Predictions & Statistics
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Gremio Win 0%
Draw 0%
Palmeiras Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Gremio1.05
Palmeiras1.56
Recent Form (Last 5)
Gremio
WWDLW
30 GF / 34 GA
Palmeiras
WLDWL
51 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
1.2
Average Goals Scored
1.7
1.36
Average Goals Conceded
0.83
16
BTTS Yes
19
13
Over 2.5
15
3.64
Shots on Goal
5
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Gremio
25 matches
Palmeiras
30 matches
| Gremio | Statistic | Palmeiras |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 17 |
| 7 | Draws | 9 |
| 10 | Losses | 4 |
| 30 | Goals For | 51 |
| 34 | Goals Against | 25 |
| 1.2 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.7 |
| 1.36 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.83 |
| 16 | BTTS Yes | 19 |
| 20 | Over 1.5 | 22 |
| 13 | Over 2.5 | 15 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 10 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 3.64 | Shots On Goal | 5 |
| 11.18 | Total Shots | 15.17 |
| 4.36 | Corners | 5.9 |
| 49.7% | Ball Possession | 53.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Gremio won 4 times, Palmeiras won 8 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:24 from Gremio's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Gremio 4-1-4-1 / Palmeiras 4-4-2
H2H summary: Gremio wins 4, draws 3, Palmeiras wins 8
Last matches: Gremio
16.08.26
Ser
Gremio
Atletico-MG
0
3
L
08.08.26
Ser
Gremio
Sao Paulo
2
1
W
26.07.26
Ser
Gremio
Fluminense
1
1
D
17.07.26
Ser
Gremio
Mirassol
1
2
L
12.07.26
Fri
Gremio
Cruzeiro
3
1
W
04.07.26
Fri
Gremio
Chapecoense-sc
1
2
L
27.06.26
Fri
Gremio
Cascavel
2
1
W
30.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Corinthians
1
3
L
23.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Santos
3
2
W
17.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Bahia
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Flamengo
0
1
L
02.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Atletico Paranaense
0
0
D
26.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Coritiba
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Cruzeiro
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Internacional
0
0
D
05.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Remo
0
0
D
03.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Palmeiras
1
2
L
22.03.26
Ser
Gremio
Vasco DA Gama
1
2
L
19.03.26
Ser
Gremio
Vitoria
2
0
W
16.03.26
Ser
Gremio
Chapecoense-sc
1
1
D
Last matches: Palmeiras
15.08.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Fluminense
2
3
L
12.08.26
CON
Palmeiras
Cerro Porteno
1
1
D
09.08.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Internacional
0
0
D
30.07.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Vitoria
4
0
W
26.07.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Atletico-MG
1
2
L
22.07.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Coritiba
3
1
W
31.05.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Chapecoense-sc
1
0
W
28.05.26
CON
Palmeiras
Junior
4
1
W
24.05.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Flamengo
3
0
W
21.05.26
CON
Palmeiras
Cerro Porteno
0
1
L
17.05.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Cruzeiro
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Remo
1
1
D
05.05.26
CON
Palmeiras
Sporting Cristal
2
0
W
02.05.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Santos
1
1
D
30.04.26
CON
Palmeiras
Cerro Porteno
1
1
D
26.04.26
Ser
Palmeiras
RB Bragantino
1
0
W
19.04.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Atletico Paranaense
1
0
W
16.04.26
CON
Palmeiras
Sporting Cristal
2
1
W
12.04.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Corinthians
0
0
D
09.04.26
CON
Palmeiras
Junior
1
1
D
H2H: Gremio vs Palmeiras
03.04.26
H2H
Palmeiras
Gremio
2
1
L
26.11.25
H2H
Gremio
Palmeiras
3
2
W
27.07.25
H2H
Palmeiras
Gremio
1
0
L
09.11.24
H2H
Palmeiras
Gremio
1
0
L
04.07.24
H2H
Gremio
Palmeiras
2
2
D
22.09.23
H2H
Gremio
Palmeiras
1
0
W
11.05.23
H2H
Palmeiras
Gremio
4
1
L
31.10.21
H2H
Gremio
Palmeiras
1
3
L
07.07.21
H2H
Palmeiras
Gremio
2
0
L
07.03.21
H2H
Palmeiras
Gremio
2
0
L
01.03.21
H2H
Gremio
Palmeiras
0
1
L
16.01.21
H2H
Palmeiras
Gremio
1
1
D
20.09.20
H2H
Gremio
Palmeiras
1
1
D
24.11.19
H2H
