Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
87.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
80%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
59.2%
|
- |
Independiente
Defensa Y Justicia
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Independiente
14 matches
Defensa Y Justicia
15 matches
| Independiente | Statistic | Defensa Y Justicia |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 6 |
| 6 | Draws | 7 |
| 3 | Losses | 2 |
| 23 | Goals For | 19 |
| 18 | Goals Against | 13 |
| 1.64 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.27 |
| 1.29 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.87 |
| 10 | BTTS Yes | 8 |
| 12 | Over 1.5 | 10 |
| 5 | Over 2.5 | 4 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 0 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 4 | Shots On Goal | 4 |
| 13 | Total Shots | 10 |
| 6 | Corners | 3.92 |
| 53.4% | Ball Possession | 49.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Independiente expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Defensa Y Justicia in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Defensa Y Justicia having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Defensa Y Justicia. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.
So far, Independiente have built a campaign that leaves them 10 in the table on 128 points from 86 matches. The record of - wins, - draws, and - defeats, together with a 0:0 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through G. Avalos (8 goals), M. Abaldo (4 goals), I. Malcorra (1 goals), with creative support from G. Avalos (4 assists), I. Malcorra (3 assists), S. Arias (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Defensa Y Justicia sit 15 with 115 points after 86 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted - wins, - draws, and - defeats, and the 0:0 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Juan Manuel Gutiérrez (3 goals), A. Molinas (2 goals), A. Portillo (2 goals), with creative support from A. Molinas (4 assists), Juan Manuel Gutiérrez (2 assists), A. Portillo (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Independiente won 7 times, Defensa Y Justicia won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:9 from Independiente's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 1.33 goals per game.
Independiente
6
1
5
6
3
2
Lineups
Independiente
Union Santa Fe
Independiente
Rosario Central
Independiente
San Lorenzo
Independiente
Deportivo Riestra
Independiente
Boca Juniors
Independiente
Racing Club
Independiente
Atenas
Independiente
Talleres Cordoba
Independiente
Instituto Cordoba
Independiente
Union Santa Fe
Independiente
Central Cordoba de Santiago
Independiente
Gimnasia M.
Independiente
Independ. Rivadavia
Independiente
Lanus
Independiente
Platense
Independiente
Velez Sarsfield
Independiente
Newells Old Boys
Independiente
Estudiantes L.P.
Defensa Y Justicia
Gimnasia M.
Defensa Y Justicia
Boca Juniors
Defensa Y Justicia
Talleres Cordoba
Defensa Y Justicia
Instituto Cordoba
Defensa Y Justicia
Chaco For Ever
Defensa Y Justicia
Union Santa Fe
Defensa Y Justicia
San Lorenzo
Defensa Y Justicia
Central Cordoba de Santiago
Defensa Y Justicia
Lanus
Defensa Y Justicia
Platense
Defensa Y Justicia
Belgrano Cordoba
Defensa Y Justicia
Velez Sarsfield
Defensa Y Justicia
Newells Old Boys
Defensa Y Justicia
Estudiantes L.P.
Defensa Y Justicia
Deportivo Riestra
Defensa Y Justicia
Aldosivi
Defensa Y Justicia
Santa Cruz
Independiente
Racing Club
Independiente
Atenas
Independiente
Talleres Cordoba
Independiente
Union Santa Fe
Independiente
Central Cordoba de Santiago
Independiente
Lanus
Independiente
Velez Sarsfield
Independiente
Estudiantes L.P.
Defensa Y Justicia
Gimnasia M.
Defensa Y Justicia
Instituto Cordoba
Defensa Y Justicia
San Lorenzo
Defensa Y Justicia
Platense
Defensa Y Justicia
Newells Old Boys
Defensa Y Justicia
Deportivo Riestra
Defensa Y Justicia
Aldosivi
Defensa Y Justicia
Santa Cruz
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19:7 | 12 | 31 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22:9 | 13 | 30 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 18:12 | 6 | 28 |
L
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 26 |
L
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 5 |
Independiente
Home
|
16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24:20 | 4 | 24 |
L
W
L
W
D
|
| 6 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 18:15 | 3 | 24 |
L
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 22 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 8 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24:20 | 4 | 21 |
L
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 9 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17:17 | 0 | 21 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 10 |
Defensa Y Justicia
Away
|
16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 19 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
| 11 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14:22 | -8 | 19 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 12 | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 16 |
L
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 13 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11:21 | -10 | 16 |
L
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15:27 | -12 | 15 |
D
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5:12 | -7 | 11 |
D
W
L
L
L
|