BRAZIL SERIE A
03.05.2026 21:30
Estádio Beira-Rio
Referee: Felipe Fernandes de Lima, Brazil
Internacional
Match Timeline
Fluminense
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
14'
Victor Gabriel
Internacional
🟨
18'
Allex
Internacional
🟨
27'
Jemmes
Fluminense
🟨
31'
Alexandro Bernabei
Internacional
39'
A. Bernabei · Assist: Alerrandro
Internacional
🟨
41'
Bruno Gomes
Internacional
🟨
44'
Alisson
Fluminense
🔄
46'
Allex ↔ Vitinho
Internacional
🔄
46'
Jemmes ↔ J. Savarino
Fluminense
🔄
46'
A. Canobbio ↔ K. Serna
Fluminense
49'
Alerrandro
Internacional
🟨
56'
Kevin Serna
Fluminense
🔄
63'
F. Bernal ↔ Nonato
Fluminense
🔄
70'
Bruno Henrique ↔ Thiago Maia
Internacional
🔄
70'
Alerrandro ↔ R. Borre
Internacional
🔄
74'
Alisson ↔ Hercules
Fluminense
🔄
74'
Y. Soteldo ↔ R. Castillo
Fluminense
🔄
85'
J. Carbonero ↔ B. Aguirre
Internacional
🔄
89'
A. Bernabei ↔ Kayky
Internacional

Internacional vs Fluminense Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 73%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 13.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 25.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
73%
-
BTTS BTTS No
13.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
25.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Internacional Win 27%
Draw 0%
Fluminense Win 73%
Expected Goals (xG)
Internacional1.05
Fluminense1.33
Recent Form (Last 5)
Internacional Internacional
WWDLW
12 GF / 14 GA
Fluminense Fluminense
WLDWL
24 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
0.92
Average Goals Scored
1.5
1.08
Average Goals Conceded
1.25
7
BTTS Yes
11
4
Over 2.5
9
5
Shots on Goal
6.25

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Internacional Internacional 13 matches
Fluminense Fluminense 16 matches
Internacional Statistic Fluminense
3 Wins 8
5 Draws 3
5 Losses 5
12 Goals For 24
14 Goals Against 20
0.92 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
1.08 Avg Goals Conceded 1.25
7 BTTS Yes 11
8 Over 1.5 13
4 Over 2.5 9
2 Over 3.5 4
3 Clean Sheets 4
4 Failed To Score 2
5 Shots On Goal 6.25
14.85 Total Shots 16.06
8.31 Corners 5.5
51.8% Ball Possession 60.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Fluminense's more proactive style and Internacional's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Internacional expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Fluminense in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Fluminense having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Fluminense carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 26 points while Internacional sit 16 on 14, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Fluminense. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Internacional Analysis

Internacional sit 16 with 14 points after 13 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 5 defeats with a 12:14 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Alan Patrick (3 goals), Alexandro Bernabei (2 goals), J. Carbonero (2 goals), with creative support from Vitinho (3 assists), J. Carbonero (1 assists), Alerrandro (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Fluminense Analysis

Fluminense approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 26 points after 13 outings. They have recorded 8 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with a 23:16 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on John Kennedy (6 goals), Agustín Canobbio (3 goals), Hércules (3 goals), with creative support from L. Acosta (3 assists), J. Savarino (2 assists), Guga (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, their record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Internacional won 5 times, Fluminense won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:16 from Internacional's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Internacional 4-4-2 / Fluminense 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Internacional 4, Fluminense 5
H2H summary: Internacional wins 5, draws 4, Fluminense wins 6

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 15 7 3 45:21 24 52
D W L D W
2 24 14 6 4 48:21 27 48
W L W W D
3 25 13 6 6 37:25 12 45
D W D W D
4 25 11 9 5 39:32 7 42
D W W D D
5 25 10 10 5 37:30 7 40
W W D D D
6 25 11 6 8 35:36 -1 39
L W W W W
7 25 10 7 8 33:33 0 37
W W D W L
8 24 10 6 8 32:28 4 36
W D W D W
9 24 10 5 9 29:25 4 35
L W D L D
10 25 8 8 9 26:25 1 32
L L L W D
11 24 8 6 10 29:28 1 30
W L D L D
12 24 8 6 10 37:40 -3 30
L L L D W
13 25 8 5 12 24:37 -13 29
L L W L L
14 24 7 8 9 34:36 -2 29
W D W L D
15 24 7 7 10 27:32 -5 28
W L L W D
16 24 6 7 11 27:37 -10 25
D D L L W
17 24 6 7 11 27:39 -12 25
W L L D D
18 25 5 10 10 26:31 -5 25
L D D D D
19 25 5 8 12 30:42 -12 23
L L D D L
20 24 2 8 14 25:49 -24 14
L W D L D
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B