BRAZIL SERIE B
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Alfredo Jaconi
Referee: L. Casagrande
Juventude
Match Timeline
Avai
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
47'
Allyson
Avai
🔄
61'
Fabio Lima ↔ Alan Kardec
Juventude
🔄
61'
Nathan Santos ↔ Aderlan
Juventude
🟨
62'
Rodrigo Sam
Juventude
🔄
66'
Ze Ricardo ↔ Paulo Vitor
Avai
🔄
66'
Allyson ↔ Reynaldo
Avai
🔄
68'
MP ↔ Luan Martins
Juventude
🔄
78'
Patryck ↔ Diogo Barbosa
Juventude
🔄
78'
Alisson Safira ↔ Lucas Alves
Juventude
🟨
82'
Daniel Penha
Avai
🔄
83'
Thayllon ↔ Gabriel Cipriano
Avai
🔄
83'
Jean Lucas ↔ William
Avai
VAR
90+5'
Lucas Alves
Juventude
🔄
90+7'
Wallison ↔ Isaias
Avai
90'
Lucas Alves · Assist: Rodrigo Sam
Juventude

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 88%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 53.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 19.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
88%
-
BTTS Yes
53.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
19.6%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
67.9%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Juventude Win 88%
Draw 4.3%
Avai Win 7.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Juventude1.21
Avai0.92
Recent Form (Last 5)
Juventude Juventude
WWDLW
21 GF / 12 GA
Avai Avai
WLDWL
21 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
1.11
Average Goals Scored
1.11
0.63
Average Goals Conceded
1.37
4
BTTS Yes
10
5
Over 2.5
9
4.37
Shots on Goal
3.05

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Juventude Juventude 19 matches
Avai Avai 19 matches
Juventude Statistic Avai
9 Wins 5
5 Draws 5
5 Losses 9
21 Goals For 21
12 Goals Against 26
1.11 Avg Goals Scored 1.11
0.63 Avg Goals Conceded 1.37
4 BTTS Yes 10
10 Over 1.5 14
5 Over 2.5 9
1 Over 3.5 4
13 Clean Sheets 6
6 Failed To Score 5
4.37 Shots On Goal 3.05
12.37 Total Shots 10.16
4.42 Corners 3.26
49.9% Ball Possession 48.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Juventude's more proactive style and Avai's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Juventude expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Avai in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Avai having the stronger overall control. Juventude arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 32 points compared to Avai in 18 on 17, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Juventude come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Avai. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Juventude Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 32 points from 18 games, Juventude bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 9 wins, 5 draws, and 4 defeats, together with goals at 19:8, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through Raí (4 goals), Alisson Safira (2 goals), Alan Kardec (1 goals), with creative support from Luan Martins Gonçalves (2 assists), Raí (1 assists), Alisson Safira (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, their record of 7 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Avai Analysis

