19.09.2026 17:30
Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo

Gimnasia L.P. vs Banfield Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 70.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 88%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
70.7%
-
BTTS Yes
88%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
70.5%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Gimnasia L.P. Win 70.7%
Draw 4.6%
Banfield Win 24.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Gimnasia L.P.1.36
Banfield1.16
Recent Form (Last 5)
Gimnasia L.P. Gimnasia L.P.
WWDLW
45 GF / 38 GA
Banfield Banfield
WLDWL
33 GF / 37 GA
Key Stats
1.41
Average Goals Scored
1.14
1.19
Average Goals Conceded
1.28
17
BTTS Yes
16
17
Over 2.5
13
3.85
Shots on Goal
3.6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Gimnasia L.P. Gimnasia L.P. 32 matches
Banfield Banfield 29 matches
Gimnasia L.P. Statistic Banfield
17 Wins 8
5 Draws 8
10 Losses 13
45 Goals For 33
38 Goals Against 37
1.41 Avg Goals Scored 1.14
1.19 Avg Goals Conceded 1.28
17 BTTS Yes 16
25 Over 1.5 21
17 Over 2.5 13
7 Over 3.5 6
9 Clean Sheets 7
7 Failed To Score 8
3.85 Shots On Goal 3.6
11.26 Total Shots 11.44
3.81 Corners 3.36
44.3% Ball Possession 38.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Banfield. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Gimnasia L.P. expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Banfield in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Banfield having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Banfield arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Gimnasia L.P. Analysis

From their first 16 matches, Gimnasia L.P. have collected 26 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. The record of 8 wins, 2 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 19:19 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through M. Torres (4 goals), A. Auzmendi (3 goals), F. Torres (2 goals), with creative support from A. Steimbach (4 assists), A. Auzmendi (2 assists), P. Silva (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Banfield Analysis

With 18 points from 16 games and a place of 12, Banfield still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 8 defeats with a 17:19 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on Tiziano Perrota (3 goals), Bruno Sepúlveda (3 goals), M. Méndez (1 goals), with creative support from S. López (1 assists), I. Abraham (1 assists), D. Zalazar (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 6 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Gimnasia L.P. won 3 times, Banfield won 9 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:19 from Gimnasia L.P.'s perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.4%)
Predicted formations: Gimnasia L.P. 4-1-4-1 / Banfield 4-4-2
H2H summary: Gimnasia L.P. wins 3, draws 3, Banfield wins 9

Standings

Apertura - Group B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 10 4 2 29:15 14 34
W L W D L
2 16 9 2 5 22:12 10 29
W W W D W
3 16 8 5 3 17:13 4 29
D D W D L
4 16 8 4 4 20:16 4 28
W D L D W
5 16 7 5 4 17:13 4 26
D D D L W
6 16 8 2 6 19:19 0 26
D W W L L
7 16 5 7 4 17:13 4 22
W D D D L
8 16 5 6 5 17:15 2 21
L L L D L
9 16 5 6 5 15:15 0 21
D D D L L
10 16 4 8 4 18:15 3 20
L L D W D
11 16 6 1 9 13:20 -7 19
D W L W W
12 16 5 3 8 17:19 -2 18
D L L L W
13 16 3 5 8 15:20 -5 14
L W D D W
14 16 0 8 8 6:19 -13 8
L W L L D
15 16 1 2 13 5:24 -19 5
L L D D L
Knockout Phase