ENGLAND PREMIER LEAGUE
21.11.2026 15:00
St. James' Park

Newcastle vs Arsenal Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Newcastle Win 0%
Draw 0%
Arsenal Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Newcastle1.36
Arsenal1.84
Recent Form (Last 5)
Newcastle Newcastle
WWDLW
16 GF / 16 GA
Arsenal Arsenal
WLDWL
12 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
1.6
Average Goals Scored
2
1.6
Average Goals Conceded
1
8
BTTS Yes
4
7
Over 2.5
4
2.67
Shots on Goal
5.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Newcastle Newcastle 10 matches
Arsenal Arsenal 6 matches
Newcastle Statistic Arsenal
3 Wins 4
4 Draws 1
3 Losses 1
16 Goals For 12
16 Goals Against 6
1.6 Avg Goals Scored 2
1.6 Avg Goals Conceded 1
8 BTTS Yes 4
10 Over 1.5 5
7 Over 2.5 4
4 Over 3.5 2
2 Clean Sheets 2
0 Failed To Score 0
2.67 Shots On Goal 5.67
10.67 Total Shots 14.33
4.33 Corners 5.67
46% Ball Possession 60%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Newcastle won 5 times, Arsenal won 9 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:20 from Newcastle's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.13 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Newcastle 4-2-3-1 / Arsenal 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Newcastle wins 5, draws 1, Arsenal wins 9

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 3 3 0 0 7:2 5 9
W W W
2 3 2 1 0 3:0 3 7
D W W
3 2 2 0 0 4:0 4 6
W W
4 2 2 0 0 7:5 2 6
W W
5 3 1 2 0 5:2 3 5
D D W
6 3 1 2 0 6:4 2 5
W D D
7 3 1 2 0 6:4 2 5
D W D
8 3 1 2 0 3:2 1 5
D D W
9 3 1 1 1 8:5 3 4
D L W
10 2 1 1 0 3:1 2 4
D W
11 3 1 1 1 3:3 0 4
D W L
12 2 1 0 1 5:4 1 3
W L
13 3 1 0 2 4:8 -4 3
W L L
14 3 1 0 2 4:8 -4 3
L L W
15 3 0 2 1 4:5 -1 2
D D L
16 3 0 2 1 2:3 -1 2
D D L
17 3 0 1 2 0:5 -5 1
D L L
18 3 0 1 2 0:5 -5 1
D L L
19 3 0 0 3 4:7 -3 0
L L L
20 3 0 0 3 0:5 -5 0
L L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Relegation - Championship