COLOMBIA PRIMERA A
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Jaraguay
Referee: A. Moncada
Jaguares
Match Timeline
Once Caldas
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
17'
Jaime Alvarado
Once Caldas
🟨
40'
Juan Pérez
Jaguares
🔄
46'
D. Moreno ↔ P. Gomez
Once Caldas
🔄
46'
J. Alvarado ↔ J. Nieto
Once Caldas
🟨
48'
Jáder Maza
Jaguares
🟨
58'
Daniel Londoño
Once Caldas
🔄
67'
Jopito ↔ J. Beltran
Jaguares
🔄
67'
A. Renteria ↔ J. Mejia
Jaguares
🔄
68'
R. Bustamante ↔ D. Lopez
Jaguares
🔄
68'
W. De La Rosa ↔ C. Cantillo
Jaguares
70'
A. Roa · Assist: A. Colorado
Once Caldas
🟨
73'
Darwin Lopez
Jaguares
73'
D. Lopez · Assist: C. Cantillo
Jaguares
🔄
75'
A. Correa ↔ J. Patino
Once Caldas
🔄
76'
J. Arcila ↔ E. Martinez
Jaguares
🔄
80'
A. Roa ↔ J. Quinones
Once Caldas
🔄
80'
M. Barrios ↔ M. Zuleta
Once Caldas
🟨
81'
Johan Beltrán
Jaguares
🟨
90+1'
Jorge Cardona
Once Caldas

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 66%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
66%
-
BTTS Yes
78.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Jaguares Win 34%
Draw 18.1%
Once Caldas Win 47.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Jaguares1.01
Once Caldas1.66
Recent Form (Last 5)
Jaguares Jaguares
WWDLW
20 GF / 39 GA
Once Caldas Once Caldas
WLDWL
41 GF / 30 GA
Key Stats
0.91
Average Goals Scored
1.58
1.77
Average Goals Conceded
1.15
10
BTTS Yes
19
11
Over 2.5
12
3.36
Shots on Goal
5.71

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Jaguares Jaguares 22 matches
Once Caldas Once Caldas 26 matches
Jaguares Statistic Once Caldas
5 Wins 9
3 Draws 13
14 Losses 4
20 Goals For 41
39 Goals Against 30
0.91 Avg Goals Scored 1.58
1.77 Avg Goals Conceded 1.15
10 BTTS Yes 19
17 Over 1.5 21
11 Over 2.5 12
6 Over 3.5 7
4 Clean Sheets 5
8 Failed To Score 4
3.36 Shots On Goal 5.71
10.64 Total Shots 14.5
3.91 Corners 5.29
43.4% Ball Possession 53.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Once Caldas's more proactive style and Jaguares's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Once Caldas. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Jaguares have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Once Caldas carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 5 with 33 points while Jaguares sit 16 on 18, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Jaguares Analysis

Jaguares approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 18 points from 19 matches. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 3 draws, and 11 defeats, and the 20:33 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 5 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Once Caldas Analysis

Once Caldas arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 33 points after 19 matches. The record of 8 wins, 9 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 31:22 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Andrés Roa (1 goals), Michael Barrios (1 goals), Jefry Zapata (1 goals), with creative support from Juan David Cuesta (2 assists), Andrés Roa (1 assists), Jaime Alvarado (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 6 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Jaguares won 7 times, Once Caldas won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:13 from Jaguares's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 1.93 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (81.9%)
