Predictions & Statistics
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Gremio Win 0%
Draw 0%
Cruzeiro Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Gremio1.26
Cruzeiro1.34
Recent Form (Last 5)
Gremio
WWDLW
27 GF / 29 GA
Cruzeiro
WLDWL
35 GF / 34 GA
Key Stats
1.23
Average Goals Scored
1.35
1.32
Average Goals Conceded
1.31
14
BTTS Yes
15
11
Over 2.5
14
3.63
Shots on Goal
4.5
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Gremio
22 matches
Cruzeiro
26 matches
| Gremio | Statistic | Cruzeiro |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 10 |
| 6 | Draws | 8 |
| 9 | Losses | 8 |
| 27 | Goals For | 35 |
| 29 | Goals Against | 34 |
| 1.23 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.35 |
| 1.32 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.31 |
| 14 | BTTS Yes | 15 |
| 17 | Over 1.5 | 21 |
| 11 | Over 2.5 | 14 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 9 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 3.63 | Shots On Goal | 4.5 |
| 11.21 | Total Shots | 13.63 |
| 3.89 | Corners | 4.75 |
| 49.7% | Ball Possession | 55.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Gremio won 5 times, Cruzeiro won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:18 from Gremio's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Gremio 4-3-3 / Cruzeiro 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Gremio wins 5, draws 4, Cruzeiro wins 6
Last matches: Gremio
17.07.26
Ser
Gremio
Mirassol
1
2
L
12.07.26
Fri
Gremio
Cruzeiro
3
1
W
04.07.26
Fri
Gremio
Chapecoense-sc
1
2
L
27.06.26
Fri
Gremio
Cascavel
2
1
W
30.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Corinthians
1
3
L
23.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Santos
3
2
W
17.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Bahia
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Flamengo
0
1
L
02.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Atletico Paranaense
0
0
D
26.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Coritiba
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Cruzeiro
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Internacional
0
0
D
05.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Remo
0
0
D
03.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Palmeiras
1
2
L
22.03.26
Ser
Gremio
Vasco DA Gama
1
2
L
19.03.26
Ser
Gremio
Vitoria
2
0
W
16.03.26
Ser
Gremio
Chapecoense-sc
1
1
D
13.03.26
Ser
Gremio
RB Bragantino
1
1
D
26.02.26
Ser
Gremio
Atletico-MG
2
1
W
12.02.26
Ser
Gremio
Sao Paulo
0
2
L
Last matches: Cruzeiro
12.07.26
Fri
Cruzeiro
Gremio
1
3
L
04.07.26
Fri
Cruzeiro
Defensor Sporting
2
0
W
31.05.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Fluminense
1
1
D
29.05.26
CON
Cruzeiro
Barcelona SC
4
0
W
24.05.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Chapecoense-sc
2
1
W
20.05.26
CON
Cruzeiro
Boca Juniors
1
1
D
17.05.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Palmeiras
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Bahia
2
1
W
07.05.26
CON
Cruzeiro
U. Catolica
0
0
D
03.05.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Atletico-MG
1
3
L
29.04.26
CON
Cruzeiro
Boca Juniors
1
0
W
25.04.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Remo
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Gremio
2
0
W
15.04.26
CON
Cruzeiro
U. Catolica
1
2
L
12.04.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
RB Bragantino
2
1
W
08.04.26
CON
Cruzeiro
Barcelona SC
1
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Sao Paulo
1
4
L
01.04.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Vitoria
3
0
W
22.03.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Santos
0
0
D
18.03.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Atletico Paranaense
1
2
L
H2H: Gremio vs Cruzeiro
12.07.26
H2H
Gremio
Cruzeiro
3
1
W
18.04.26
H2H
Cruzeiro
Gremio
2
0
L
05.11.25
H2H
Gremio
Cruzeiro
0
1
L
13.07.25
H2H
Cruzeiro
Gremio
4
1
L
28.11.24
H2H
Cruzeiro
Gremio
1
1
D
10.07.24
H2H
Gremio
Cruzeiro
0
2
L
27.08.23
H2H
Gremio
Cruzeiro
3
0
W
31.05.23
H2H
Cruzeiro
Gremio
0
1
W
17.05.23
H2H
Gremio
Cruzeiro
1
1
D
23.04.23
H2H
Cruzeiro
Gremio
1
0
L
21.08.22
H2H
Gremio
Cruzeiro
2
2
D
08.05.22
H2H
Cruzeiro
Gremio
1
0
L
05.12.19
H2H
Gremio
Cruzeiro
2
0
W
08.09.19
H2H
Cruzeiro
Gremio
1
4
W
23.08.18
H2H
Gremio
