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BRAZIL › SERIE A
18.11.2026 21:00
Arena do Grêmio

Gremio vs Bahia Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Gremio Win 0%
Draw 0%
Bahia Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Gremio1.21
Bahia1.42
Recent Form (Last 5)
Gremio Gremio
WWDLW
40 GF / 48 GA
Bahia Bahia
WLDWL
50 GF / 44 GA
Key Stats
1.18
Average Goals Scored
1.43
1.41
Average Goals Conceded
1.26
22
BTTS Yes
21
17
Over 2.5
18
3.77
Shots on Goal
4.55

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Gremio Gremio 34 matches
Bahia Bahia 35 matches
Gremio Statistic Bahia
9 Wins 15
10 Draws 10
15 Losses 10
40 Goals For 50
48 Goals Against 44
1.18 Avg Goals Scored 1.43
1.41 Avg Goals Conceded 1.26
22 BTTS Yes 21
26 Over 1.5 28
17 Over 2.5 18
7 Over 3.5 8
6 Clean Sheets 9
10 Failed To Score 7
3.77 Shots On Goal 4.55
11.68 Total Shots 14.03
4.32 Corners 5.48
49.5% Ball Possession 54.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Gremio won 6 times, Bahia won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:16 from Gremio's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Gremio 4-2-3-1 / Bahia 4-3-3
H2H summary: Gremio wins 6, draws 5, Bahia wins 4

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 31 20 7 4 61:25 36 67
W W D W W
2 31 19 9 3 54:22 32 66
W W W D W
3 31 15 8 8 49:37 12 53
L W D W D
4 31 15 6 10 50:46 4 51
W L W W L
5 31 14 9 8 49:39 10 51
L L W W L
6 31 14 8 9 42:35 7 50
W W D W D
7
Bahia Away
31 13 10 8 44:39 5 49
L W L L W
8 31 12 9 10 48:46 2 45
W L D W W
9 31 12 6 13 36:35 1 42
W W L L W
10 31 11 8 12 39:36 3 41
D W D L L
11 31 10 9 12 44:48 -4 39
W D L L W
12 31 10 9 12 38:49 -11 39
L D L L D
13 31 10 7 14 34:45 -11 37
D L W L D
14 31 9 9 13 36:44 -8 36
W L D W D
15 30 9 8 13 36:43 -7 35
L D W W W
16 31 8 9 14 32:39 -7 33
D L L L L
17 31 7 11 13 33:40 -7 32
L D W L W
18 31 7 10 14 34:44 -10 31
L D D D L
19 31 5 11 15 34:49 -15 26
D D D L L
20 30 3 9 18 30:62 -32 18
L L L D L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B