BRAZIL SERIE B
--.--.---- --:--
Estádio da Serrinha
Referee: P. Vollkopf
Goias
Match Timeline
Ceara
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
11'
Kadu · Assist: Lucas Lima
Goias
🟨
22'
Filipe Machado
Goias
🔄
26'
Filipe Machado ↔ Baldoria
Goias
🟨
46'
Bryan Borges
Ceara
🔄
58'
Jean Carlos ↔ Diego Caito
Goias
🔄
65'
Lucca ↔ Wendel Silva
Ceara
🔄
65'
Luiz Otavio ↔ Enzo Lodovico
Ceara
🟨
67'
Kadu
Goias
🔄
69'
Cadu ↔ Anselmo Ramon
Goias
🔄
69'
Djalma Silva ↔ Nicolas
Goias
🔄
69'
Rodrigo Soares ↔ Lucas Ribeiro
Goias
🔄
74'
Richardson ↔ Matheus Araujo
Ceara
🔄
75'
Bryan Borges ↔ Kaua Ziegler
Ceara
80'
Juninho · Assist: Anselmo Ramon
Goias
🔄
82'
Fernando ↔ R. Ramos
Ceara

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 36%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
36%
-
BTTS Yes
71.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Goias Win 35.3%
Draw 28.8%
Ceara Win 36%
Expected Goals (xG)
Goias1.04
Ceara1.16
Recent Form (Last 5)
Goias Goias
WWDLW
14 GF / 21 GA
Ceara Ceara
WLDWL
15 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
0.93
Average Goals Scored
1
1.4
Average Goals Conceded
1.2
5
BTTS Yes
8
5
Over 2.5
5
3.47
Shots on Goal
4.13

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Goias Goias 15 matches
Ceara Ceara 15 matches
Goias Statistic Ceara
6 Wins 4
3 Draws 5
6 Losses 6
14 Goals For 15
21 Goals Against 18
0.93 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.4 Avg Goals Conceded 1.2
5 BTTS Yes 8
10 Over 1.5 11
5 Over 2.5 5
4 Over 3.5 1
5 Clean Sheets 3
5 Failed To Score 5
3.47 Shots On Goal 4.13
11.13 Total Shots 13
4.33 Corners 5.33
49.3% Ball Possession 48.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Ceara arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Ceara having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Ceara.

Goias Analysis

Goias sit 12 with 18 points after 14 league matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 13:21 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Anselmo Ramon (5 goals), Gegê (2 goals), Esli García (1 goals), with creative support from Esli García (3 assists), Diego Caito (2 assists), Juninho (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Ceara Analysis

