Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
75.6%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
53.5%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.1%
|
- |
Independ. Rivadavia
Gimnasia M.
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Independ. Rivadavia
17 matches
Gimnasia M.
15 matches
| Independ. Rivadavia | Statistic | Gimnasia M. |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Wins | 4 |
| 3 | Draws | 5 |
| 2 | Losses | 6 |
| 28 | Goals For | 11 |
| 14 | Goals Against | 16 |
| 1.65 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.73 |
| 0.82 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.07 |
| 10 | BTTS Yes | 6 |
| 13 | Over 1.5 | 7 |
| 8 | Over 2.5 | 4 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 4.75 | Shots On Goal | 3.64 |
| 13 | Total Shots | 10.5 |
| 3.75 | Corners | 3.43 |
| 44.7% | Ball Possession | 41.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Independ. Rivadavia arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 12 with 119 points compared to Gimnasia M. in 23 on 16, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Independ. Rivadavia come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Gimnasia M.. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Independ. Rivadavia expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Gimnasia M. in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Gimnasia M. having the stronger overall control.
Independ. Rivadavia are currently 12 in the standings with 119 points from 87 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted - wins, - draws, and - losses, while the 0:0 goal ratio supports the view of very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Going forward they rely heavily on F. Sartori (5 goals), A. Osella (4 goals), José Florentín (3 goals), with creative support from Sebastián Villa (4 assists), R. Atencio (3 assists), M. Fernandez (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Gimnasia M. approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 23 with 16 points from 14 matches. Across the season they have posted - wins, - draws, and - defeats, and the 0:0 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on A. Modica (4 goals), F. Lencioni (2 goals), E. Mammana (1 goals), with creative support from F. Lencioni (5 assists), S. Rodriguez (1 assists), F. Antonini (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Independ. Rivadavia won 4 times, Gimnasia M. won 3 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:8 from Independ. Rivadavia's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3.14 goals per game.
Independ. Rivadavia
10
2
7
4
4
1
Lineups
Independ. Rivadavia
Fluminense
Independ. Rivadavia
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
Independ. Rivadavia
Sarmiento Junin
Independ. Rivadavia
Huracan
Independ. Rivadavia
Atletico Tucuman
Independ. Rivadavia
Tigre
Independ. Rivadavia
Bolívar
Independ. Rivadavia
Deportivo La Guaira
Independ. Rivadavia
Union Santa Fe
Independ. Rivadavia
Fluminense
Independ. Rivadavia
Aldosivi
Independ. Rivadavia
Deportivo La Guaira
Independ. Rivadavia
Banfield
Independ. Rivadavia
Fluminense
Independ. Rivadavia
Argentinos JRS
Independ. Rivadavia
Bolívar
Independ. Rivadavia
Tigre
Independ. Rivadavia
Rosario Central
Independ. Rivadavia
Gimnasia L.P.
Independ. Rivadavia
Barracas Central
Gimnasia M.
Instituto Cordoba
Gimnasia M.
Union Santa Fe
Gimnasia M.
San Lorenzo
Gimnasia M.
Central Cordoba de Santiago
Gimnasia M.
Defensa Y Justicia
Gimnasia M.
Lanus
Gimnasia M.
Gimnasia Y Tiro
Gimnasia M.
Platense
Gimnasia M.
Velez Sarsfield
Gimnasia M.
Newells Old Boys
Gimnasia M.
Estudiantes L.P.
Gimnasia M.
Deportivo Riestra
Gimnasia M.
Boca Juniors
Gimnasia M.
Independiente
Gimnasia M.
Gimnasia L.P.
Gimnasia M.
Talleres Cordoba
Gimnasia M.
Instituto Cordoba
Gimnasia M.
Union Santa Fe
Gimnasia M.
San Lorenzo
Gimnasia M.
Central Cordoba de Santiago
Independ. Rivadavia
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
Independ. Rivadavia
Huracan
Independ. Rivadavia
Tigre
Independ. Rivadavia
Union Santa Fe
Independ. Rivadavia
Fluminense
Independ. Rivadavia
Deportivo La Guaira
Independ. Rivadavia
Argentinos JRS
Independ. Rivadavia
Bolívar
Independ. Rivadavia
Rosario Central
Independ. Rivadavia
Barracas Central
Independ. Rivadavia
River Plate
Independ. Rivadavia
Independiente
Independ. Rivadavia
Belgrano Cordoba
Independ. Rivadavia
Sarmiento Junin
Independ. Rivadavia
Atletico Tucuman
Independ. Rivadavia
CA Estudiantes
Gimnasia M.
Instituto Cordoba
Gimnasia M.
San Lorenzo
Gimnasia M.
Platense
Gimnasia M.
Newells Old Boys
Gimnasia M.
Deportivo Riestra
Gimnasia M.
Boca Juniors
Gimnasia M.
Talleres Cordoba
Gimnasia M.
Union Santa Fe
Gimnasia M.
Central Cordoba de Santiago
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Independ. Rivadavia
Home
|
16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29:15 | 14 | 34 |
W
L
W
D
L
|
| 2 | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 22:12 | 10 | 29 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 3 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 17:13 | 4 | 29 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 20:16 | 4 | 28 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 5 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 26 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 19:19 | 0 | 26 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 7 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 22 |
W
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17:15 | 2 | 21 |
L
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15:15 | 0 | 21 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 18:15 | 3 | 20 |
W
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 11 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 13:20 | -7 | 19 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 17:19 | -2 | 18 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 13 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15:20 | -5 | 14 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 14 | 16 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 6:19 | -13 | 8 |
L
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 15 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5:24 | -19 | 5 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