With 17 points from 18 games and a place of 18, Avai still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 5 draws, and 9 defeats, and the 19:25 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Walace dos Santos França (3 goals), Daniel Penha (2 goals), Sorriso (2 goals), with creative support from Jean Lucas (3 assists), Thayllon Roberth (2 assists), Douglas Teixeira (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Juventude won 5 times, Avai won 5 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:17 from Juventude's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.91 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.7%)
Predicted formations: Juventude 3-4-2-1 / Avai 4-4-2
H2H summary: Juventude wins 5, draws 1, Avai wins 5
Stats
Juventude Juventude
Avai Avai
Shots on Goal
6
Shots on Goal
0
Shots off Goal
2
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
4
3 Corner Kicks 3
10 Fouls 20
1 Offsides 2
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Goal 0
2 Shots off Goal 4
3 Blocked Shots 4
7 Shots insidebox 2
4 Shots outsidebox 6
1 Goalkeeper Saves 5
263 Total passes 220
159 Passes accurate 112
0.78 expected_goals 0.16
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Juventude
Formation
Avai
Jandrei
Jandrei
Rodrigo Sam
🎯
Rodrigo Sam
Messias
Messias
Marcos Paulo
Marcos Paulo
Nathan Santos
Nathan Santos
Rai Silva
Rai Silva
Lucas Mineiro
Lucas Mineiro
Patryck
Patryck
Fabio Lima
Fabio Lima
MP
MP
Alisson Safira
Alisson Safira
Igor Bohn
Igor Bohn
Wallison
Wallison
Allyson
Allyson
Jefferson Maciel
Jefferson Maciel
DG
DG
Ze Ricardo
Ze Ricardo
Luiz Henrique
Luiz Henrique
Thayllon
Thayllon
Daniel Penha
Daniel Penha
Jean Lucas
Jean Lucas
Leo Gamalho
Leo Gamalho
Juventude 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
93
Jandrei
G
34
Rodrigo Sam
🎯 90' 🟨 62'
D
4
Messias
D
47
Marcos Paulo
D
22
Nathan Santos
↓ 61'
M
75
Rai Silva
M
8
Lucas Mineiro
M
30
Patryck
↓ 78'
M
11
Fabio Lima
↓ 61'
F
10
MP
↓ 68'
F
25
Alisson Safira
↓ 78'
F
Substitutes
12
Pedro Rocha
G
16
Diogo Barbosa
↑ 78'
D
3
Titi
D
2
Rai Ramos
D
7
Pablo Roberto
M
9
Alan Kardec
↑ 61'
F
13
Aderlan
↑ 61'
D
17
M. Castro
F
97
Gabriel Pinheiro
D
5
Luan Martins
↑ 68'
D
72
Lucas Alves
⚽ 90' ↑ 78'
26
I. Ly
Avai 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
Igor Bohn
G
2
Wallison
↓ 90+7'
D
3
Allyson
↓ 66' 🟨 47'
D
38
Jefferson Maciel
D
36
DG
D
77
Ze Ricardo
↓ 66'
M
8
Luiz Henrique
M
43
Thayllon
↓ 83'
M
14
Daniel Penha
🟨 82'
M
10
Jean Lucas
↓ 83'
M
9
Leo Gamalho
F
Substitutes
21
Otavio Passos
G
95
Wenderson
M
4
Gabriel Simples
D
25
Paulo Vitor
↑ 66'
M
20
Isaias
↑ 90+7'
F
11
Sorriso
F
40
Reynaldo
↑ 66'
D
66
Quaresma
D
5
Romildo Del Piage
M
39
Gabriel Cipriano
↑ 83'
F
56
William
↑ 83'
D
17
Juan Rocha
F
Last matches: Juventude
24.07.26
Ser
Juventude
Botafogo SP
2
4
L
17.07.26
Ser
Juventude
Cuiaba
2
0
W
10.07.26
Ser
Juventude
Vila Nova
1
0
W
05.07.26
Ser
Juventude
Nautico Recife
0
0
D
28.06.26
Ser
Juventude
Ceara
2
0
W
21.06.26
Ser
Juventude
São Bernardo
1
0
W
14.06.26
Ser
Juventude
Ponte Preta
3
0
W
05.06.26
Ser
Juventude
Operario-PR
1
2
L
30.05.26
Ser
Juventude
America Mineiro
3
0
W
23.05.26
Ser
Juventude
Sport Recife
0
1
L
17.05.26
Ser
Juventude
Athletic Club
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Juventude
Criciuma
0
0
D
03.05.26
Ser
Juventude
Atletico Goianiense
0
0
D
26.04.26
Ser
Juventude
Londrina
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Juventude
CRB
1
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Juventude
Goias
2