Ceara approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 17 points from 14 matches. Their record of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 15:16, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Melk (4 goals), Júlio (2 goals), Matheus Araújo (2 goals), with creative support from Melk (3 assists), Júlio (1 assists), Fernandinho (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Goias won 6 times, Ceara won 2 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:15 from Goias's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (71.3%)
Predicted formations: Goias 4-3-1-2 / Ceara 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Goias wins 6, draws 7, Ceara wins 2
Stats
Goias Goias
Ceara Ceara
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
0
Shots off Goal
1
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
12
2 Corner Kicks 14
16 Fouls 13
2 Offsides 1
38% Ball Possession 62%
5 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Goal 0
1 Shots off Goal 4
1 Blocked Shots 12
5 Shots insidebox 5
1 Shots outsidebox 11
0 Goalkeeper Saves 1
287 Total passes 447
230 Passes accurate 368
0.52 expected_goals 0.64
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Goias
Formation
Ceara
Thiago Rodrigues
Thiago Rodrigues
Rodrigo Soares
Rodrigo Soares
Luiz Felipe
Luiz Felipe
Ramon Menezes
Ramon Menezes
Djalma Silva
Djalma Silva
Filipe Machado
Filipe Machado
Juninho
Juninho
Jean Carlos
Jean Carlos
Lucas Lima
🎯
Lucas Lima
Kadu
Kadu
Cadu
Cadu
Richard
Richard
Julio Cesar
Julio Cesar
Luiz Otavio
Luiz Otavio
Eder
Eder
Bryan Borges
Bryan Borges
Richardson
Richardson
Joao Gabriel
Joao Gabriel
Fernando
Fernando
Melk
Melk
Matheusinho
Matheusinho
Lucca
Lucca
Goias 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
Thiago Rodrigues
G
2
Rodrigo Soares
↓ 69'
D
3
Luiz Felipe
D
4
Ramon Menezes
D
54
Djalma Silva
↓ 69'
D
5
Filipe Machado
↓ 26' 🟨 22'
M
8
Juninho
⚽ 80'
M
21
Jean Carlos
↓ 58'
10
Lucas Lima
🎯 11'
M
40
Kadu
⚽ 11' 🟨 67'
M
18
Cadu
↓ 69'
F
Substitutes
12
Ezequiel
G
32
Murillo
G
9
Anselmo Ramon
🎯 80' ↑ 69'
F
6
Nicolas
↑ 69'
D
88
Brayann
M
15
E. Garcia
F
14
Lucas Ribeiro
↑ 69'
D
55
Baldoria
↑ 26'
M
20
Diego Caito
↑ 58'
D
25
Luisao
D
77
Halerrandrio
Ceara 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
1
Richard
G
18
Julio Cesar
D
4
Luiz Otavio
↓ 65'
D
33
Eder
D
31
Bryan Borges
↓ 75' 🟨 46'
M
26
Richardson
↓ 74'
M
81
Joao Gabriel
M
17
Fernando
↓ 82'
M
40
Melk
F
98
Matheusinho
F
99
Lucca
↓ 65'
F
Substitutes
94
Bruno Ferreira
G
2
R. Ramos
↑ 82'
9
Wendel Silva
↑ 65'
F
90
Kaua Ziegler
↑ 75'
F
80
Pedro Esli
M
13
Luiz Otavio
D
8
Matheus Araujo
↑ 74'
M
71
Gabriel Rocha
M
88
Caio
60
Enzo Lodovico
↑ 65'
F
Last matches: Goias
12.07.26
Ser
Goias
CRB
2
2
D
28.06.26
Ser
Goias
Nautico Recife
1
0
W
21.06.26
Ser
Goias
Operario-PR
0
3
L
14.06.26
Ser
Goias
Athletic Club
1
1
D
10.06.26
Ser
Goias
Novorizontino
0
4
L
30.05.26
Ser
Goias
Atletico Goianiense
1
1
D
24.05.26
Ser
Goias
Avai
2
0
W
16.05.26
Ser
Goias
Botafogo SP
1
0
W
09.05.26
Ser
Goias
Vila Nova
1
0
W
02.05.26
Ser
Goias
Fortaleza EC
1
4
L
26.04.26
Ser
Goias
São Bernardo
0
1
L
19.04.26
Ser
Goias
Cuiaba
