Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Gremio Win 0%
Draw 0%
Sao Paulo Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Gremio1.19
Sao Paulo1.27
Recent Form (Last 5)
Gremio
WWDLW
28 GF / 30 GA
Sao Paulo
WLDWL
25 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
1.22
Average Goals Scored
1.25
1.3
Average Goals Conceded
1.15
15
BTTS Yes
12
11
Over 2.5
8
3.7
Shots on Goal
3.9
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Gremio
23 matches
Sao Paulo
20 matches
| Gremio | Statistic | Sao Paulo |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 7 |
| 7 | Draws | 5 |
| 9 | Losses | 8 |
| 28 | Goals For | 25 |
| 30 | Goals Against | 23 |
| 1.22 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.25 |
| 1.3 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.15 |
| 15 | BTTS Yes | 12 |
| 18 | Over 1.5 | 15 |
| 11 | Over 2.5 | 8 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 3.7 | Shots On Goal | 3.9 |
| 11.25 | Total Shots | 11.75 |
| 4.15 | Corners | 6.35 |
| 49.8% | Ball Possession | 53.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Gremio won 6 times, Sao Paulo won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:14 from Gremio's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Gremio 4-1-4-1 / Sao Paulo 4-4-1-1
H2H summary: Gremio wins 6, draws 3, Sao Paulo wins 6
Last matches: Gremio
26.07.26
Ser
Gremio
Fluminense
1
1
D
17.07.26
Ser
Gremio
Mirassol
1
2
L
12.07.26
Fri
Gremio
Cruzeiro
3
1
W
04.07.26
Fri
Gremio
Chapecoense-sc
1
2
L
27.06.26
Fri
Gremio
Cascavel
2
1
W
30.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Corinthians
1
3
L
23.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Santos
3
2
W
17.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Bahia
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Flamengo
0
1
L
02.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Atletico Paranaense
0
0
D
26.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Coritiba
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Cruzeiro
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Internacional
0
0
D
05.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Remo
0
0
D
03.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Palmeiras
1
2
L
22.03.26
Ser
Gremio
Vasco DA Gama
1
2
L
19.03.26
Ser
Gremio
Vitoria
2
0
W
16.03.26
Ser
Gremio
Chapecoense-sc
1
1
D
13.03.26
Ser
Gremio
RB Bragantino
1
1
D
26.02.26
Ser
Gremio
Atletico-MG
2
1
W
Last matches: Sao Paulo
26.07.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Flamengo
1
1
D
23.07.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Atletico Paranaense
1
2
L
31.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Remo
0
1
L
23.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Botafogo
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Fluminense
1
2
L
10.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Corinthians
2
3
L
03.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Bahia
2
2
D
26.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Mirassol
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Vasco DA Gama
1
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Vitoria
0
2
L
04.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Cruzeiro
4
1
W
01.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Internacional
1
1
D
22.03.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Palmeiras
0
1
L
18.03.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Atletico-MG
0
1
L
15.03.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
RB Bragantino
2
1
W
12.03.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Chapecoense-sc
2
0
W
25.02.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Coritiba
1
0
W
12.02.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Gremio
2
0
W
04.02.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Santos
1
1
D
29.01.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Flamengo
2
1
W
H2H: Gremio vs Sao Paulo
12.02.26
H2H
Sao Paulo
Gremio
2
0
L
16.10.25
H2H
Gremio
Sao Paulo
2
0
W
18.05.25
H2H
Sao Paulo
Gremio
2
1
L
01.12.24
H2H
Gremio
Sao Paulo
2
1
W
17.07.24
H2H
Sao Paulo
Gremio
1
0
L
21.10.23
H2H
Sao Paulo
Gremio
3
0
L
04.06.23
H2H
Gremio
Sao Paulo
2
1
W
02.12.21
H2H
Gremio
Sao Paulo
3
0
W
15.08.21
H2H
Sao Paulo
Gremio
2
1
L
14.02.21
H2H
Gremio
Sao Paulo
1
2
L
31.12.20
H2H
Sao Paulo
Gremio
0
0
D
24.12.20
H2H
Gremio
Sao Paulo
1
0
W
18.10.20
H2H
Sao Paulo
Gremio
0
0
D
01.12.19
H2H
Gremio
Sao Paulo
3
0
W
31.08.19
H2H
Sao Paulo
Gremio
0
0
D
Last matches: Gremio
26.07.26
Ser
Gremio
Fluminense
1
1
D
12.07.26
Fri
Gremio
Cruzeiro
3
1
W
04.07.26
Fri
Gremio
Chapecoense-sc
1
2
L
30.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Corinthians
1
3
L
23.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Santos
3
2
W
10.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Flamengo
0
1
L
26.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Coritiba
1
0
W
05.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Remo
0
0
D
19.03.26
Ser
Gremio
Vitoria
2
0
W
13.03.26
Ser
Gremio
RB Bragantino
1
1
D
26.02.26
Ser
Gremio
Atletico-MG
2
1
W
05.02.26
Ser
Gremio
Botafogo
5
3
W
H2H at home: Gremio
16.10.25
H2H
Gremio
Sao Paulo
2
0
W
01.12.24
H2H
Gremio
Sao Paulo
2
1
W
04.06.23
H2H
Gremio
Sao Paulo
2
1
W
02.12.21
H2H
Gremio
Sao Paulo
3
0
W
14.02.21
H2H
Gremio
Sao Paulo
1
2
L
24.12.20
H2H
Gremio
Sao Paulo
1
0
W
01.12.19
H2H
Gremio
Sao Paulo
3
0
W
Last matches: Sao Paulo
26.07.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Flamengo
1
1
D
31.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Remo
0
1
L
16.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Fluminense
1
2
L
10.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Corinthians
2
3
L
18.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Vasco DA Gama
1
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Vitoria
0
2
L
01.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Internacional
1
1
D
18.03.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Atletico-MG
0
1
L
15.03.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
RB Bragantino
2
1
W
25.02.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Coritiba
1
0
W
04.02.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Santos
1
1
D
H2H away: Sao Paulo
16.10.25
H2H
Gremio
Sao Paulo
2
0
L
01.12.24
H2H
Gremio
Sao Paulo
2
1
L
04.06.23
H2H
Gremio
Sao Paulo
2
1
L
02.12.21
H2H
Gremio
Sao Paulo
3
0
L
14.02.21
H2H
Gremio
Sao Paulo
1
2
W
24.12.20
H2H
Gremio
Sao Paulo
1
0
L
01.12.19
H2H
Gremio
Sao Paulo
3
0
L
Standings
Serie A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 34:16 | 18 | 44 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 2 | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 37:18 | 19 | 39 |
D
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 28:19 | 9 | 36 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 30:25 | 5 | 33 |
D
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 26:20 | 6 | 31 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 29:25 | 4 | 31 |
D
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 34:32 | 2 | 29 |
W
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 8 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 25:25 | 0 | 28 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 22:20 | 2 | 28 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 25:27 | -2 | 27 |
D
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 26:30 | -4 | 27 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 12 |
Sao Paulo
Away
|
20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 25:23 | 2 | 26 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
| 13 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 22:27 | -5 | 26 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 23:27 | -4 | 23 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 29:33 | -4 | 22 |
D
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23:27 | -4 | 22 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 |
Gremio
Home
|
20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 22:26 | -4 | 22 |
D
L
L
W
D
|
| 18 | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 23:31 | -8 | 21 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 24:34 | -10 | 21 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 20 | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 19:41 | -22 | 10 |
?
|
LIBC CL group stage
LIBC Play-offs
Copa Sudamericana Group Stage
Relegation