13.09.2026 16:00
Parque Artigas
Referee: H. Heras

Juventud vs Danubio Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 66.2%
Odds 2.12
BTTS
No
Probability 56%
Odds 1.73
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds 1.63
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
66.2%
2.12
BTTS No
56%
1.73
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.8%
1.63
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.31
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.25
Correct Score 2-0
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
Juventud Win 66.2%
Draw 7.7%
Danubio Win 26.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Juventud1.24
Danubio1.03
Recent Form (Last 5)
Juventud Juventud
WWDLW
39 GF / 45 GA
Danubio Danubio
WLDWL
22 GF / 36 GA
Key Stats
1.18
Average Goals Scored
0.81
1.36
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
20
BTTS Yes
12
16
Over 2.5
11
4.33
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Juventud Juventud 33 matches
Danubio Danubio 27 matches
Juventud Statistic Danubio
10 Wins 4
9 Draws 12
14 Losses 11
39 Goals For 22
45 Goals Against 36
1.18 Avg Goals Scored 0.81
1.36 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
20 BTTS Yes 12
22 Over 1.5 17
16 Over 2.5 11
8 Over 3.5 7
7 Clean Sheets 7
8 Failed To Score 13
4.33 Shots On Goal 0
13.5 Total Shots 0
4.33 Corners 0
51% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Danubio arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Juventud expected to line up in 3-5-2 and Danubio in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Danubio having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Danubio. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Juventud Analysis

So far, Juventud have built a campaign that leaves them 11 in the table on 31 points from 27 matches. The record of 8 wins, 7 draws, and 12 defeats, together with a 31:37 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, their split return of - wins, - draws, and - losses fits an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Danubio Analysis

Danubio sit 15 with 24 points after 27 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 4 wins, 12 draws, and 11 defeats with a 22:36 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points to an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Juventud won 1 times, Danubio won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:10 from Juventud's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3.6 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.3%)
Predicted formations: Juventud 3-5-2 / Danubio 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Juventud wins 1, draws 2, Danubio wins 2

Standings

Primera: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 28 14 10 4 35:22 13 52
W L W D W
2 26 15 5 6 41:21 20 50
W L D W W
3 27 14 7 6 42:26 16 49
W L D W D
4 26 14 5 7 44:30 14 47
W W W W L
5 28 13 4 11 40:36 4 43
D D W W L
6 28 12 7 9 35:34 1 43
D L W L D
7 27 11 9 7 36:24 12 42
W D W W W
8 27 10 7 10 30:33 -3 37
D L L L W
9 27 9 7 11 35:32 3 34
L L L L L
10 27 8 8 11 28:30 -2 32
L D D D D
11 27 8 7 12 31:37 -6 31
D W W L D
12 28 8 6 14 27:38 -11 30
L L D W D
13 27 6 11 10 22:30 -8 29
D L D L L
14 27 8 5 14 19:40 -21 29
W D L W W
15 27 4 12 11 22:36 -14 24
L L D D L
16 27 6 4 17 20:38 -18 22
W W L L L
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