CHILE PRIMERA B
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Estadio Zorros del Desierto

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 85.6%
Odds 1.85
BTTS
Yes
Probability 50%
Odds 1.81
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 34.5%
Odds 2.00
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
85.6%
1.85
BTTS Yes
50%
1.81
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
34.5%
2.00
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.88
Correct Score 2-1
-
10.00
Probability Distribution
Cobreloa Win 85.6%
Draw 6.2%
San Marcos de Arica Win 8.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cobreloa1.44
San Marcos de Arica1.03
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cobreloa Cobreloa
WWDLW
46 GF / 30 GA
San Marcos de Arica San Marcos de Arica
WLDWL
27 GF / 31 GA
Key Stats
1.64
Average Goals Scored
1
1.07
Average Goals Conceded
1.15
18
BTTS Yes
13
13
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cobreloa Cobreloa 28 matches
San Marcos de Arica San Marcos de Arica 27 matches
Cobreloa Statistic San Marcos de Arica
12 Wins 7
11 Draws 10
5 Losses 10
46 Goals For 27
30 Goals Against 31
1.64 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.07 Avg Goals Conceded 1.15
18 BTTS Yes 13
22 Over 1.5 18
13 Over 2.5 9
9 Over 3.5 5
9 Clean Sheets 8
4 Failed To Score 9
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward San Marcos de Arica having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring San Marcos de Arica. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. San Marcos de Arica arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Cobreloa Analysis

Cobreloa come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 1 with 38 points from 21 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 10 wins, 8 draws, and 3 losses, while the 38:23 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 8 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

San Marcos de Arica Analysis

San Marcos de Arica approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 8 with 30 points from 21 matches. Across the season they have posted 7 wins, 9 draws, and 5 defeats, and the 25:18 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Cobreloa won 6 times, San Marcos de Arica won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:16 from Cobreloa's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.8%)
H2H summary: Cobreloa wins 6, draws 4, San Marcos de Arica wins 5

Standings

Primera B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 11 8 3 39:22 17 41
W W D D D
2 21 10 8 3 38:23 15 38
L W D D D
3 22 10 7 5 40:22 18 37
W W D D W
4 22 9 8 5 32:26 6 35
W L W D D
5 22 10 5 7 38:37 1 35
L W W D W
6 22 10 4 8 29:28 1 34
L W W W L
7 22 8 7 7 32:31 1 31
D W D W D
8 22 9 4 9 23:27 -4 31
L L D L D
9 21 7 9 5 25:18 7 30
L L L D D
10 22 8 6 8 31:35 -4 30
L L W L D
11 22 7 7 8 36:33 3 28
W L D D L
12 22 5 10 7 31:27 4 25
L W D W D
13 22 5 9 8 20:32 -12 24
D W L L D
14 22 5 6 11 15:37 -22 21
D L L W D
15 22 3 8 11 24:37 -13 17
D L L W D
16 22 2 6 14 19:37 -18 12
W W L L D