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15.10.2026 23:00
Estadio Tomas Adolfo Duco
Referee: Nicolas Ramirez

Huracan vs Gimnasia L.P. Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 52.2%
Odds 2.38
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds 2.10
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds 2.54
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
52.2%
2.38 ▥
BTTS Yes
86%
2.10 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
2.54 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
89.5%
1.37 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
4.00 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
10.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Huracan Win 52.2%
Draw 10.1%
Gimnasia L.P. Win 37.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Huracan1.1
Gimnasia L.P.1.19
Recent Form (Last 5)
Huracan Huracan
WWDLW
34 GF / 29 GA
Gimnasia L.P. Gimnasia L.P.
WLDWL
49 GF / 42 GA
Key Stats
1.03
Average Goals Scored
1.4
0.88
Average Goals Conceded
1.2
16
BTTS Yes
20
11
Over 2.5
18
3.87
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Huracan Huracan 33 matches
Gimnasia L.P. Gimnasia L.P. 35 matches
Huracan Statistic Gimnasia L.P.
12 Wins 17
12 Draws 8
9 Losses 10
34 Goals For 49
29 Goals Against 42
1.03 Avg Goals Scored 1.4
0.88 Avg Goals Conceded 1.2
16 BTTS Yes 20
21 Over 1.5 28
11 Over 2.5 18
3 Over 3.5 8
12 Clean Sheets 9
11 Failed To Score 7
3.87 Shots On Goal 4
11.97 Total Shots 12.27
3.9 Corners 4.03
52.1% Ball Possession 45.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and Huracan's more proactive style and Gimnasia L.P.'s more cautious structure points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Gimnasia L.P.. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Huracan Analysis

So far, Huracan have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 22 points from 16 matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 7 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 17:13 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by J. Caicedo (7 goals), Ó. Cortés (2 goals), L. Sequeira (2 goals), with creative support from Ó. Cortés (2 assists), L. Sequeira (2 assists), L. Gil (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Gimnasia L.P. Analysis

Gimnasia L.P. sit 6 with 26 points after 16 league matches. Their overall return of 8 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 19:19 reflects poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Their attacking weight is carried by A. Auzmendi (5 goals), M. Torres (5 goals), L. Castro (2 goals), with creative support from A. Steimbach (4 assists), A. Auzmendi (3 assists), I. Fernández (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Huracan won 4 times, Gimnasia L.P. won 4 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:14 from Huracan's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.9%)
Predicted formations: Huracan 4-2-3-1 / Gimnasia L.P. 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Huracan wins 4, draws 7, Gimnasia L.P. wins 4

Standings

Apertura - Group B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 10 4 2 29:15 14 34
L D W W L
2 16 9 2 5 22:12 10 29
W L W W W
3 16 8 5 3 17:13 4 29
D W L D D
4 16 8 4 4 20:16 4 28
W D W W D
5 16 7 5 4 17:13 4 26
W W W D D
6 16 8 2 6 19:19 0 26
D D D D W
7 16 5 7 4 17:13 4 22
L W W W D
8 16 5 6 5 17:15 2 21
L W W L L
9 16 5 6 5 15:15 0 21
W W L D D
10 16 4 8 4 18:15 3 20
L L L L L
11 16 6 1 9 13:20 -7 19
W L D W L
12 16 5 3 8 17:19 -2 18
W D D D L
13 16 3 5 8 15:20 -5 14
D L L L W
14 16 0 8 8 6:19 -13 8
L L W L W
15 16 1 2 13 5:24 -19 5
L L L L L
Knockout Phase