Cruzeiro
1
1
D
Last matches: Gremio
12.07.26
Fri
Gremio
Cruzeiro
3
1
W
04.07.26
Fri
Gremio
Chapecoense-sc
1
2
L
30.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Corinthians
1
3
L
23.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Santos
3
2
W
10.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Flamengo
0
1
L
26.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Coritiba
1
0
W
05.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Remo
0
0
D
19.03.26
Ser
Gremio
Vitoria
2
0
W
13.03.26
Ser
Gremio
RB Bragantino
1
1
D
26.02.26
Ser
Gremio
Atletico-MG
2
1
W
05.02.26
Ser
Gremio
Botafogo
5
3
W
H2H at home: Gremio
12.07.26
H2H
Gremio
Cruzeiro
3
1
W
05.11.25
H2H
Gremio
Cruzeiro
0
1
L
10.07.24
H2H
Gremio
Cruzeiro
0
2
L
27.08.23
H2H
Gremio
Cruzeiro
3
0
W
17.05.23
H2H
Gremio
Cruzeiro
1
1
D
21.08.22
H2H
Gremio
Cruzeiro
2
2
D
05.12.19
H2H
Gremio
Cruzeiro
2
0
W
23.08.18
H2H
Gremio
Cruzeiro
1
1
D
Last matches: Cruzeiro
12.07.26
Fri
Cruzeiro
Gremio
1
3
L
20.05.26
CON
Cruzeiro
Boca Juniors
1
1
D
17.05.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Palmeiras
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Bahia
2
1
W
07.05.26
CON
Cruzeiro
U. Catolica
0
0
D
25.04.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Remo
1
0
W
08.04.26
CON
Cruzeiro
Barcelona SC
1
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Sao Paulo
1
4
L
18.03.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Atletico Paranaense
1
2
L
12.03.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Flamengo
0
2
L
11.02.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Mirassol
2
2
D
30.01.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Botafogo
0
4
L
H2H away: Cruzeiro
12.07.26
H2H
Gremio
Cruzeiro
3
1
L
05.11.25
H2H
Gremio
Cruzeiro
0
1
W
10.07.24
H2H
Gremio
Cruzeiro
0
2
W
27.08.23
H2H
Gremio
Cruzeiro
3
0
L
17.05.23
H2H
Gremio
Cruzeiro
1
1
D
21.08.22
H2H
Gremio
Cruzeiro
2
2
D
05.12.19
H2H
Gremio
Cruzeiro
2
0
L
23.08.18
H2H
Gremio
Cruzeiro
1
1
D
Standings
Serie A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 30:13 | 17 | 41 |
W
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 2 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31:16 | 15 | 34 |
W
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 29:24 | 5 | 32 |
D
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 26:20 | 6 | 30 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 5 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 24:18 | 6 | 30 |
W
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 6 | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 27:23 | 4 | 29 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 7 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 24:24 | 0 | 26 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 23:20 | 3 | 25 |
L
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 9 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 33:32 | 1 | 25 |
W
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 22:25 | -3 | 25 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 11 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 22:23 | -1 | 24 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 12 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 18:19 | -1 | 24 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 13 |
Cruzeiro
Away
|
18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 24:28 | -4 | 24 |
D
W
D
W
L
|
| 14 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21:22 | -1 | 21 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 27:31 | -4 | 21 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 16 |
Gremio
Home
|
19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 21:25 | -4 | 21 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
| 17 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 22:30 | -8 | 20 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 18 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 20:25 | -5 | 19 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 19 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 21:29 | -8 | 18 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 20 | 18 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 17:35 | -18 | 9 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B