BRAZIL SERIE B
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Alfredo Jaconi
Referee: L. Casagrande
Juventude
Match Timeline
Ceara
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
13'
Diogo Barbosa ↔ Gabriel Pinheiro
Juventude
26'
Alisson Safira · Assist: Marcos Paulo
Juventude
34'
Gabriel Pinheiro · Assist: Rai Silva
Juventude
🔄
46'
Pedro Esli ↔ Caio
Ceara
🔄
63'
Joao Gabriel ↔ Luiz Otavio
Ceara
🔄
63'
R. Ramos ↔ Enzo Lodovico
Ceara
🔄
64'
MP ↔ Mandaca
Juventude
🔄
64'
Rai Silva ↔ M. Castro
Juventude
🔄
67'
Matheusinho ↔ Kaua Ziegler
Ceara
🟨
68'
Enzo Valentim Lodovico
Ceara
🔄
78'
Alisson Safira ↔ Wadson
Juventude
🔄
78'
Fabio Lima ↔ Luan Martins
Juventude
🔄
78'
Melk ↔ Wendel Silva
Ceara

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 67%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
67%
-
BTTS Yes
71.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
88.6%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Juventude Win 67%
Draw 5.1%
Ceara Win 27.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Juventude1.06
Ceara0.87
Recent Form (Last 5)
Juventude Juventude
WWDLW
14 GF / 8 GA
Ceara Ceara
WLDWL
15 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.07
0.57
Average Goals Conceded
1.14
3
BTTS Yes
8
4
Over 2.5
5
4.36
Shots on Goal
4.29

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Juventude Juventude 14 matches
Ceara Ceara 14 matches
Juventude Statistic Ceara
6 Wins 4
4 Draws 5
4 Losses 5
14 Goals For 15
8 Goals Against 16
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.07
0.57 Avg Goals Conceded 1.14
3 BTTS Yes 8
7 Over 1.5 10
4 Over 2.5 5
0 Over 3.5 1
9 Clean Sheets 3
5 Failed To Score 4
4.36 Shots On Goal 4.29
12.21 Total Shots 13.21
4.21 Corners 5.43
50.9% Ball Possession 48.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Juventude's more proactive style and Ceara's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Ceara. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Ceara arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Ceara having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Juventude Analysis

Juventude are currently 8 in the standings with 19 points from 13 matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 13:8 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by MP (3 goals), Raí (3 goals), Alan Kardec (2 goals), with creative support from Alan Kardec (1 assists), Alisson Safira (1 assists), Fabio Lima (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Ceara Analysis

Ceara sit 14 with 17 points after 14 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 5 draws, and 5 defeats, and the 15:16 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Melk (4 goals), Juan Alano (2 goals), Julio Cesar (2 goals), with creative support from Melk (3 assists), Julio Cesar (1 assists), Fernandinho (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Juventude won 7 times, Ceara won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:10 from Juventude's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.9%)
Predicted formations: Juventude 3-4-3 / Ceara 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Juventude wins 7, draws 1, Ceara wins 3

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 13 6 5 26:13 13 45
W W D W W
2 25 13 5 7 37:25 12 44
W D W W L
3 25 12 8 5 26:19 7 44
L L D W L
4 25 12 7 6 41:22 19 43
W W W D L
5 24 11 7 6 27:21 6 40
W D D D W
6 25 11 6 8 37:35 2 39
W L W D W
7 25 10 9 6 28:23 5 39
W W D L D
8 25 9 11 5 33:24 9 38
L W L W W
9 24 10 6 8 30:31 -1 36
D L L L L
10 25 10 6 9 25:30 -5 36
W D L L W
11 25 8 12 5 23:19 4 36
W D W W D
12 25 9 7 9 30:28 2 34
W D W D D
13 25 8 10 7 26:27 -1 34
L L L W W
14 25 8 8 9 34:29 5 32
L D D L W
15 25 8 7 10 29:28 1 31
L L D W W
16 25 8 5 12 27:31 -4 29
L W W W L
17
Ceara Away
25 7 7 11 25:32 -7 28
L W L L W
18 24 5 6 13 29:36 -7 21
L D L L L
19 25 3 5 17 18:42 -24 14
W L L L L
20 25 2 4 19 16:52 -36 10
L L L D L
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