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BRAZIL › SERIE A
28.10.2026 22:30
Estádio do Maracanã

Fluminense vs Internacional Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 74.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
74.2%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
78.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.3%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
71.9%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Fluminense Win 74.2%
Draw 4.7%
Internacional Win 21.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Fluminense1.46
Internacional1.11
Recent Form (Last 5)
Fluminense Fluminense
WWDLW
69 GF / 52 GA
Internacional Internacional
WLDWL
33 GF / 40 GA
Key Stats
1.57
Average Goals Scored
1.06
1.18
Average Goals Conceded
1.29
30
BTTS Yes
18
23
Over 2.5
12
5.21
Shots on Goal
4.32

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Fluminense Fluminense 44 matches
Internacional Internacional 31 matches
Fluminense Statistic Internacional
19 Wins 7
13 Draws 11
12 Losses 13
69 Goals For 33
52 Goals Against 40
1.57 Avg Goals Scored 1.06
1.18 Avg Goals Conceded 1.29
30 BTTS Yes 18
36 Over 1.5 23
23 Over 2.5 12
12 Over 3.5 7
10 Clean Sheets 6
7 Failed To Score 10
5.21 Shots On Goal 4.32
13.98 Total Shots 14.65
4.81 Corners 5.81
59.1% Ball Possession 46.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Fluminense's more proactive style and Internacional's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Fluminense arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 5 with 51 points compared to Internacional in 17 on 32, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Fluminense have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Fluminense expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Internacional in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Internacional having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Internacional.

Fluminense Analysis

With 51 points from 31 games and a place of 5, Fluminense still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 14 wins, 9 draws, and 8 defeats, and the 49:39 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on John Kennedy (8 goals), J. Savarino (6 goals), L. Acosta (5 goals), with creative support from L. Acosta (4 assists), K. Serna (3 assists), A. Canobbio (2 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of 11 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses points to a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

Internacional Analysis

Internacional sit 17 with 32 points after 31 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 7 wins, 11 draws, and 13 defeats with a 33:40 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on J. Carbonero (7 goals), Alan Patrick (5 goals), A. Bernabéi (4 goals), with creative support from J. Carbonero (4 assists), Alerrandro (4 assists), Vitinho (3 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Fluminense won 6 times, Internacional won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:18 from Fluminense's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.3%)
Predicted formations: Fluminense 4-2-3-1 / Internacional 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Fluminense wins 6, draws 4, Internacional wins 5

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 31 20 7 4 61:25 36 67
W W D W W
2 31 19 9 3 54:22 32 66
W W W D W
3 31 15 8 8 49:37 12 53
L W D W D
4 31 15 6 10 50:46 4 51
W L W W L
5 31 14 9 8 49:39 10 51
L L W W L
6 31 14 8 9 42:35 7 50
W W D W D
7 31 13 10 8 44:39 5 49
L W L L W
8 31 12 9 10 48:46 2 45
W L D W W
9 31 12 6 13 36:35 1 42
W W L L W
10 31 11 8 12 39:36 3 41
D W D L L
11 31 10 9 12 44:48 -4 39
W D L L W
12 31 10 9 12 38:49 -11 39
L D L L D
13 31 10 7 14 34:45 -11 37
D L W L D
14 31 9 9 13 36:44 -8 36
W L D W D
15 30 9 8 13 36:43 -7 35
L D W W W
16 31 8 9 14 32:39 -7 33
D L L L L
17 31 7 11 13 33:40 -7 32
L D W L W
18 31 7 10 14 34:44 -10 31
L D D D L
19 31 5 11 15 34:49 -15 26
D D D L L
20 30 3 9 18 30:62 -32 18
L L L D L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B