BRAZIL SERIE B
--.--.---- --:--
Estádio da Serrinha
Referee: P. Vollkopf
Goias
Match Timeline
Ceara
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
11'
Kadu · Assist: Lucas Lima
Goias
🟨
22'
Filipe Machado
Goias
🔄
26'
Filipe Machado ↔ Baldoria
Goias
🟨
46'
Bryan Borges
Ceara
🔄
58'
Jean Carlos ↔ Diego Caito
Goias
🔄
65'
Lucca ↔ Wendel Silva
Ceara
🔄
65'
Luiz Otavio ↔ Enzo Lodovico
Ceara
🟨
67'
Kadu
Goias
🔄
69'
Cadu ↔ Anselmo Ramon
Goias
🔄
69'
Djalma Silva ↔ Nicolas
Goias
🔄
69'
Rodrigo Soares ↔ Lucas Ribeiro
Goias
🔄
74'
Richardson ↔ Matheus Araujo
Ceara
🔄
75'
Bryan Borges ↔ Kaua Ziegler
Ceara
80'
Juninho · Assist: Anselmo Ramon
Goias
🔄
82'
Fernando ↔ R. Ramos
Ceara

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 36%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
36%
-
BTTS Yes
71.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Goias Win 35.3%
Draw 28.8%
Ceara Win 36%
Expected Goals (xG)
Goias1.04
Ceara1.16
Recent Form (Last 5)
Goias Goias
WWDLW
14 GF / 21 GA
Ceara Ceara
WLDWL
15 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
0.93
Average Goals Scored
1
1.4
Average Goals Conceded
1.2
5
BTTS Yes
8
5
Over 2.5
5
3.47
Shots on Goal
4.13

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Goias Goias 15 matches
Ceara Ceara 15 matches
Goias Statistic Ceara
6 Wins 4
3 Draws 5
6 Losses 6
14 Goals For 15
21 Goals Against 18
0.93 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.4 Avg Goals Conceded 1.2
5 BTTS Yes 8
10 Over 1.5 11
5 Over 2.5 5
4 Over 3.5 1
5 Clean Sheets 3
5 Failed To Score 5
3.47 Shots On Goal 4.13
11.13 Total Shots 13
4.33 Corners 5.33
49.3% Ball Possession 48.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Ceara arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Ceara having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Ceara.

Goias Analysis

Goias sit 12 with 18 points after 14 league matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 13:21 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Anselmo Ramon (5 goals), Gegê (2 goals), Esli García (1 goals), with creative support from Esli García (3 assists), Diego Caito (2 assists), Juninho (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Ceara Analysis

Ceara approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 17 points from 14 matches. Their record of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 15:16, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Melk (4 goals), Júlio (2 goals), Matheus Araújo (2 goals), with creative support from Melk (3 assists), Júlio (1 assists), Fernandinho (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Goias won 6 times, Ceara won 2 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:15 from Goias's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (71.3%)
Predicted formations: Goias 4-3-1-2 / Ceara 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Goias wins 6, draws 7, Ceara wins 2

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 13 6 5 26:13 13 45
W W D W W
2 25 13 5 7 37:25 12 44
W D W W L
3 25 12 8 5 26:19 7 44
L L D W L
4 25 12 7 6 41:22 19 43
W W W D L
5 24 11 7 6 27:21 6 40
W D D D W
6 25 11 6 8 37:35 2 39
W L W D W
7 25 10 9 6 28:23 5 39
W W D L D
8 25 9 11 5 33:24 9 38
L W L W W
9 24 10 6 8 30:31 -1 36
D L L L L
10
Goias Home
25 10 6 9 25:30 -5 36
W D L L W
11 25 8 12 5 23:19 4 36
W D W W D
12 25 9 7 9 30:28 2 34
W D W D D
13 25 8 10 7 26:27 -1 34
L L L W W
14 25 8 8 9 34:29 5 32
L D D L W
15 25 8 7 10 29:28 1 31
L L D W W
16 25 8 5 12 27:31 -4 29
L W W W L
17
Ceara Away
25 7 7 11 25:32 -7 28
L W L L W
18 24 5 6 13 29:36 -7 21
L D L L L
19 25 3 5 17 18:42 -24 14
W L L L L
20 25 2 4 19 16:52 -36 10
L L L D L
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