Predicted formations: Jaguares 4-2-3-1 / Once Caldas 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Jaguares wins 7, draws 4, Once Caldas wins 4
Stats
Jaguares Jaguares
Once Caldas Once Caldas
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
6
Shots off Goal
9
Blocked Shots
4
Blocked Shots
8
2 Corner Kicks 5
10 Fouls 9
4 Offsides 1
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 22
3 Shots on Goal 5
6 Shots off Goal 9
4 Blocked Shots 8
4 Shots insidebox 12
9 Shots outsidebox 10
4 Goalkeeper Saves 2
335 Total passes 447
290 Passes accurate 395
0.55 expected_goals 1.75
🟨 4 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Jaguares
Formation
Once Caldas
F. Mosquera
F. Mosquera
J. Franco
J. Franco
J. Malagon
J. Malagon
C. Henao
C. Henao
J. Arcila
J. Arcila
W. De La Rosa
W. De La Rosa
R. R. Colpa Bolano
R. R. Colpa Bolano
R. Bustamante
R. Bustamante
J. Maza
J. Maza
Jopito
Jopito
A. Renteria
A. Renteria
J. Parra
J. Parra
J. D. Cuesta Santos
J. D. Cuesta Santos
J. Cardona
J. Cardona
D. Londono
D. Londono
A. Correa
A. Correa
A. Colorado
🎯
A. Colorado
J. Alvarado
J. Alvarado
A. Roa
A. Roa
E. Torres
E. Torres
D. Moreno
D. Moreno
M. Barrios
M. Barrios
Jaguares 4-4-2
Starting XI
12
F. Mosquera
G
4
J. Franco
D
3
J. Malagon
D
29
C. Henao
D
23
J. Arcila
↓ 76'
7
W. De La Rosa
↓ 68'
M
5
R. R. Colpa Bolano
M
21
R. Bustamante
↓ 68'
M
15
J. Maza
🟨 48'
M
10
Jopito
↓ 67'
F
11
A. Renteria
↓ 67'
F
Substitutes
1
D. Martinez
G
17
D. Lopez
⚽ 73' ↑ 68' 🟨 73'
F
16
J. Beltran
↑ 67' 🟨 81'
F
19
C. Cantillo
🎯 73' ↑ 68'
M
9
J. Mejia
↑ 67'
F
14
E. Martinez
↑ 76'
13
J. Hinestroza
M
31
G. Ramirez
F
28
D. Zuluaga
M
Once Caldas 4-3-3
Starting XI
99
J. Parra
G
22
J. D. Cuesta Santos
D
2
J. Cardona
🟨 90+1'
D
30
D. Londono
🟨 58'
D
3
A. Correa
↓ 75'
D
23
A. Colorado
🎯 70'
M
15
J. Alvarado
↓ 46' 🟨 17'
M
20
A. Roa
⚽ 70' ↓ 80'
M
29
E. Torres
F
17
D. Moreno
↓ 46'
F
7
M. Barrios
↓ 80'
F
Substitutes
25
J. Gallego
G
9
P. Gomez
↑ 46'
F
42
J. Quinones
↑ 80'
M
16
J. Castano
D
5
J. Nieto
↑ 46'
M
33
J. Patino
↑ 75'
D
28
M. Zuleta
↑ 80'
M
19
T. Rojas
M
21
H. Guzman
F
Last matches: Jaguares
21.08.26
Pri
Jaguares
Chico
1
0
W
05.08.26
Pri
Jaguares
Internacional de Bogota
0
1
L
02.08.26
Pri
Jaguares
Atletico Nacional
0
3
L
25.07.26
Pri
Jaguares
Deportivo Cali
0
2
L
02.05.26
Pri
Jaguares
Cucuta
2
0
W
25.04.26
Pri
Jaguares
Bucaramanga
2
2
D
17.04.26
Pri
Jaguares
Deportivo Pasto
2
3
L
07.04.26
Pri
Jaguares
Atletico Nacional
1
2
L
02.04.26
Pri
Jaguares
Millonarios
1
0
W
28.03.26
Pri
Jaguares
Deportes Tolima
1
3
L
23.03.26
Pri
Jaguares
Águilas Doradas
1
1
D
19.03.26
Pri
Jaguares
Alianza Valledupar
0
1
L
15.03.26
Pri
Jaguares
Independiente Medellin
1
2
L
09.03.26
Pri
Jaguares
Llaneros
0
2
L
05.03.26
Pri
Jaguares
Fortaleza FC
1
2
L
28.02.26
Pri
Jaguares
Junior
0
2
L
23.02.26
Pri
Jaguares
America de Cali
0
3
L
17.02.26
Pri
Jaguares
Santa Fe
3
1
W
12.02.26
Pri
Jaguares
Chico
0
5
L
09.02.26
Pri
Jaguares
Deportivo Pereira
1
0
W
Last matches: Once Caldas
24.08.26
Pri
Once Caldas
Junior
1
1
D
06.08.26
Pri
Once Caldas
America de Cali
0
1
L
03.08.26
Pri
Once Caldas
Santa Fe
2
2
D
27.07.26
Pri
Once Caldas
Cucuta
5
1
W
14.05.26
Pri
Once Caldas
Junior
2
2
D
10.05.26
Pri
Once Caldas
Junior
0
1
L
01.05.26
Pri
Once Caldas
Atletico Nacional
1
0
W
26.04.26
Pri
Once Caldas
Águilas Doradas
2
2
D
20.04.26
Pri
Once Caldas
Internacional de Bogota
2
1
W
10.04.26
Pri
Once Caldas
Deportivo Pereira
0
0
D
03.04.26
Pri
