Gremio vs Atletico Paranaense Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Gremio Win 0%
Draw 0%
Atletico Paranaense Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Gremio1.15
Atletico Paranaense1.38
Recent Form (Last 5)
Gremio
WWDLW
33 GF / 36 GA
Atletico Paranaense
WLDWL
38 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
1.22
Average Goals Scored
1.41
1.33
Average Goals Conceded
1.04
17
BTTS Yes
14
14
Over 2.5
12
3.58
Shots on Goal
4.8
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Gremio
27 matches
Atletico Paranaense
27 matches
| Gremio | Statistic | Atletico Paranaense |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 13 |
| 7 | Draws | 6 |
| 11 | Losses | 8 |
| 33 | Goals For | 38 |
| 36 | Goals Against | 28 |
| 1.22 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.41 |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.04 |
| 17 | BTTS Yes | 14 |
| 21 | Over 1.5 | 19 |
| 14 | Over 2.5 | 12 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 3.58 | Shots On Goal | 4.8 |
| 11.33 | Total Shots | 12.08 |
| 4.42 | Corners | 4.84 |
| 49.7% | Ball Possession | 47% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Gremio won 7 times, Atletico Paranaense won 6 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:16 from Gremio's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Gremio 4-1-4-1 / Atletico Paranaense 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Gremio wins 7, draws 2, Atletico Paranaense wins 6
Standings
Serie A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 45:21 | 24 | 52 |
D
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 24 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 48:21 | 27 | 48 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 |
Atletico Paranaense
Away
|
25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 37:25 | 12 | 45 |
D
W
D
W
D
|
| 4 | 25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 39:32 | 7 | 42 |
D
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 5 | 25 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 37:30 | 7 | 40 |
W
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 6 | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 35:36 | -1 | 39 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 33:33 | 0 | 37 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 32:28 | 4 | 36 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 29:25 | 4 | 35 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 26:25 | 1 | 32 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 29:28 | 1 | 30 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 12 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 37:40 | -3 | 30 |
L
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 13 | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 24:37 | -13 | 29 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 34:36 | -2 | 29 |
W
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 15 |
Gremio
Home
|
24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 27:32 | -5 | 28 |
W
L
L
W
D
|
| 16 | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 27:37 | -10 | 25 |
D
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 17 | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 27:39 | -12 | 25 |
W
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 18 | 25 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 26:31 | -5 | 25 |
L
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 19 | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 30:42 | -12 | 23 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 20 | 24 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 25:49 | -24 | 14 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B