CHINA SUPER LEAGUE
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Huizhou Olympic Stadium

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 56.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 88%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
56.5%
-
BTTS Yes
88%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Hangzhou Greentown Win 56.5%
Draw 5.7%
Yunnan Yukun Win 37.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Hangzhou Greentown1.69
Yunnan Yukun1.97
Recent Form (Last 5)
Hangzhou Greentown Hangzhou Greentown
WWDLW
37 GF / 45 GA
Yunnan Yukun Yunnan Yukun
WLDWL
54 GF / 52 GA
Key Stats
1.48
Average Goals Scored
2.08
1.8
Average Goals Conceded
2
17
BTTS Yes
20
16
Over 2.5
21
5
Shots on Goal
5.25

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Hangzhou Greentown Hangzhou Greentown 25 matches
Yunnan Yukun Yunnan Yukun 26 matches
Hangzhou Greentown Statistic Yunnan Yukun
8 Wins 10
7 Draws 6
10 Losses 10
37 Goals For 54
45 Goals Against 52
1.48 Avg Goals Scored 2.08
1.8 Avg Goals Conceded 2
17 BTTS Yes 20
23 Over 1.5 23
16 Over 2.5 21
12 Over 3.5 14
3 Clean Sheets 4
6 Failed To Score 3
5 Shots On Goal 5.25
13.26 Total Shots 15.75
5.43 Corners 5.21
51.9% Ball Possession 51.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Yunnan Yukun's more proactive style and Hangzhou Greentown's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Yunnan Yukun carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 34 points while Hangzhou Greentown sit 11 on 24, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Hangzhou Greentown expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Yunnan Yukun in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Yunnan Yukun having the stronger overall control. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Yunnan Yukun. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Hangzhou Greentown Analysis

From their first 22 matches, Hangzhou Greentown have collected 24 points and now occupy 11 place in the table. The record of 8 wins, 5 draws, and 9 defeats, together with a 33:39 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Alexandru Mitriță (2 goals), Marko Tolić (2 goals), Wang Yudong (1 goals), with creative support from Alexandru Mitriță (2 assists), Cheng Jin (2 assists), Wang Yudong (1 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Yunnan Yukun Analysis

