01.09.2026 00:15
Estadio Presidente Peron
Referee: Carlos Andres Gariano, Argentina
Instituto Cordoba
Match Timeline
San Lorenzo
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
39'
Jhon Córdoba
Instituto Cordoba
🟨
50'
Ignacio Perruzzi
San Lorenzo
53'
G. Cerato · Assist: M. Gallardo
Instituto Cordoba
🔄
64'
I. Perruzzi ↔ M. Rio
San Lorenzo
🔄
64'
M. Reali ↔ F. Gulli
San Lorenzo
🔄
64'
J. Alvarez ↔ E. Salas
San Lorenzo
🟨
65'
Nicolás Tripichio
San Lorenzo
🟨
71'
Enzo Alan Salas
San Lorenzo
🔄
73'
M. Gallardo ↔ J. Mendez
Instituto Cordoba
🔄
73'
M. Tissera ↔ F. Suarez
Instituto Cordoba
🔄
80'
J. E. Cordoba Mosquera ↔ J. Acevedo
Instituto Cordoba
🔄
80'
J. Lazaro ↔ N. Guerra
Instituto Cordoba
🔄
85'
J. Galvan ↔ A. Massaccesi
Instituto Cordoba
🟨
90+1'
Diego Alejandro Sosa
Instituto Cordoba
🟨
90+3'
Ezequiel Herrera
San Lorenzo
🟨
90+1'
Alexis Cuello
San Lorenzo

Instituto Cordoba vs San Lorenzo Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 60.7%
Odds 1.87
BTTS
No
Probability 71.7%
Odds 1.53
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 80.5%
Odds 1.44
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
60.7%
1.87
BTTS No
71.7%
1.53
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
80.5%
1.44
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
84.4%
1.39
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.10
Correct Score 2-0
-
7.50
Probability Distribution
Instituto Cordoba Win 60.7%
Draw 10.8%
San Lorenzo Win 28.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Instituto Cordoba0.97
San Lorenzo0.89
Recent Form (Last 5)
Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba
WWDLW
27 GF / 21 GA
San Lorenzo San Lorenzo
WLDWL
23 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
1.08
Average Goals Scored
0.92
0.84
Average Goals Conceded
0.8
10
BTTS Yes
8
7
Over 2.5
4
4.45
Shots on Goal
3.83

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba 25 matches
San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 25 matches
Instituto Cordoba Statistic San Lorenzo
12 Wins 8
5 Draws 10
8 Losses 7
27 Goals For 23
21 Goals Against 20
1.08 Avg Goals Scored 0.92
0.84 Avg Goals Conceded 0.8
10 BTTS Yes 8
16 Over 1.5 11
7 Over 2.5 4
1 Over 3.5 3
9 Clean Sheets 13
7 Failed To Score 9
4.45 Shots On Goal 3.83
13.45 Total Shots 10.7
5 Corners 3.65
48.8% Ball Possession 50.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Instituto Cordoba come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring San Lorenzo. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Instituto Cordoba expected to line up in 3-4-3 and San Lorenzo in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward San Lorenzo having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Instituto Cordoba Analysis

From their first 16 matches, Instituto Cordoba have collected 21 points and now occupy 9 place in the table. The record of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 17:17 goal balance, points toward very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking threat comes through Matías Tissera (2 goals), Jeremías Lázaro (1 goals), Giuliano Cerato (1 goals), with creative support from Gastón Lodico (2 assists), Jeremías Lázaro (1 assists), Diego Alejandro Sosa (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

San Lorenzo Analysis

So far, San Lorenzo have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 22 points from 16 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 7 draws, and 4 losses, while the 14:14 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Rodrigo Auzmendi (4 goals), Alexis Cuello (1 goals), Ezequiel Herrera (1 goals), with creative support from Matias Reali (1 assists), Facundo Gulli (1 assists), Nahuel Barrios (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 5 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Instituto Cordoba won 1 times, San Lorenzo won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:5 from Instituto Cordoba's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.6 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.2%)
Predicted formations: Instituto Cordoba 3-4-3 / San Lorenzo 4-4-2
H2H summary: Instituto Cordoba wins 1, draws 1, San Lorenzo wins 3

Standings

Apertura - Group A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 9 4 3 19:7 12 31
W L D L W
2 16 8 6 2 22:9 13 30
W D W D D
3 16 7 7 2 18:12 6 28
D W D D D
4 16 7 5 4 17:13 4 26
W L D D L
5 16 6 6 4 24:20 4 24
D W L D W
6 16 6 6 4 18:15 3 24
W L D L W
7 16 5 7 4 14:14 0 22
D W L D W
8 16 5 6 5 24:20 4 21
L W W W L
9 16 6 3 7 17:17 0 21
L W D W W
10 16 4 7 5 18:21 -3 19
W L W W D
11 16 5 4 7 14:22 -8 19
L D W W W
12 16 3 7 6 10:15 -5 16
L D L W D
13 16 4 4 8 11:21 -10 16
L L D L L
14 16 3 6 7 15:27 -12 15
D D D W W
15 16 1 8 7 5:12 -7 11
D D D L W
Knockout Phase