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COLOMBIA › PRIMERA A
25.10.2026 19:00
Estadio Metropolitano de Techo

Fortaleza FC vs Deportivo Cali Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 70.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
70.3%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
76.9%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Fortaleza FC Win 18%
Draw 11.7%
Deportivo Cali Win 70.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Fortaleza FC0.96
Deportivo Cali1.3
Recent Form (Last 5)
Fortaleza FC Fortaleza FC
WWDLW
36 GF / 46 GA
Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali
WLDWL
42 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
1.13
Average Goals Scored
1.2
1.44
Average Goals Conceded
0.71
23
BTTS Yes
14
16
Over 2.5
10
3.75
Shots on Goal
4.3

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Fortaleza FC Fortaleza FC 32 matches
Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 35 matches
Fortaleza FC Statistic Deportivo Cali
6 Wins 15
15 Draws 12
11 Losses 8
36 Goals For 42
46 Goals Against 25
1.13 Avg Goals Scored 1.2
1.44 Avg Goals Conceded 0.71
23 BTTS Yes 14
26 Over 1.5 22
16 Over 2.5 10
8 Over 3.5 4
7 Clean Sheets 16
6 Failed To Score 10
3.75 Shots On Goal 4.3
11.69 Total Shots 12.39
4.09 Corners 4.36
52.6% Ball Possession 50.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Deportivo Cali's more proactive style and Fortaleza FC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Deportivo Cali look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Fortaleza FC expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Deportivo Cali in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Deportivo Cali having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Deportivo Cali.

Fortaleza FC Analysis

With 22 points from 19 games and a place of 15, Fortaleza FC still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 5 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses, together with goals at 22:27, reflects poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Much of their threat comes through Andrés Arroyo (9 goals), Italo Montaño Cortes (3 goals), Richardson Rivas (3 goals), with creative support from Andrés Arroyo (4 assists), S. Navarro (3 assists), Italo Montaño Cortes (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Deportivo Cali Analysis

From their first 19 matches, Deportivo Cali have collected 27 points and now occupy 9 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses, while the 20:16 goal ratio supports the view of very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Going forward they rely heavily on S. Rodríguez (10 goals), E. Bello (8 goals), A. Hurtado (5 goals), with creative support from J. Martínez (8 assists), S. Rodríguez (3 assists), L. Chaverra (3 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Fortaleza FC won 4 times, Deportivo Cali won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:13 from Fortaleza FC's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.3%)
Predicted formations: Fortaleza FC 4-1-4-1 / Deportivo Cali 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Fortaleza FC wins 4, draws 3, Deportivo Cali wins 4

Standings

Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 13 1 5 35:15 20 40
W D W D L
2 19 11 2 6 31:24 7 35
D D D L L
3 19 10 4 5 29:25 4 34
D L W W D
4 19 10 3 6 25:15 10 33
D L W W D
5 19 8 9 2 31:22 9 33
W W D L L
6 19 8 7 4 27:17 10 31
L L D D D
7 19 7 8 4 29:22 7 29
L W W L W
8 19 7 7 5 26:26 0 28
D D D L L
9 19 7 6 6 20:16 4 27
D D W W W
10 19 7 5 7 31:23 8 26
W D D D W
11 19 7 5 7 26:24 2 26
L W L D L
12 19 7 5 7 20:25 -5 26
W D D W L
13 19 5 8 6 26:20 6 23
D D W W W
14 19 4 10 5 17:20 -3 22
W L L L W
15 19 5 7 7 22:27 -5 22
D D D L D
16 19 5 3 11 20:33 -13 18
L W L L L
17 19 3 8 8 13:27 -14 17
D L W L W
18 19 5 2 12 15:32 -17 17
L L D W L
19 19 3 7 9 22:35 -13 16
W W W L L
20 19 1 7 11 15:32 -17 10
D D L L D
Post season qualification