Once Caldas
Independiente Medellin
1
1
D
30.03.26
Pri
Once Caldas
Llaneros
1
1
D
21.03.26
Pri
Once Caldas
Millonarios
1
4
L
19.03.26
Pri
Once Caldas
Bucaramanga
1
1
D
13.03.26
Pri
Once Caldas
Deportivo Pasto
4
2
W
07.03.26
Pri
Once Caldas
Deportivo Cali
2
0
W
28.02.26
Pri
Once Caldas
Chico
3
0
W
21.02.26
Pri
Once Caldas
Fortaleza FC
4
2
W
15.02.26
Pri
Once Caldas
Deportes Tolima
1
2
L
12.02.26
Pri
Once Caldas
Junior
2
1
W
H2H: Jaguares vs Once Caldas
09.08.26
H2H
Jaguares
Once Caldas
1
1
D
01.02.26
H2H
Once Caldas
Jaguares
1
1
D
26.08.24
H2H
Once Caldas
Jaguares
2
0
L
18.02.24
H2H
Jaguares
Once Caldas
3
0
W
14.10.23
H2H
Once Caldas
Jaguares
0
0
D
01.05.23
H2H
Jaguares
Once Caldas
1
0
W
01.10.22
H2H
Once Caldas
Jaguares
0
1
W
11.04.22
H2H
Jaguares
Once Caldas
2
1
W
25.07.21
H2H
Jaguares
Once Caldas
1
1
D
06.04.21
H2H
Once Caldas
Jaguares
1
2
W
24.10.20
H2H
Once Caldas
Jaguares
2
1
L
05.10.19
H2H
Jaguares
Once Caldas
2
1
W
13.04.19
H2H
Once Caldas
Jaguares
0
1
W
22.07.18
H2H
Jaguares
Once Caldas
0
1
L
03.02.18
H2H
Once Caldas
Jaguares
2
0
L
Last matches: Jaguares
21.08.26
Pri
Jaguares
Chico
1
0
W
02.08.26
Pri
Jaguares
Atletico Nacional
0
3
L
02.05.26
Pri
Jaguares
Cucuta
2
0
W
17.04.26
Pri
Jaguares
Deportivo Pasto
2
3
L
02.04.26
Pri
Jaguares
Millonarios
1
0
W
23.03.26
Pri
Jaguares
Águilas Doradas
1
1
D
15.03.26
Pri
Jaguares
Independiente Medellin
1
2
L
28.02.26
Pri
Jaguares
Junior
0
2
L
17.02.26
Pri
Jaguares
Santa Fe
3
1
W
09.02.26
Pri
Jaguares
Deportivo Pereira
1
0
W
29.01.26
Pri
Jaguares
Internacional de Bogota
2
3
L
18.01.26
Pri
Jaguares
Deportivo Cali
1
0
W
23.11.25
Pri
Jaguares
Huila
2
2
D
15.11.25
Pri
Jaguares
Cucuta
1
2
L
07.11.25
Pri
Jaguares
Internacional Palmira
1
0
W
27.10.25
Pri
Jaguares
Popayan
1
1
D
11.10.25
Pri
Jaguares
Leones FC
4
0
W
29.09.25
Pri
Jaguares
Real Cartagena
2
1
W
14.09.25
Pri
Jaguares
Bogota FC
2
0
W
31.08.25
Pri
Jaguares
Quindio
2
0
W
H2H at home: Jaguares
09.08.26
H2H
Jaguares
Once Caldas
1
1
D
18.02.24
H2H
Jaguares
Once Caldas
3
0
W
01.05.23
H2H
Jaguares
Once Caldas
1
0
W
11.04.22
H2H
Jaguares
Once Caldas
2
1
W
25.07.21
H2H
Jaguares
Once Caldas
1
1
D
05.10.19
H2H
Jaguares
Once Caldas
2
1
W
22.07.18
H2H
Jaguares
Once Caldas
0
1
L
Last matches: Once Caldas
24.08.26
Pri
Once Caldas
Junior
1
1
D
03.08.26
Pri
Once Caldas
Santa Fe
2
2
D
14.05.26
Pri
Once Caldas
Junior
2
2
D
26.04.26
Pri
Once Caldas
Águilas Doradas
2
2
D
10.04.26
Pri
Once Caldas
Deportivo Pereira
0
0
D
30.03.26
Pri
Once Caldas
Llaneros
1
1
D
19.03.26
Pri
Once Caldas
Bucaramanga
1
1
D
07.03.26
Pri
Once Caldas
Deportivo Cali
2
0
W
15.02.26
Pri
Once Caldas
Deportes Tolima
1
2
L
08.02.26
Pri
Once Caldas
Alianza Valledupar
1
1
D
30.01.26
Pri
Once Caldas
America de Cali
1
1
D
19.01.26
Pri
Once Caldas
Cucuta
2
1
W
14.01.26
Fri
Once Caldas
America de Cali
1
1
D
11.01.26
Fri
Once Caldas
Deportivo Cali
0
0
D
14.11.25
Pri
Once Caldas
Deportivo Cali
1
1
D
30.10.25
Pri
Once Caldas
Millonarios
0
0
D
19.10.25
Pri
Once Caldas
Llaneros
0
2
L
07.10.25
Pri
Once Caldas
Internacional de Bogota
1
0
W
20.09.25
Pri
Once Caldas
America de Cali
1
2
L
10.09.25
Pri
Once Caldas
Bucaramanga
0
0
D
H2H away: Once Caldas
09.08.26
H2H
Jaguares
Once Caldas
1
1
D
18.02.24
H2H
Jaguares
Once Caldas
3
0
L
01.05.23
H2H
Jaguares
Once Caldas
1
0
L
11.04.22
H2H
Jaguares
Once Caldas
2
1
L
25.07.21
H2H
Jaguares
Once Caldas
1
1
D
05.10.19
H2H
Jaguares
Once Caldas
2
1
L
22.07.18
H2H
Jaguares
Once Caldas
0
1
W