Gremio vs Palmeiras H2H Stats
Compare football head-to-head records, previous meetings, wins, draws, BTTS and Over 2.5 trends before reading the match prediction.
View today's football H2H statsGremio vs Palmeiras Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
52.3%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
54.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
55.6%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
- |
Gremio
Palmeiras
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Gremio
30 matches
Palmeiras
37 matches
| Gremio | Statistic | Palmeiras |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 21 |
| 7 | Draws | 11 |
| 14 | Losses | 5 |
| 36 | Goals For | 62 |
| 42 | Goals Against | 30 |
| 1.2 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.68 |
| 1.4 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.81 |
| 19 | BTTS Yes | 22 |
| 23 | Over 1.5 | 26 |
| 16 | Over 2.5 | 17 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 9 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 14 |
| 9 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 3.67 | Shots On Goal | 5 |
| 11.44 | Total Shots | 15.43 |
| 4.22 | Corners | 6.05 |
| 50.4% | Ball Possession | 53.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Palmeiras's more proactive style and Gremio's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Palmeiras. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Palmeiras carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 56 points while Gremio sit 15 on 28, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Gremio expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Palmeiras in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Palmeiras having the stronger overall control. Gremio have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.
Gremio sit 15 with 28 points after 26 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 7 wins, 7 draws, and 12 losses, together with goals at 28:35, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through Carlos Vinícius (9 goals), C. Pavón (2 goals), Gustavo Martins (2 goals), with creative support from C. Pavón (4 assists), Francis Amuzu (3 assists), Gustavo Martins (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of 7 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses points to a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Palmeiras arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 1 place with 56 points after 27 matches. The record of 16 wins, 8 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 47:21 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through J. López (7 goals), Maurício (6 goals), Vitor Roque (5 goals), with creative support from Andreas Pereira (10 assists), J. López (3 assists), Allan (3 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 7 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Gremio won 4 times, Palmeiras won 8 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:24 from Gremio's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 58:25 | 33 | 64 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 |
Palmeiras
Away
|
30 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 52:22 | 30 | 63 |
W
W
D
W
D
|
| 3 | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 49:35 | 14 | 53 |
W
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 4 | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 48:37 | 11 | 51 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 44:36 | 8 | 49 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 46:44 | 2 | 48 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 41:35 | 6 | 47 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 46:45 | 1 | 42 |
L
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 38:35 | 3 | 40 |
W
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 35:35 | 0 | 39 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 11 | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 38:48 | -10 | 39 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 33:44 | -11 | 36 |
L
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 13 | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 43:48 | -5 | 36 |
D
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 14 | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 36:42 | -6 | 35 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 34:44 | -10 | 33 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 16 | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 31:38 | -7 | 32 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 33:38 | -5 | 32 |
D
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 18 |
Gremio
Home
|
30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 32:40 | -8 | 31 |
D
D
D
L
L
|
| 19 | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 33:48 | -15 | 25 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 29 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 30:61 | -31 | 18 |
L
L
D
L
W
|