Gremio vs Bahia Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Gremio Win 0%
Draw 0%
Bahia Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Gremio1.2
Bahia1.46
Recent Form (Last 5)
Gremio
WWDLW
36 GF / 42 GA
Bahia
WLDWL
49 GF / 40 GA
Key Stats
1.16
Average Goals Scored
1.53
1.35
Average Goals Conceded
1.25
19
BTTS Yes
21
16
Over 2.5
17
3.68
Shots on Goal
4.8
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Gremio
31 matches
Bahia
32 matches
| Gremio | Statistic | Bahia |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 14 |
| 8 | Draws | 10 |
| 14 | Losses | 8 |
| 36 | Goals For | 49 |
| 42 | Goals Against | 40 |
| 1.16 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.53 |
| 1.35 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.25 |
| 19 | BTTS Yes | 21 |
| 23 | Over 1.5 | 27 |
| 16 | Over 2.5 | 17 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 10 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 3.68 | Shots On Goal | 4.8 |
| 11.29 | Total Shots | 14.27 |
| 4.11 | Corners | 5.6 |
| 49.6% | Ball Possession | 55% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Gremio won 6 times, Bahia won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:16 from Gremio's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Gremio 4-1-4-1 / Bahia 4-3-3
H2H summary: Gremio wins 6, draws 5, Bahia wins 4
Standings
Serie A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 55:23 | 32 | 60 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 28 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 47:21 | 26 | 57 |
D
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 43:32 | 11 | 49 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 44:36 | 8 | 48 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 |
Bahia
Away
|
28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 43:35 | 8 | 46 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
| 6 | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 42:40 | 2 | 45 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 36:32 | 4 | 40 |
D
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 8 | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 41:40 | 1 | 38 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 37:43 | -6 | 38 |
L
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 33:31 | 2 | 36 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 11 | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 32:30 | 2 | 36 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 41:45 | -4 | 35 |
L
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 13 | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 28:42 | -14 | 33 |
L
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 29:32 | -3 | 32 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 33:42 | -9 | 32 |
W
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 34:41 | -7 | 31 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 17 |
Gremio
Home
|
28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 30:38 | -8 | 29 |
D
L
L
L
W
|
| 18 | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 30:36 | -6 | 28 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 19 | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 32:47 | -15 | 23 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 29:53 | -24 | 18 |
D
L
W
L
W
|
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B