Palmeiras
Gremio
1
2
W
28.08.19
H2H
Palmeiras
Gremio
1
2
W
Last matches: Gremio
08.08.26
Ser
Gremio
Sao Paulo
2
1
W
26.07.26
Ser
Gremio
Fluminense
1
1
D
12.07.26
Fri
Gremio
Cruzeiro
3
1
W
04.07.26
Fri
Gremio
Chapecoense-sc
1
2
L
30.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Corinthians
1
3
L
23.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Santos
3
2
W
10.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Flamengo
0
1
L
26.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Coritiba
1
0
W
05.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Remo
0
0
D
19.03.26
Ser
Gremio
Vitoria
2
0
W
13.03.26
Ser
Gremio
RB Bragantino
1
1
D
26.02.26
Ser
Gremio
Atletico-MG
2
1
W
05.02.26
Ser
Gremio
Botafogo
5
3
W
H2H at home: Gremio
26.11.25
H2H
Gremio
Palmeiras
3
2
W
04.07.24
H2H
Gremio
Palmeiras
2
2
D
22.09.23
H2H
Gremio
Palmeiras
1
0
W
31.10.21
H2H
Gremio
Palmeiras
1
3
L
01.03.21
H2H
Gremio
Palmeiras
0
1
L
20.09.20
H2H
Gremio
Palmeiras
1
1
D
Last matches: Palmeiras
15.08.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Fluminense
2
3
L
30.07.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Vitoria
4
0
W
22.07.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Coritiba
3
1
W
24.05.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Flamengo
3
0
W
10.05.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Remo
1
1
D
05.05.26
CON
Palmeiras
Sporting Cristal
2
0
W
30.04.26
CON
Palmeiras
Cerro Porteno
1
1
D
26.04.26
Ser
Palmeiras
RB Bragantino
1
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Corinthians
0
0
D
09.04.26
CON
Palmeiras
Junior
1
1
D
05.04.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Bahia
2
1
W
22.03.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Sao Paulo
1
0
W
12.03.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Vasco DA Gama
1
2
L
13.02.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Internacional
3
1
W
28.01.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Atletico-MG
2
2
D
H2H away: Palmeiras
26.11.25
H2H
Gremio
Palmeiras
3
2
L
04.07.24
H2H
Gremio
Palmeiras
2
2
D
22.09.23
H2H
Gremio
Palmeiras
1
0
L
31.10.21
H2H
Gremio
Palmeiras
1
3
W
01.03.21
H2H
Gremio
Palmeiras
0
1
W
20.09.20
H2H
Gremio
Palmeiras
1
1
D
Standings
Serie A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Palmeiras
Away
|
23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 40:19 | 21 | 48 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
| 2 | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 44:19 | 25 | 45 |
W
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 31:20 | 11 | 41 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 34:28 | 6 | 38 |
W
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 5 | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 32:32 | 0 | 36 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 23 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 32:28 | 4 | 34 |
D
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 27:23 | 4 | 32 |
D
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 30:27 | 3 | 32 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 25:22 | 3 | 32 |
L
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 28:30 | -2 | 31 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 35:34 | 1 | 30 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 12 | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 23:33 | -10 | 29 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 27:26 | 1 | 27 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 32:35 | -3 | 25 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 15 |
Gremio
Home
|
22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 24:30 | -6 | 25 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
| 16 | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 24:28 | -4 | 24 |
D
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 25:35 | -10 | 23 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 18 | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 27:37 | -10 | 23 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 19 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 23:34 | -11 | 22 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 22 | 1 | 8 | 13 | 23:46 | -23 | 11 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B