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19.10.2026 22:00
Estadio Eva Peron

Sarmiento Junin vs Barracas Central Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 56.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 61.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
56.5%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
61.1%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
67%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Sarmiento Junin Win 56.5%
Draw 11.2%
Barracas Central Win 32.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sarmiento Junin1.08
Barracas Central1.1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sarmiento Junin Sarmiento Junin
WWDLW
35 GF / 40 GA
Barracas Central Barracas Central
WLDWL
29 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
1.17
Average Goals Scored
0.94
1.33
Average Goals Conceded
0.94
15
BTTS Yes
14
14
Over 2.5
10
3.79
Shots on Goal
3.39

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sarmiento Junin Sarmiento Junin 30 matches
Barracas Central Barracas Central 31 matches
Sarmiento Junin Statistic Barracas Central
13 Wins 11
3 Draws 10
14 Losses 10
35 Goals For 29
40 Goals Against 29
1.17 Avg Goals Scored 0.94
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 0.94
15 BTTS Yes 14
22 Over 1.5 18
14 Over 2.5 10
7 Over 3.5 3
9 Clean Sheets 11
7 Failed To Score 11
3.79 Shots On Goal 3.39
10.64 Total Shots 10.36
3.64 Corners 2.86
43.7% Ball Possession 43.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Barracas Central. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sarmiento Junin expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Barracas Central in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Barracas Central having the stronger overall control.

Sarmiento Junin Analysis

So far, Sarmiento Junin have built a campaign that leaves them 11 in the table on 19 points from 16 matches. The record of 6 wins, 1 draws, and 9 defeats, together with a 13:20 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through J. Marabel (9 goals), Mauricio Leonel Martínez (2 goals), C. Zabala (1 goals), with creative support from J. Marabel (3 assists), C. Zabala (1 assists), P. Magnín (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Barracas Central Analysis

Barracas Central are currently 9 in the standings with 21 points from 16 matches. The record of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 15:15 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through N. Briasco (3 goals), I. Tapia (2 goals), N. Orsini (2 goals), with creative support from T. Porra (2 assists), Tomas Lavezzi (2 assists), I. Tapia (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Sarmiento Junin won 4 times, Barracas Central won 2 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:13 from Sarmiento Junin's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.45 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.8%)
Predicted formations: Sarmiento Junin 4-4-2 / Barracas Central 4-3-3
H2H summary: Sarmiento Junin wins 4, draws 5, Barracas Central wins 2

Standings

Apertura - Group B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 10 4 2 29:15 14 34
L D W W L
2 16 9 2 5 22:12 10 29
W L W W W
3 16 8 5 3 17:13 4 29
D W L D D
4 16 8 4 4 20:16 4 28
W D W W D
5 16 7 5 4 17:13 4 26
W W W D D
6 16 8 2 6 19:19 0 26
D D D D W
7 16 5 7 4 17:13 4 22
L W W W D
8 16 5 6 5 17:15 2 21
L W W L L
9 16 5 6 5 15:15 0 21
W W L D D
10 16 4 8 4 18:15 3 20
L L L L L
11 16 6 1 9 13:20 -7 19
W L D W L
12 16 5 3 8 17:19 -2 18
W D D D L
13 16 3 5 8 15:20 -5 14
D L L L W
14 16 0 8 8 6:19 -13 8
L L W L W
15 16 1 2 13 5:24 -19 5
L L L L L
Knockout Phase