BRAZIL › SERIE A
15.03.2026 19:00
Estádio do Maracanã
Referee: M. Delgado
Fluminense
Match Timeline
Atletico Paranaense
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
5'
S. Mendoza · Assist: B. Zapelli
Atletico Paranaense
⚽
9'
Hercules · Assist: J. Savarino
Fluminense
🟨
15'
Jefferson Savarino
Fluminense
VAR
27'
Bruno Zapelli
Atletico Paranaense
🟥
28'
Bruno Zapelli
Atletico Paranaense
⚽
37'
A. Canobbio · Assist: J. Savarino
Fluminense
🔄
45+7'
C. Teran ↔ F. Aguirre
Atletico Paranaense
🔄
46'
Julimar ↔ Jadson
Atletico Paranaense
🔄
46'
J. Portilla ↔ Leo Derik
Atletico Paranaense
🟨
59'
Kevin Viveros
Atletico Paranaense
🔄
73'
John Kennedy ↔ R. Castillo
Fluminense
🟨
74'
Guilherme Arana
Fluminense
🔄
74'
J. Savarino ↔ Y. Soteldo
Fluminense
🔄
74'
A. Canobbio ↔ K. Serna
Fluminense
⚽
75'
Luiz Gustavo · Assist: L. Esquivel
Atletico Paranaense
VAR
77'
Kevin Viveros
Atletico Paranaense
🔄
84'
Hercules ↔ PH Ganso
Fluminense
🟨
90+3'
Jádson
Atletico Paranaense
🟨
90'
Luiz Gustavo
Atletico Paranaense
🔄
90+6'
Samuel Xavier ↔ Jemmes
Fluminense
🔄
90'
Luiz Gustavo ↔ Felipinho
Atletico Paranaense
🔄
90+9'
L. Esquivel ↔ Renan Peixoto
Atletico Paranaense
⚽
90'
Guilherme Arana
Fluminense

Fluminense vs Atletico Paranaense Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Fluminense Win 0%
Draw 0%
Atletico Paranaense Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Fluminense1.14
Atletico Paranaense0.92
Recent Form (Last 5)
Fluminense Fluminense
WWDLW
7 GF / 4 GA
Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense
WLDWL
4 GF / 3 GA
Key Stats
1.4
Average Goals Scored
1
0.8
Average Goals Conceded
0.75
3
BTTS Yes
2
2
Over 2.5
1
5.8
Shots on Goal
4.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Fluminense Fluminense 5 matches
Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 4 matches
Fluminense Statistic Atletico Paranaense
3 Wins 2
1 Draws 1
1 Losses 1
7 Goals For 4
4 Goals Against 3
1.4 Avg Goals Scored 1
0.8 Avg Goals Conceded 0.75
3 BTTS Yes 2
4 Over 1.5 2
2 Over 2.5 1
0 Over 3.5 0
2 Clean Sheets 1
0 Failed To Score 1
5.8 Shots On Goal 4.5
13.2 Total Shots 13.75
5.2 Corners 6
58.2% Ball Possession 50.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Fluminense won 8 times, Atletico Paranaense won 5 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:20 from Fluminense's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Fluminense 4-2-3-1 / Atletico Paranaense 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Fluminense wins 8, draws 2, Atletico Paranaense wins 5

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 28 18 6 4 55:23 32 60
W W W W W
2 28 16 9 3 47:21 26 57
D W D D W
3 28 14 7 7 43:32 11 49
W D L D W
4 28 13 9 6 44:36 8 48
W L W D W
5 28 12 10 6 43:35 8 46
L W W W W
6 28 13 6 9 42:40 2 45
W L W L W
7 27 11 7 9 36:32 4 40
D W L W D
8 27 10 8 9 41:40 1 38
W W W W D
9 28 10 8 10 37:43 -6 38
L D L W W
10 27 10 6 11 33:31 2 36
L D L L W
11 27 10 6 11 32:30 2 36
W L W W L
12 28 9 8 11 41:45 -4 35
L W D D L
13 28 9 6 13 28:42 -14 33
L D W L L
14 28 8 8 12 29:32 -3 32
L L L L L
15 28 8 8 12 33:42 -9 32
W D W L D
16 27 8 7 12 34:41 -7 31
W W L W L
17 28 7 8 13 30:38 -8 29
D L L L W
18 28 6 10 12 30:36 -6 28
L W L L D
19 28 5 8 15 32:47 -15 23
L L L L L
20 27 3 9 15 29:53 -24 18
D L W L W
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B