78'
D
26
I. Ly
Ceara 3-3-3 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
Richard
G
18
Julio Cesar
D
4
Luiz Otavio
D
71
Gabriel Rocha
D
2
R. Ramos
↓ 63'
81
Joao Gabriel
↓ 63'
M
80
Pedro Esli
↓ 46'
M
12
Sanchez
M
40
Melk
↓ 78'
F
99
Lucca
F
98
Matheusinho
↓ 67'
F
Substitutes
94
Bruno Ferreira
G
9
Wendel Silva
↑ 78'
F
17
Fernando
D
90
Kaua Ziegler
↑ 67'
F
45
Vini Uchella
M
26
Richardson
M
13
Luiz Otavio
↑ 63'
D
31
Bryan Borges
D
8
Matheus Araujo
M
88
Caio
↑ 46'
60
Enzo Lodovico
↑ 63' 🟨 68'
F
Last matches: Juventude
10.07.26
Ser
Juventude
Vila Nova
1
0
W
05.07.26
Ser
Juventude
Nautico Recife
0
0
D
21.06.26
Ser
Juventude
São Bernardo
1
0
W
14.06.26
Ser
Juventude
Ponte Preta
3
0
W
05.06.26
Ser
Juventude
Operario-PR
1
2
L
30.05.26
Ser
Juventude
America Mineiro
3
0
W
23.05.26
Ser
Juventude
Sport Recife
0
1
L
17.05.26
Ser
Juventude
Athletic Club
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Juventude
Criciuma
0
0
D
03.05.26
Ser
Juventude
Atletico Goianiense
0
0
D
26.04.26
Ser
Juventude
Londrina
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Juventude
CRB
1
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Juventude
Goias
2
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Juventude
Fortaleza EC
1
2
L
31.03.26
Ser
Juventude
Novorizontino
0
0
D
22.03.26
Ser
Juventude
Avai
0
2
L
Last matches: Ceara
13.07.26
Ser
Ceara
Athletic Club
0
0
D
04.07.26
Ser
Ceara
Goias
0
2
L
20.06.26
Ser
Ceara
Botafogo SP
0
1
L
16.06.26
Ser
Ceara
Criciuma
1
1
D
10.06.26
Ser
Ceara
Avai
2
1
W
31.05.26
Ser
Ceara
Operario-PR
1
2
L
23.05.26
Ser
Ceara
Novorizontino
1
2
L
17.05.26
Ser
Ceara
Fortaleza EC
2
1
W
09.05.26
Ser
Ceara
Atletico Goianiense
0
1
L
03.05.26
Ser
Ceara
Sport Recife
0
2
L
26.04.26
Ser
Ceara
Vila Nova
3
3
D
19.04.26
Ser
Ceara
Londrina
0
0
D
11.04.26
Ser
Ceara
Nautico Recife
1
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Ceara
Cuiaba
2
0
W
02.04.26
Ser
Ceara
Ponte Preta
1
1
D
21.03.26
Ser
Ceara
São Bernardo
1
1
D
H2H: Juventude vs Ceara
28.06.26
H2H
Juventude
Ceara
2
0
W
30.08.25
H2H
Ceara
Juventude
0
1
W
12.04.25
H2H
Juventude
Ceara
2
1
W
25.11.23
H2H
Ceara
Juventude
1
3
W
23.07.23
H2H
Juventude
Ceara
1
0
W
13.11.22
H2H
Ceara
Juventude
4
1
L
24.07.22
H2H
Juventude
Ceara
1
0
W
23.10.21
H2H
Juventude
Ceara
0
0
D
04.07.21
H2H
Ceara
Juventude
2
0
L
03.11.17
H2H
Juventude
Ceara
1
0
W
15.07.17
H2H
Ceara
Juventude
2
0
L
Last matches: Juventude
10.07.26
Ser
Juventude
Vila Nova
1
0
W
14.06.26
Ser
Juventude
Ponte Preta
3
0
W
30.05.26
Ser
Juventude
America Mineiro
3
0
W
23.05.26
Ser
Juventude
Sport Recife
0
1
L
10.05.26
Ser
Juventude
Criciuma
0
0
D
26.04.26
Ser
Juventude
Londrina
1
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Juventude
Goias
2
0
W
31.03.26
Ser
Juventude
Novorizontino
0
0
D
H2H at home: Juventude
28.06.26
H2H
Juventude
Ceara
2
0
W
12.04.25
H2H
Juventude
Ceara
2
1
W
23.07.23
H2H
Juventude
Ceara
1
0
W
24.07.22
H2H
Juventude
Ceara
1
0
W
23.10.21
H2H
Juventude
Ceara
0
0
D
03.11.17
H2H
Juventude
Ceara
1
0
W
Last matches: Ceara
04.07.26
Ser
Ceara
Goias
0
2
L
16.06.26
Ser
Ceara
Criciuma
1
1
D
23.05.26
Ser
Ceara
Novorizontino
1
2
L
03.05.26
Ser
Ceara
Sport Recife
0
2
L
19.04.26
Ser
Ceara
Londrina
0
0
D
04.04.26
Ser
Ceara
Cuiaba
2
0
W
02.04.26
Ser
Ceara
Ponte Preta
1
1
D
H2H away: Ceara
28.06.26
H2H
Juventude
Ceara
2
0
L
12.04.25
H2H
Juventude
Ceara
2
1
L
23.07.23
H2H
Juventude
Ceara
1
0
L
24.07.22
H2H
Juventude
Ceara
1
0
L
23.10.21
H2H
Juventude
Ceara
0
0
D
03.11.17
H2H
Juventude
Ceara
1
0
L

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 17 9 6 2 20:12 8 33
W W W W D
2 17 9 4 4 25:19 6 31
L W L W L
3 17 9 4 4 22:18 4 31
W W W W L
4 17 8 6 3 28:16 12 30
L W W W D
5 17 8 5 4 17:8 9 29
W D W W W
6 17 8 4 5 20:17 3 28
L W W D L
7 17 7 5 5 23:16 7 26
D L L L D
8 17 6 8 3 21:15 6 26
D L L D D
9 17 7 4 6 18:23 -5 25
D W W L D
10 17 6 6 5 19:19 0 24
W L W D D
11 17 5 9 3 14:11 3 24
D W D L W
12 17 5 8 4 16:16 0 23
D L W L D
13 17 6 3 8 21:21 0 21
L D L L D
14 17 5 5 7 20:18 2 20
D W L W W
15 17 5 5 7 26:31 -5 20
D L W D D
16 17 5 4 8 25:25 0 19
D W D W W
17
Ceara Away
17 4 6 7 15:20 -5 18
D L L L D
18 17 4 4 9 18:24 -6 16
W L L W L
19 17 2 2 13 11:33 -22 8
L L L L L
20 17 1 4 12 11:28 -17 7
D L L L W
Promotion
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