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Juventude
Fortaleza EC
1
2
L
31.03.26
Ser
Juventude
Novorizontino
0
0
D
22.03.26
Ser
Juventude
Avai
0
2
L
Last matches: Avai
21.07.26
Ser
Avai
America Mineiro
2
1
W
17.07.26
Ser
Avai
São Bernardo
1
1
D
12.07.26
Ser
Avai
Nautico Recife
2
0
W
06.07.26
Ser
Avai
Botafogo SP
1
3
L
28.06.26
Ser
Avai
Athletic Club
0
1
L
21.06.26
Ser
Avai
Cuiaba
1
0
W
16.06.26
Ser
Avai
Londrina
2
3
L
10.06.26
Ser
Avai
Ceara
1
2
L
30.05.26
Ser
Avai
Criciuma
1
2
L
24.05.26
Ser
Avai
Goias
0
2
L
17.05.26
Ser
Avai
Vila Nova
0
2
L
10.05.26
Ser
Avai
Fortaleza EC
0
0
D
03.05.26
Ser
Avai
Novorizontino
3
3
D
26.04.26
Ser
Avai
Atletico Goianiense
1
2
L
18.04.26
Ser
Avai
Ponte Preta
1
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Avai
Sport Recife
2
2
D
05.04.26
Ser
Avai
Operario-PR
0
0
D
02.04.26
Ser
Avai
CRB
1
0
W
22.03.26
Ser
Avai
Juventude
2
0
W
H2H: Juventude vs Avai
28.07.26
H2H
Juventude
Avai
1
0
W
22.03.26
H2H
Avai
Juventude
2
0
L
25.09.23
H2H
Avai
Juventude
0
2
W
03.06.23
H2H
Juventude
Avai
3
2
W
03.09.22
H2H
Juventude
Avai
1
1
D
15.05.22
H2H
Avai
Juventude
1
2
W
19.01.21
H2H
Avai
Juventude
5
2
L
20.10.20
H2H
Juventude
Avai
3
0
W
21.08.18
H2H
Avai
Juventude
1
0
L
28.04.18
H2H
Juventude
Avai
1
3
L
22.02.18
H2H
Juventude
Avai
0
2
L
Last matches: Juventude
17.07.26
Ser
Juventude
Cuiaba
2
0
W
10.07.26
Ser
Juventude
Vila Nova
1
0
W
28.06.26
Ser
Juventude
Ceara
2
0
W
14.06.26
Ser
Juventude
Ponte Preta
3
0
W
30.05.26
Ser
Juventude
America Mineiro
3
0
W
23.05.26
Ser
Juventude
Sport Recife
0
1
L
10.05.26
Ser
Juventude
Criciuma
0
0
D
26.04.26
Ser
Juventude
Londrina
1
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Juventude
Goias
2
0
W
31.03.26
Ser
Juventude
Novorizontino
0
0
D
H2H at home: Juventude
28.07.26
H2H
Juventude
Avai
1
0
W
03.06.23
H2H
Juventude
Avai
3
2
W
03.09.22
H2H
Juventude
Avai
1
1
D
20.10.20
H2H
Juventude
Avai
3
0
W
28.04.18
H2H
Juventude
Avai
1
3
L
22.02.18
H2H
Juventude
Avai
0
2
L
Last matches: Avai
17.07.26
Ser
Avai
São Bernardo
1
1
D
06.07.26
Ser
Avai
Botafogo SP
1
3
L
28.06.26
Ser
Avai
Athletic Club
0
1
L
16.06.26
Ser
Avai
Londrina
2
3
L
10.06.26
Ser
Avai
Ceara
1
2
L
17.05.26
Ser
Avai
Vila Nova
0
2
L
26.04.26
Ser
Avai
Atletico Goianiense
1
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Avai
Sport Recife
2
2
D
02.04.26
Ser
Avai
CRB
1
0
W
H2H away: Avai
28.07.26
H2H
Juventude
Avai
1
0
L
03.06.23
H2H
Juventude
Avai
3
2
L
03.09.22
H2H
Juventude
Avai
1
1
D
20.10.20
H2H
Juventude
Avai
3
0
L
28.04.18
H2H
Juventude
Avai
1
3
W
22.02.18
H2H
Juventude
Avai
0
2
W

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 20 11 7 2 23:12 11 40
D W W W W
2 20 10 5 5 22:12 10 35
W L W W D
3 20 10 5 5 28:25 3 35
L W D W W
4 20 10 4 6 23:19 4 34
W L W L W
5 20 10 4 6 27:24 3 34
L W L L W
6 20 9 6 5 32:19 13 33
W L L L W
7 20 8 7 5 23:20 3 31
W W D W L
8 20 8 5 7 31:32 -1 29
W W W D L
9 20 8 5 7 21:26 -5 29
L D W D W
10 20 6 11 3 25:19 6 29
D D D D L
11 20 6 10 4 19:18 1 28
D W D D L
12 20 7 6 7 28:23 5 27
L L D D L
13 20 7 4 9 24:24 0 25
D W L L D
14 20 5 10 5 15:15 0 25
D L L D W
15 20 6 6 8 24:21 3 24
L W D D W
16 20 5 7 8 20:25 -5 22
W L D D L
17 20 5 5 10 27:31 -4 20
L L D D W
18
Avai Away
20 5 5 10 21:27 -6 20
L W D W L
19 20 2 5 13 14:31 -17 11
W L D D L
20 20 2 3 15 15:39 -24 9
D L L L L
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