29.08.2026 17:00
Parque Artigas
Referee: F. Vikonis
Juventud
Match Timeline
Deportivo Maldonado
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
19'
Santiago Cartagena
Deportivo Maldonado
23'
R. Peralta
Juventud
🟨
32'
Gonzalo Larrazabal
Deportivo Maldonado
🟥
42'
Diego Segovia
Deportivo Maldonado
🔄
43'
G. Larrazabal ↔ A. Freitas
Deportivo Maldonado
🟨
45+9'
Leonel Roldán
Juventud
45'
R. Peralta
Juventud
🔄
46'
R. Cesar ↔ S. Tormo
Deportivo Maldonado
🔄
46'
S. Cartagena ↔ C. Mayada
Deportivo Maldonado
🟨
58'
Maximiliano González
Deportivo Maldonado
🔄
62'
B. Larregui ↔ A. Alaniz
Juventud
🔄
69'
M. Gonzalez ↔ L. Nunez
Deportivo Maldonado
🔄
69'
S. Ramirez ↔ A. Vila
Deportivo Maldonado
🔄
72'
E. Cecchini ↔ D. Morosini
Juventud
🔄
72'
F. Barrandeguy ↔ R. Chagas
Juventud
🔄
80'
R. Peralta ↔ F. Perez
Juventud
🔄
80'
G. Pereiro ↔ B. Arady
Juventud
🟨
88'
Bruno Arady
Juventud

Juventud vs Deportivo Maldonado Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 67.1%
Odds 2.54
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds 1.83
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 27.2%
Odds 2.26
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
67.1%
2.54
BTTS Yes
54.1%
1.83
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
27.2%
2.26
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
2.93
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.00
Correct Score 1-2
-
10.00
Probability Distribution
Juventud Win 25.7%
Draw 7.2%
Deportivo Maldonado Win 67.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Juventud1.06
Deportivo Maldonado1.52
Recent Form (Last 5)
Juventud Juventud
WWDLW
35 GF / 43 GA
Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado
WLDWL
40 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
1.13
Average Goals Scored
1.6
1.39
Average Goals Conceded
0.96
19
BTTS Yes
14
15
Over 2.5
12
4.33
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Juventud Juventud 31 matches
Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado 25 matches
Juventud Statistic Deportivo Maldonado
9 Wins 13
8 Draws 7
14 Losses 5
35 Goals For 40
43 Goals Against 24
1.13 Avg Goals Scored 1.6
1.39 Avg Goals Conceded 0.96
19 BTTS Yes 14
20 Over 1.5 18
15 Over 2.5 12
7 Over 3.5 6
6 Clean Sheets 10
8 Failed To Score 4
4.33 Shots On Goal 0
13.5 Total Shots 0
4.33 Corners 0
51% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Deportivo Maldonado's more proactive style and Juventud's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Deportivo Maldonado carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 45 points while Juventud sit 14 on 24, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Juventud expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Deportivo Maldonado in 4-3-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Deportivo Maldonado having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Deportivo Maldonado.

Juventud Analysis

Juventud sit 14 with 24 points after 24 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 6 wins, 6 draws, and 12 defeats with a 26:35 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned - wins, - draws, and - losses, which indicates an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Deportivo Maldonado Analysis

Deportivo Maldonado arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 2 place with 45 points after 24 matches. The record of 13 wins, 6 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 40:24 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned - wins, - draws, and - losses, a split that suggests an unclear split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Juventud won 3 times, Deportivo Maldonado won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:3 from Juventud's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.67 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.8%)
Predicted formations: Juventud 4-3-3 / Deportivo Maldonado 4-3-1-2
H2H summary: Juventud wins 3, draws 2, Deportivo Maldonado wins 1

Standings

Primera: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 27 16 5 6 44:22 22 53
W W L D W
2 28 14 10 4 35:22 13 52
W L W D W
3 28 14 7 7 42:27 15 49
L W L D W
4 26 14 5 7 44:30 14 47
W W W W L
5 28 13 4 11 40:36 4 43
D D W W L
6 28 12 7 9 35:34 1 43
D L W L D
7 27 11 9 7 36:24 12 42
W D W W W
8 28 10 8 10 30:33 -3 38
D D L L L
9 28 9 7 12 36:35 1 34
L L L L L
10 28 8 9 11 28:30 -2 33
D L D D D
11 28 8 8 12 32:38 -6 32
D D W W L
12 28 7 11 10 23:30 -7 32
W D L D L
13 28 9 5 14 22:41 -19 32
W W D L W
14 28 8 6 14 27:38 -11 30
L L D W D
15 28 4 13 11 23:37 -14 25
D L L D D
16 28 6 4 18 21:41 -20 22
L W W L L
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