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BRAZIL › SERIE A
30.10.2026 00:30
Arena do Grêmio

Gremio vs Atletico Paranaense Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Gremio Win 0%
Draw 0%
Atletico Paranaense Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Gremio1.17
Atletico Paranaense1.44
Recent Form (Last 5)
Gremio Gremio
WWDLW
38 GF / 44 GA
Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense
WLDWL
50 GF / 40 GA
Key Stats
1.15
Average Goals Scored
1.52
1.33
Average Goals Conceded
1.21
21
BTTS Yes
19
16
Over 2.5
17
3.7
Shots on Goal
5.23

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Gremio Gremio 33 matches
Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 33 matches
Gremio Statistic Atletico Paranaense
9 Wins 15
10 Draws 8
14 Losses 10
38 Goals For 50
44 Goals Against 40
1.15 Avg Goals Scored 1.52
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 1.21
21 BTTS Yes 19
25 Over 1.5 25
16 Over 2.5 17
6 Over 3.5 9
6 Clean Sheets 8
10 Failed To Score 8
3.7 Shots On Goal 5.23
11.5 Total Shots 13.23
4.2 Corners 5.32
49.8% Ball Possession 47.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Gremio won 7 times, Atletico Paranaense won 6 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:16 from Gremio's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Gremio 4-3-3 / Atletico Paranaense 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Gremio wins 7, draws 2, Atletico Paranaense wins 6

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 31 19 9 3 54:22 32 66
W W W D W
2 30 19 7 4 58:25 33 64
W D W W W
3 31 15 8 8 49:37 12 53
L W D W D
4 30 14 9 7 48:37 11 51
L W W L W
5 31 14 8 9 42:35 7 50
W W D W D
6 30 13 10 7 44:36 8 49
W L L W W
7 30 14 6 10 46:44 2 48
L W W L W
8 30 11 9 10 46:45 1 42
L D W W W
9 30 11 7 12 38:35 3 40
W D L L D
10 30 11 6 13 35:35 0 39
W L L W L
11 31 10 9 12 44:48 -4 39
W D L L W
12 31 10 9 12 38:49 -11 39
L D L L D
13 30 10 6 14 33:44 -11 36
L W L D W
14 31 9 9 13 36:44 -8 36
W L D W D
15 29 9 8 12 36:42 -6 35
D W W W L
16 30 8 8 14 31:38 -7 32
L L L L L
17 31 7 11 13 33:40 -7 32
L D W L W
18 30 7 10 13 32:40 -8 31
D D D L L
19 30 5 10 15 33:48 -15 25
D D L L L
20 30 3 9 18 30:62 -32 18
L L L D L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B