Predictions & Statistics
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Gremio Win 0%
Draw 0%
Palmeiras Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Gremio1.04
Palmeiras1.53
Recent Form (Last 5)
Gremio
WWDLW
27 GF / 29 GA
Palmeiras
WLDWL
40 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
1.23
Average Goals Scored
1.67
1.32
Average Goals Conceded
0.75
14
BTTS Yes
15
11
Over 2.5
11
3.63
Shots on Goal
4.83
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Gremio
22 matches
Palmeiras
24 matches
| Gremio | Statistic | Palmeiras |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 15 |
| 6 | Draws | 7 |
| 9 | Losses | 2 |
| 27 | Goals For | 40 |
| 29 | Goals Against | 18 |
| 1.23 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.67 |
| 1.32 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.75 |
| 14 | BTTS Yes | 15 |
| 17 | Over 1.5 | 17 |
| 11 | Over 2.5 | 11 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 3.63 | Shots On Goal | 4.83 |
| 11.21 | Total Shots | 14.42 |
| 3.89 | Corners | 6.04 |
| 49.7% | Ball Possession | 52.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Gremio won 4 times, Palmeiras won 8 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:24 from Gremio's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Gremio 4-3-3 / Palmeiras 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Gremio wins 4, draws 3, Palmeiras wins 8
Last matches: Gremio
17.07.26
Ser
Gremio
Mirassol
1
2
L
12.07.26
Fri
Gremio
Cruzeiro
3
1
W
04.07.26
Fri
Gremio
Chapecoense-sc
1
2
L
27.06.26
Fri
Gremio
Cascavel
2
1
W
30.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Corinthians
1
3
L
23.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Santos
3
2
W
17.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Bahia
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Flamengo
0
1
L
02.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Atletico Paranaense
0
0
D
26.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Coritiba
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Cruzeiro
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Internacional
0
0
D
05.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Remo
0
0
D
03.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Palmeiras
1
2
L
22.03.26
Ser
Gremio
Vasco DA Gama
1
2
L
19.03.26
Ser
Gremio
Vitoria
2
0
W
16.03.26
Ser
Gremio
Chapecoense-sc
1
1
D
13.03.26
Ser
Gremio
RB Bragantino
1
1
D
26.02.26
Ser
Gremio
Atletico-MG
2
1
W
12.02.26
Ser
Gremio
Sao Paulo
0
2
L
Last matches: Palmeiras
31.05.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Chapecoense-sc
1
0
W
28.05.26
CON
Palmeiras
Junior
4
1
W
24.05.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Flamengo
3
0
W
21.05.26
CON
Palmeiras
Cerro Porteno
0
1
L
17.05.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Cruzeiro
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Remo
1
1
D
05.05.26
CON
Palmeiras
Sporting Cristal
2
0
W
02.05.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Santos
1
1
D
30.04.26
CON
Palmeiras
Cerro Porteno
1
1
D
26.04.26
Ser
Palmeiras
RB Bragantino
1
0
W
19.04.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Atletico Paranaense
1
0
W
16.04.26
CON
Palmeiras
Sporting Cristal
2
1
W
12.04.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Corinthians
0
0
D
09.04.26
CON
Palmeiras
Junior
1
1
D
05.04.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Bahia
2
1
W
03.04.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Gremio
2
1
W
22.03.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Sao Paulo
1
0
W
18.03.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Botafogo
2
1
W
15.03.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Mirassol
1
0
W
12.03.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Vasco DA Gama
1
2
L
H2H: Gremio vs Palmeiras
03.04.26
H2H
Palmeiras
Gremio
2
1
L
26.11.25
H2H
Gremio
Palmeiras
3
2
W
27.07.25
H2H
Palmeiras
Gremio
1
0
L
09.11.24
H2H
Palmeiras
Gremio
1
0
L
04.07.24
H2H
Gremio
Palmeiras
2
2
D
22.09.23
H2H
Gremio
Palmeiras
1
0
W
11.05.23
H2H
Palmeiras
Gremio
4
1
L
31.10.21
H2H
Gremio
Palmeiras
1
3
L
07.07.21
H2H
Palmeiras
Gremio
2
0
L
07.03.21
H2H
Palmeiras
Gremio
2
0
L
01.03.21
H2H
Gremio
Palmeiras
0
1
L
16.01.21
H2H