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Goias
Juventude
0
2
L
07.04.26
Ser
Goias
Criciuma
1
0
W
01.04.26
Ser
Goias
Londrina
2
2
D
22.03.26
Ser
Goias
America Mineiro
3
1
W
Last matches: Ceara
28.06.26
Ser
Ceara
Juventude
0
2
L
20.06.26
Ser
Ceara
Botafogo SP
0
1
L
16.06.26
Ser
Ceara
Criciuma
1
1
D
10.06.26
Ser
Ceara
Avai
2
1
W
31.05.26
Ser
Ceara
Operario-PR
1
2
L
23.05.26
Ser
Ceara
Novorizontino
1
2
L
17.05.26
Ser
Ceara
Fortaleza EC
2
1
W
09.05.26
Ser
Ceara
Atletico Goianiense
0
1
L
03.05.26
Ser
Ceara
Sport Recife
0
2
L
26.04.26
Ser
Ceara
Vila Nova
3
3
D
19.04.26
Ser
Ceara
Londrina
0
0
D
11.04.26
Ser
Ceara
Nautico Recife
1
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Ceara
Cuiaba
2
0
W
02.04.26
Ser
Ceara
Ponte Preta
1
1
D
21.03.26
Ser
Ceara
São Bernardo
1
1
D
H2H: Goias vs Ceara
04.07.26
H2H
Goias
Ceara
2
0
W
13.08.24
H2H
Goias
Ceara
2
1
W
20.04.24
H2H
Ceara
Goias
1
1
D
05.10.22
H2H
Ceara
Goias
1
1
D
12.06.22
H2H
Goias
Ceara
1
1
D
21.01.21
H2H
Goias
Ceara
0
4
L
27.09.20
H2H
Ceara
Goias
2
2
D
06.10.19
H2H
Ceara
Goias
0
1
W
12.05.19
H2H
Goias
Ceara
2
1
W
11.11.17
H2H
Goias
Ceara
0
0
D
22.07.17
H2H
Ceara
Goias
0
1
W
10.09.16
H2H
Goias
Ceara
2
0
W
31.05.16
H2H
Ceara
Goias
2
1
L
05.09.12
H2H
Goias
Ceara
0
0
D
29.05.12
H2H
Ceara
Goias
2
2
D
Last matches: Goias
21.06.26
Ser
Goias
Operario-PR
0
3
L
10.06.26
Ser
Goias
Novorizontino
0
4
L
16.05.26
Ser
Goias
Botafogo SP
1
0
W
09.05.26
Ser
Goias
Vila Nova
1
0
W
19.04.26
Ser
Goias
Cuiaba
0
2
L
07.04.26
Ser
Goias
Criciuma
1
0
W
22.03.26
Ser
Goias
America Mineiro
3
1
W
H2H at home: Goias
04.07.26
H2H
Goias
Ceara
2
0
W
13.08.24
H2H
Goias
Ceara
2
1
W
12.06.22
H2H
Goias
Ceara
1
1
D
21.01.21
H2H
Goias
Ceara
0
4
L
12.05.19
H2H
Goias
Ceara
2
1
W
11.11.17
H2H
Goias
Ceara
0
0
D
10.09.16
H2H
Goias
Ceara
2
0
W
05.09.12
H2H
Goias
Ceara
0
0
D
Last matches: Ceara
28.06.26
Ser
Ceara
Juventude
0
2
L
16.06.26
Ser
Ceara
Criciuma
1
1
D
23.05.26
Ser
Ceara
Novorizontino
1
2
L
03.05.26
Ser
Ceara
Sport Recife
0
2
L
19.04.26
Ser
Ceara
Londrina
0
0
D
04.04.26
Ser
Ceara
Cuiaba
2
0
W
02.04.26
Ser
Ceara
Ponte Preta
1
1
D
H2H away: Ceara
04.07.26
H2H
Goias
Ceara
2
0
L
13.08.24
H2H
Goias
Ceara
2
1
L
12.06.22
H2H
Goias
Ceara
1
1
D
21.01.21
H2H
Goias
Ceara
0
4
W
12.05.19
H2H
Goias
Ceara
2
1
L
11.11.17
H2H
Goias
Ceara
0
0
D
10.09.16
H2H
Goias
Ceara
2
0
L
05.09.12
H2H
Goias
Ceara
0
0
D

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 17 9 6 2 20:12 8 33
W W W W D
2 17 9 4 4 25:19 6 31
L W L W L
3 17 9 4 4 22:18 4 31
W W W W L
4 17 8 6 3 28:16 12 30
L W W W D
5 17 8 5 4 17:8 9 29
W D W W W
6 17 8 4 5 20:17 3 28
L W W D L
7 17 7 5 5 23:16 7 26
D L L L D
8 17 6 8 3 21:15 6 26
D L L D D
9
Goias Home
17 7 4 6 18:23 -5 25
D W W L D
10 17 6 6 5 19:19 0 24
W L W D D
11 17 5 9 3 14:11 3 24
D W D L W
12 16 5 7 4 16:16 0 22
L W L D D
13 17 6 3 8 21:21 0 21
L D L L D
14 17 5 5 7 20:18 2 20
D W L W W
15 17 5 5 7 26:31 -5 20
D L W D D
16 16 5 3 8 24:24 0 18
W D W W L
17
Ceara Away
16 4 5 7 15:20 -5 17
L L L D W
18 17 4 4 9 18:24 -6 16
W L L W L
19 17 2 2 13 11:33 -22 8
L L L L L
20 16 1 3 12 10:27 -17 6
L L L W L
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