Predictions & Statistics
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Gremio Win 0%
Draw 0%
Bahia Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Gremio1.24
Bahia1.42
Recent Form (Last 5)
Gremio
WWDLW
27 GF / 29 GA
Bahia
WLDWL
34 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
1.23
Average Goals Scored
1.48
1.32
Average Goals Conceded
1.26
14
BTTS Yes
15
11
Over 2.5
12
3.63
Shots on Goal
4.76
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Gremio
22 matches
Bahia
23 matches
| Gremio | Statistic | Bahia |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 10 |
| 6 | Draws | 6 |
| 9 | Losses | 7 |
| 27 | Goals For | 34 |
| 29 | Goals Against | 29 |
| 1.23 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.48 |
| 1.32 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.26 |
| 14 | BTTS Yes | 15 |
| 17 | Over 1.5 | 20 |
| 11 | Over 2.5 | 12 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 3.63 | Shots On Goal | 4.76 |
| 11.21 | Total Shots | 13.1 |
| 3.89 | Corners | 5.67 |
| 49.7% | Ball Possession | 53.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Gremio won 6 times, Bahia won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:16 from Gremio's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Gremio 4-3-3 / Bahia 4-3-3
H2H summary: Gremio wins 6, draws 5, Bahia wins 4
Last matches: Gremio
17.07.26
Ser
Gremio
Mirassol
1
2
L
12.07.26
Fri
Gremio
Cruzeiro
3
1
W
04.07.26
Fri
Gremio
Chapecoense-sc
1
2
L
27.06.26
Fri
Gremio
Cascavel
2
1
W
30.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Corinthians
1
3
L
23.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Santos
3
2
W
17.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Bahia
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Flamengo
0
1
L
02.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Atletico Paranaense
0
0
D
26.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Coritiba
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Cruzeiro
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Internacional
0
0
D
05.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Remo
0
0
D
03.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Palmeiras
1
2
L
22.03.26
Ser
Gremio
Vasco DA Gama
1
2
L
19.03.26
Ser
Gremio
Vitoria
2
0
W
16.03.26
Ser
Gremio
Chapecoense-sc
1
1
D
13.03.26
Ser
Gremio
RB Bragantino
1
1
D
26.02.26
Ser
Gremio
Atletico-MG
2
1
W
12.02.26
Ser
Gremio
Sao Paulo
0
2
L
Last matches: Bahia
21.07.26
Ser
Bahia
Atletico-MG
1
1
D
17.07.26
Ser
Bahia
Chapecoense-sc
2
0
W
12.07.26
Fri
Bahia
Fluminense
0
2
L
04.07.26
Fri
Bahia
Atletico Torque
4
1
W
30.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Botafogo
2
1
W
25.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Coritiba
2
3
L
17.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Gremio
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Cruzeiro
1
2
L
03.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Sao Paulo
2
2
D
25.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Santos
2
2
D
19.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Flamengo
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Mirassol
2
1
W
05.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Palmeiras
1
2
L
01.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Atletico Paranaense
3
0
W
22.03.26
Ser
Bahia
Remo
1
4
L
18.03.26
Ser
Bahia
RB Bragantino
2
0
W
15.03.26
Ser
Bahia
Internacional
1
0
W
11.03.26
Ser
Bahia
Vitoria
1
1
D
25.02.26
CON
Bahia
O'Higgins
2
1
W
18.02.26
CON
Bahia
O'Higgins
0
1
L
H2H: Gremio vs Bahia
17.05.26
H2H
Bahia
Gremio
1
1
D
19.10.25
H2H
Bahia
Gremio
4
0
L
25.05.25
H2H
Gremio
Bahia
1
0
W
17.08.24
H2H
Gremio
Bahia
0
2
L
28.04.24
H2H
Bahia
Gremio
1
0
L
04.11.23
H2H
Gremio
Bahia
1
0
W
12.07.23
H2H
Gremio
Bahia
1
1
D
05.07.23
H2H
Bahia
Gremio
1
1
D
01.07.23
H2H
Bahia
Gremio
1
2
W
16.10.22
H2H
Gremio
Bahia
1
1
D
03.07.22
H2H
Bahia
Gremio
0
0
D
26.11.21
H2H
Bahia
Gremio
3
1
L
21.08.21
H2H
Gremio
Bahia
2
0
W
06.01.21
H2H
Gremio
Bahia
2
1
W
10.09.20
H2H
Bahia
Gremio
0
2
W
Last matches: Gremio
12.07.26
Fri
Gremio
Cruzeiro
3
1
W
04.07.26
Fri
Gremio
Chapecoense-sc
1
2
L
30.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Corinthians
1
3
L
23.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Santos
3
2
W
10.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Flamengo
0
1
L
26.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Coritiba
1
0
W
05.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Remo
0
0
D
19.03.26
Ser
Gremio
Vitoria
2
0
W
13.03.26
Ser
Gremio
RB Bragantino
1
1
D
26.02.26
Ser
Gremio
Atletico-MG
2
1
W
05.02.26
Ser
Gremio
Botafogo
5
3
W
H2H at home: Gremio
25.05.25
H2H
Gremio
Bahia
1
0
W
17.08.24
H2H
Gremio
Bahia
0
2
L
04.11.23
H2H
Gremio
Bahia
1
0
W
12.07.23
H2H
Gremio
Bahia
1
1
D
16.10.22
H2H
Gremio
Bahia
1
1
D
21.08.21
H2H
Gremio
Bahia
2
0
W
06.01.21
H2H
Gremio
Bahia
2
1
W
Last matches: Bahia
21.07.26
Ser
Bahia
Atletico-MG
1
1
D
12.07.26
Fri
Bahia
Fluminense
0
2
L
25.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Coritiba
2
3
L
03.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Sao Paulo
2
2
D
19.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Flamengo
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Mirassol
2
1
W
22.03.26
Ser
Bahia
Remo
1
4
L
15.03.26
Ser
Bahia
Internacional
1
0
W
18.02.26
CON
Bahia
O'Higgins
0
1
L
12.02.26
Ser
Bahia
Vasco DA Gama
1
0
W
28.01.26
Ser
Bahia
Corinthians
2
1
W
H2H away: Bahia
25.05.25
H2H
Gremio
Bahia
1
0
L
17.08.24
H2H
Gremio
Bahia
0
2
W
04.11.23
H2H
Gremio
Bahia
1
0
L
12.07.23
H2H
Gremio
Bahia
1
1
D
16.10.22
H2H
Gremio
Bahia
1
1
D
21.08.21
H2H
Gremio
Bahia
2
0
L
06.01.21
H2H
Gremio
Bahia
2
1
L
Standings
Serie A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 30:13 | 17 | 41 |
W
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 2 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31:16 | 15 | 34 |
W
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 29:24 | 5 | 32 |
D
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 26:20 | 6 | 30 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 5 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 24:18 | 6 | 30 |
W
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 6 |
Bahia
Away
|
19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 28:24 | 4 | 30 |
D
W
W
L
D
|
| 7 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 24:24 | 0 | 26 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 23:20 | 3 | 25 |
L
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 9 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 33:32 | 1 | 25 |
W
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 23:24 | -1 | 25 |
D
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 22:25 | -3 | 25 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 12 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 18:19 | -1 | 24 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 24:28 | -4 | 24 |
D
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21:22 | -1 | 21 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 27:31 | -4 | 21 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 16 |
Gremio
Home
|
19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 21:25 | -4 | 21 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
| 17 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 22:30 | -8 | 20 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 18 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 20:25 | -5 | 19 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 19 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 21:29 | -8 | 18 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 20 | 18 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 17:35 | -18 | 9 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B