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30.07.2026 16:00
Penalties 5-4
1 - 0
Tammelan Stadion
Referee: M. Bejtullahu
Ilves
Match Timeline
Stjarnan
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
-5'
Sebastian Suvanne
Ilves
🟨
24'
Oskari Multala
Ilves
🟨
39'
Jóhann Árni Gunnarsson
Stjarnan
🔄
46'
O. Multala ↔ S. Baranov
Ilves
🔄
46'
K. Wallius ↔ G. Bamba
Ilves
⚽
52'
J. Kilo · Assist: J. Kanga
Ilves
🔄
73'
B. Waren ↔ D. Matthiasson
Stjarnan
🔄
75'
J. Kilo ↔ R. Riski
Ilves
🟨
85'
Gudmundur Baldvin Nokkvason
Stjarnan
🔄
85'
O. Pettersson ↔ L. Ala-Myllymaki
Ilves
🟨
90+1'
Þorri Mar Þórisson
Stjarnan
🔄
91'
T. Thorisson ↔ B. Hauksson
Stjarnan
🔄
91'
B. Ingason ↔ A. Hauksson
Stjarnan
🔄
98'
T. Hytonen ↔ E. Tamminen
Ilves
🟨
106'
Anton Popovitch
Ilves
⚽
107'
F. Krkalic
Stjarnan
🔄
111'
E. Atlason ↔ A. Vilhjalmsson
Stjarnan
🔄
111'
O. Eggertsson ↔ A. Bjarnason
Stjarnan
⚽
113'
T. Miettunen · Assist: M. Rale
Ilves
🟨
117'
Alex Þór Hauksson
Stjarnan

Ilves vs Stjarnan Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 69.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
69.4%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
86%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
89.9%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Ilves Win 69.4%
Draw 4.6%
Stjarnan Win 26%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ilves2.02
Stjarnan1.71
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ilves Ilves
WWDLW
45 GF / 34 GA
Stjarnan Stjarnan
WLDWL
40 GF / 47 GA
Key Stats
1.88
Average Goals Scored
1.9
1.42
Average Goals Conceded
2.24
13
BTTS Yes
18
14
Over 2.5
18
2.56
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ilves Ilves 24 matches
Stjarnan Stjarnan 21 matches
Ilves Statistic Stjarnan
10 Wins 8
5 Draws 4
9 Losses 9
45 Goals For 40
34 Goals Against 47
1.88 Avg Goals Scored 1.9
1.42 Avg Goals Conceded 2.24
13 BTTS Yes 18
17 Over 1.5 19
14 Over 2.5 18
12 Over 3.5 15
8 Clean Sheets 1
4 Failed To Score 2
2.56 Shots On Goal 0
5.78 Total Shots 0
2 Corners 0
24.7% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Ilves won 1 times, Stjarnan won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:1 from Ilves's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.4%)
Predicted formations: Ilves 3-4-2-1 / Stjarnan 4-3-3
H2H summary: Ilves wins 1, draws 0, Stjarnan wins 1

Standings

UEFA Conference League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
2 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
3 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
4 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
5 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
6 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
7 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
8 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
9 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
10 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
11 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
12 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
13 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
14 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
15 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
16 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
17 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
18 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
19 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
22 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
23 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
24 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
25 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
26 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
27 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
28 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
29 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
30 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
31 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
32 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
33 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
34 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
35 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
36 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)