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01.10.2026 18:45
Parken Stadium
Referee: Mykola Balakin, Ukraine
Denmark
Match Timeline
Portugal
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
13'
J. Cancelo · Assist: G. Ramos
Portugal
⚽
23'
M. Damsgaard · Assist: J. Maehle
Denmark
⚽
25'
G. Ramos · Assist: B. Fernandes
Portugal
🔄
46'
A. Daghim ↔ G. Isaksen
Denmark
⚽
53'
R. Hojlund · Assist: M. Damsgaard
Denmark
🔄
63'
J. Cancelo ↔ D. Dalot
Portugal
🔄
63'
R. Leao ↔ Trincao
Portugal
⚽
67'
Vitinha · Assist: B. Fernandes
Portugal
🔄
75'
M. Hjulmand ↔ V. Froholdt
Denmark
🟨
79'
Mohamed Daramy
Denmark
🔄
81'
J. Maehle ↔ N. Nartey
Denmark
🟨
82'
Rúben Neves
Portugal
🔄
82'
G. Ramos ↔ J. Neves
Portugal
🔄
82'
P. Neto ↔ Joao Felix
Portugal
🔄
85'
M. Damsgaard ↔ K. Hogh
Denmark
⚽
87'
Joao Felix · Assist: D. Dalot
Portugal
🔄
90+2'
B. Fernandes ↔ T. Araujo
Portugal

Denmark vs Portugal Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 53.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
53.9%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Denmark Win 53.9%
Draw 9.4%
Portugal Win 36.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Denmark1.12
Portugal1.33
Recent Form (Last 5)
Denmark Denmark
WWDLW
6 GF / 4 GA
Portugal Portugal
WLDWL
17 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
1.55
1
Average Goals Conceded
0.55
2
BTTS Yes
5
2
Over 2.5
5
4.25
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Denmark Denmark 4 matches
Portugal Portugal 11 matches
Denmark Statistic Portugal
2 Wins 7
1 Draws 3
1 Losses 1
6 Goals For 17
4 Goals Against 6
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 1.55
1 Avg Goals Conceded 0.55
2 BTTS Yes 5
3 Over 1.5 7
2 Over 2.5 5
1 Over 3.5 1
2 Clean Sheets 5
1 Failed To Score 3
4.25 Shots On Goal 4
10.75 Total Shots 12.82
2.5 Corners 4.82
41.8% Ball Possession 58.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Denmark won 1 times, Portugal won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:8 from Denmark's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 4.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.7%)
Predicted formations: Denmark 4-2-3-1 / Portugal 4-1-3-2
H2H summary: Denmark wins 1, draws 0, Portugal wins 2

Standings

League A - Group D
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 4 4 0 0 9:4 5 12
W W W W
2 4 2 0 2 7:7 0 6
W L W L
3 4 1 0 3 2:5 -3 3
L W L L
4 4 1 0 3 6:8 -2 3
L L L W
Play Offs: Quarter-finals
Possible Play-off