Palmeiras
Gremio
1
1
D
20.09.20
H2H
Gremio
Palmeiras
1
1
D
24.11.19
H2H
Palmeiras
Gremio
1
2
W
28.08.19
H2H
Palmeiras
Gremio
1
2
W
Last matches: Gremio
12.07.26
Fri
Gremio
Cruzeiro
3
1
W
04.07.26
Fri
Gremio
Chapecoense-sc
1
2
L
30.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Corinthians
1
3
L
23.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Santos
3
2
W
10.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Flamengo
0
1
L
26.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Coritiba
1
0
W
05.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Remo
0
0
D
19.03.26
Ser
Gremio
Vitoria
2
0
W
13.03.26
Ser
Gremio
RB Bragantino
1
1
D
26.02.26
Ser
Gremio
Atletico-MG
2
1
W
05.02.26
Ser
Gremio
Botafogo
5
3
W
H2H at home: Gremio
26.11.25
H2H
Gremio
Palmeiras
3
2
W
04.07.24
H2H
Gremio
Palmeiras
2
2
D
22.09.23
H2H
Gremio
Palmeiras
1
0
W
31.10.21
H2H
Gremio
Palmeiras
1
3
L
01.03.21
H2H
Gremio
Palmeiras
0
1
L
20.09.20
H2H
Gremio
Palmeiras
1
1
D
Last matches: Palmeiras
24.05.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Flamengo
3
0
W
10.05.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Remo
1
1
D
05.05.26
CON
Palmeiras
Sporting Cristal
2
0
W
30.04.26
CON
Palmeiras
Cerro Porteno
1
1
D
26.04.26
Ser
Palmeiras
RB Bragantino
1
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Corinthians
0
0
D
09.04.26
CON
Palmeiras
Junior
1
1
D
05.04.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Bahia
2
1
W
22.03.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Sao Paulo
1
0
W
12.03.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Vasco DA Gama
1
2
L
13.02.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Internacional
3
1
W
28.01.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Atletico-MG
2
2
D
H2H away: Palmeiras
26.11.25
H2H
Gremio
Palmeiras
3
2
L
04.07.24
H2H
Gremio
Palmeiras
2
2
D
22.09.23
H2H
Gremio
Palmeiras
1
0
L
31.10.21
H2H
Gremio
Palmeiras
1
3
W
01.03.21
H2H
Gremio
Palmeiras
0
1
W
20.09.20
H2H
Gremio
Palmeiras
1
1
D
Standings
Serie A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Palmeiras
Away
|
18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 30:13 | 17 | 41 |
W
W
D
D
D
|
| 2 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31:16 | 15 | 34 |
W
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 29:24 | 5 | 32 |
D
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 26:20 | 6 | 30 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 5 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 24:18 | 6 | 30 |
W
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 6 | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 27:23 | 4 | 29 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 7 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 24:24 | 0 | 26 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 23:20 | 3 | 25 |
L
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 9 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 33:32 | 1 | 25 |
W
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 22:25 | -3 | 25 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 11 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 22:23 | -1 | 24 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 12 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 18:19 | -1 | 24 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 24:28 | -4 | 24 |
D
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21:22 | -1 | 21 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 27:31 | -4 | 21 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 16 |
Gremio
Home
|
19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 21:25 | -4 | 21 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
| 17 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 22:30 | -8 | 20 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 18 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 20:25 | -5 | 19 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 19 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 21:29 | -8 | 18 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 20 | 18 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 17:35 | -18 | 9 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B