Yunnan Yukun approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 34 points after 23 outings. The return of 10 wins, 4 draws, and 9 defeats, together with goals at 46:42, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through Oscar Taty Maritu (6 goals), Caio Vinícius (2 goals), Cléber (2 goals), with creative support from Oscar Taty Maritu (2 assists), Alexandru Ioniță (2 assists), Liuyu Duan (2 assists), while their defending has remained quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Hangzhou Greentown won 2 times, Yunnan Yukun won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:3 from Hangzhou Greentown's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.3%)
Predicted formations: Hangzhou Greentown 4-2-3-1 / Yunnan Yukun 4-3-3
H2H summary: Hangzhou Greentown wins 2, draws 1, Yunnan Yukun wins 0
Last matches: Hangzhou Greentown
22.08.26
Sup
Hangzhou Greentown
Sichuan Jiuniu
1
1
D
15.08.26
Sup
Hangzhou Greentown
Chengdu Better City
2
3
L
01.08.26
Sup
Hangzhou Greentown
Beijing Guoan
1
2
L
26.07.26
Sup
Hangzhou Greentown
Dalian Zhixing
3
2
W
18.07.26
Sup
Hangzhou Greentown
Chongqing Tongliang Long
1
1
D
14.07.26
Sup
Hangzhou Greentown
Qingdao Jonoon
3
2
W
05.07.26
Sup
Hangzhou Greentown
Shanghai Shenhua
2
3
L
28.06.26
Sup
Hangzhou Greentown
Qingdao Youth Island
1
3
L
30.05.26
Sup
Hangzhou Greentown
Henan Jianye
2
0
W
24.05.26
Sup
Hangzhou Greentown
Shenyang Urban
0
5
L
20.05.26
Sup
Hangzhou Greentown
Shandong Luneng
4
1
W
15.05.26
Sup
Hangzhou Greentown
SHANGHAI SIPG
2
2
D
10.05.26
Sup
Hangzhou Greentown
Tianjin Teda
1
1
D
06.05.26
Sup
Hangzhou Greentown
Yunnan Yukun
2
1
W
02.05.26
Sup
Hangzhou Greentown
Sichuan Jiuniu
2
1
W
25.04.26
Sup
Hangzhou Greentown
Chengdu Better City
0
4
L
21.04.26
Sup
Hangzhou Greentown
Wuhan Three Towns
0
2
L
17.04.26
Sup
Hangzhou Greentown
Beijing Guoan
0
0
D
10.04.26
Sup
Hangzhou Greentown
Dalian Zhixing
0
3
L
05.04.26
Sup
Hangzhou Greentown
Chongqing Tongliang Long
0
1
L
Last matches: Yunnan Yukun
22.08.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Beijing Guoan
3
3
D
15.08.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Dalian Zhixing
3
1
W
08.08.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Chengdu Better City
1
0
W
01.08.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Tianjin Teda
2
3
L
26.07.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Sichuan Jiuniu
4
3
W
17.07.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
SHANGHAI SIPG
2
2
D
10.07.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Shandong Luneng
3
4
L
03.07.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Henan Jianye
2
1
W
26.06.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Qingdao Jonoon
2
4
L
31.05.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Wuhan Three Towns
1
1
D
24.05.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Qingdao Youth Island
2
3
L
20.05.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Chongqing Tongliang Long
0
0
D
16.05.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Shanghai Shenhua
1
0
W
10.05.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Shenyang Urban
2
1
W
06.05.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Hangzhou Greentown
1
2
L
02.05.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Beijing Guoan
3
3
D
26.04.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Dalian Zhixing
3
1
W
21.04.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Chengdu Better City
1
2
L
17.04.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Tianjin Teda
0
3
L
12.04.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Sichuan Jiuniu
4
3
W
H2H: Hangzhou Greentown vs Yunnan Yukun
06.05.26
H2H
Yunnan Yukun
Hangzhou Greentown
1
2
W
18.07.25
H2H
Hangzhou Greentown
Yunnan Yukun
3
1
W
01.03.25
H2H
Yunnan Yukun
Hangzhou Greentown
1
1
D
Last matches: Hangzhou Greentown
15.08.26
Sup
Hangzhou Greentown
Chengdu Better City
2
3
L
26.07.26
Sup
Hangzhou Greentown
Dalian Zhixing
3
2
W
14.07.26
Sup
Hangzhou Greentown
Qingdao Jonoon
3
2
W
24.05.26
Sup
Hangzhou Greentown
Shenyang Urban
0
5
L
20.05.26
Sup
Hangzhou Greentown
Shandong Luneng
4
1
W
10.05.26
Sup
Hangzhou Greentown
Tianjin Teda
1
1
D
02.05.26
Sup
Hangzhou Greentown
Sichuan Jiuniu
2
1
W
17.04.26
Sup
Hangzhou Greentown
Beijing Guoan
0
0
D
05.04.26
Sup
Hangzhou Greentown
Chongqing Tongliang Long
0
1
L
14.03.26
Sup
Hangzhou Greentown
Shanghai Shenhua
1
1
D
08.03.26
Sup
Hangzhou Greentown
Qingdao Youth Island
2
0
W
13.02.26
Fri
Hangzhou Greentown
FC Astana
2
2
D
H2H at home: Hangzhou Greentown
18.07.25
H2H
Hangzhou Greentown
Yunnan Yukun
3
1
W
Last matches: Yunnan Yukun
22.08.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Beijing Guoan
3
3
D
01.08.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Tianjin Teda
2
3
L
10.07.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Shandong Luneng
3
4
L
26.06.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Qingdao Jonoon
2
4
L
31.05.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Wuhan Three Towns
1
1
D
20.05.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Chongqing Tongliang Long
0
0
D
10.05.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Shenyang Urban
2
1
W
26.04.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Dalian Zhixing
3
1
W
21.04.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Chengdu Better City
1
2
L
12.04.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Sichuan Jiuniu
4
3
W
04.04.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
SHANGHAI SIPG
1
2
L
15.03.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Henan Jianye
1
2
L
09.02.26
Fri
Yunnan Yukun
Ural
0
2
L
07.02.26
Fri
Yunnan Yukun
FC Noah
5
5
D
H2H away: Yunnan Yukun
18.07.25
H2H
Hangzhou Greentown
Yunnan Yukun
3
1
L

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 14 6 4 49:29 20 48
L W L D D
2 24 11 8 5 48:32 16 36
D W W W W
3 24 8 12 4 28:29 -1 36
W D D W W
4 24 11 3 10 35:40 -5 36
W D L W D
5 24 10 5 9 49:45 4 35
D W W L W
6 24 12 3 9 42:40 2 33
L W W W L
7 24 7 9 8 25:28 -3 30
L D L L L
8 24 9 7 8 39:33 6 29
W D W W L
9 24 11 5 8 47:42 5 28
W L W W L
10 24 8 3 13 33:43 -10 27
D W L W L
11 23 8 6 9 34:40 -6 25
D L L W D
12 23 7 4 12 33:39 -6 25
D L L W L
13 23 8 6 9 31:33 -2 24
D L D D W
14 23 7 7 9 32:30 2 18
D L L W W
15 22 4 9 9 30:38 -8 16
D L D W W
16 24 6 3 15 32:46 -14 14
L L L L L
AFC Champions League Elite League Stage
AFC Champions League 2 Group Stage
Relegation