BRAZIL SERIE A
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Evandro Almeida
Referee: J. Vitor Gobi
Fluminense
Match Timeline
Remo
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
4'
Hércules
Fluminense
31'
Jajá · Assist: Marcelinho
Remo
🔄
44'
Samuel Xavier ↔ Júlio Fidelis
Fluminense
🔄
46'
Agustín Canobbio ↔ Kevin Serna
Fluminense
🔄
46'
Hércules ↔ Nonato
Fluminense
🔄
61'
Vitor Bueno ↔ David Braga
Remo
66'
Hulk · Assist: Yeferson Soteldo
Fluminense
🔄
70'
Jajá ↔ Alef Manga
Remo
🔄
70'
Marcelinho ↔ Antonio Galeano
Remo
🔄
76'
Hulk ↔ Germán Cano
Fluminense
🟨
81'
Yago Pikachu
Remo
83'
Kevin Serna · Assist: Riquelme Felipe
Fluminense
🔄
83'
Yeferson Soteldo ↔ Riquelme Felipe
Fluminense
🔄
89'
Marllon ↔ Patrick
Remo
🔄
89'
Zé Ricardo ↔ Leonel Picco
Remo

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 65.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 48.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
65.4%
-
BTTS Yes
58.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
48.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Fluminense Win 65.4%
Draw 7.6%
Remo Win 27%
Expected Goals (xG)
Fluminense1.56
Remo1.15
Recent Form (Last 5)
Fluminense Fluminense
WWDLW
50 GF / 37 GA
Remo Remo
WLDWL
27 GF / 37 GA
Key Stats
1.52
Average Goals Scored
1.17
1.12
Average Goals Conceded
1.61
23
BTTS Yes
13
15
Over 2.5
11
5.32
Shots on Goal
3.87

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Fluminense Fluminense 33 matches
Remo Remo 23 matches
Fluminense Statistic Remo
14 Wins 5
12 Draws 8
7 Losses 10
50 Goals For 27
37 Goals Against 37
1.52 Avg Goals Scored 1.17
1.12 Avg Goals Conceded 1.61
23 BTTS Yes 13
27 Over 1.5 19
15 Over 2.5 11
8 Over 3.5 6
7 Clean Sheets 3
6 Failed To Score 8
5.32 Shots On Goal 3.87
14.77 Total Shots 11.87
5.19 Corners 4.43
61% Ball Possession 43.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Fluminense's more proactive style and Remo's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Fluminense arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 4 with 35 points compared to Remo in 19 on 22, which underlines the gap in season consistency. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Remo. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Fluminense Analysis

Placed 4 with 35 points from 22 outings, Fluminense continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 9 wins, 8 draws, and 5 losses, while the 31:26 goal ratio supports the view of poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Going forward they rely heavily on John Kennedy (8 goals), Luciano Acosta (3 goals), Rodrigo Castillo (3 goals), with creative support from Luciano Acosta (3 assists), Agustín Canobbio (2 assists), Guga (2 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, the record of 7 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Remo Analysis

Remo approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 19 with 22 points from 22 matches. Their record of 5 wins, 7 draws, and 10 losses, together with goals at 26:36, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Jajá (6 goals), Alef Manga (5 goals), Gabriel Taliari (4 goals), with creative support from Alef Manga (3 assists), Vitor Bueno (3 assists), Patrick de Paula (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Fluminense won 2 times, Remo won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:1 from Fluminense's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.5%)
Predicted formations: Fluminense 4-2-3-1 / Remo 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Fluminense 7, Remo 5
H2H summary: Fluminense wins 2, draws 0, Remo wins 0

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 15 7 3 45:21 24 52
D W L D W
2 24 14 6 4 48:21 27 48
W L W W D
3 25 13 6 6 37:25 12 45
D W D W D
4 25 11 9 5 39:32 7 42
D W W D D
5 25 10 10 5 37:30 7 40
W W D D D
6 25 11 6 8 35:36 -1 39
L W W W W
7 24 10 6 8 32:28 4 36
W D W D W
8 24 10 5 9 29:25 4 35
L W D L D
9 24 9 7 8 30:31 -1 34
W D W L D
10 25 8 8 9 26:25 1 32
L L L W D
11 24 8 6 10 29:28 1 30
W L D L D
12 24 8 6 10 37:40 -3 30
L L L D W
13 25 8 5 12 24:37 -13 29
L L W L L
14 24 7 8 9 34:36 -2 29
W D W L D
15 24 7 7 10 27:32 -5 28
W L L W D
16 24 6 7 11 27:37 -10 25
D D L L W
17 24 6 7 11 27:39 -12 25
W L L D D
18 25 5 10 10 26:31 -5 25
L D D D D
19
Remo Away
24 5 8 11 28:39 -11 23
L D D L W
20 24 2 8 14 25:49 -24 14
L W D L D
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B