Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
81.5%
|
1.44 | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
69.4%
|
2.00 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
60.2%
|
1.81 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
68.7%
|
2.16 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
2.10 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
8.50 |
Flamengo
Coritiba
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Flamengo
21 matches
Coritiba
17 matches
| Flamengo | Statistic | Coritiba |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Wins | 7 |
| 5 | Draws | 5 |
| 3 | Losses | 5 |
| 39 | Goals For | 24 |
| 18 | Goals Against | 21 |
| 1.86 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.41 |
| 0.86 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.24 |
| 10 | BTTS Yes | 8 |
| 19 | Over 1.5 | 12 |
| 12 | Over 2.5 | 7 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 9 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 5.67 | Shots On Goal | 3.35 |
| 15.38 | Total Shots | 10.18 |
| 4.57 | Corners | 3.18 |
| 55.3% | Ball Possession | 38.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Coritiba. Flamengo arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 31 points compared to Coritiba in 7 on 23, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Flamengo come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 31 points after 15 matches. The return of 9 wins, 4 draws, and 2 defeats, together with goals at 28:13, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through Pedro (9 goals), G. de Arrascaeta (3 goals), Lucas Paquetá (3 goals), with creative support from Samuel Lino (5 assists), Pedro (3 assists), Guillermo Varela (3 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, the split of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
So far, Coritiba have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 23 points from 16 matches. The record of 6 wins, 5 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 21:19 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Breno Lopes (7 goals), J. Lavega (4 goals), Pedro Rocha (4 goals), with creative support from Josué (6 assists), Lucas Ronier (2 assists), Tinga (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Flamengo won 11 times, Coritiba won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:10 from Flamengo's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.
Flamengo
9
2
9
7
3
1
Lineups
Flamengo
Cusco
Flamengo
Palmeiras
Flamengo
Estudiantes L.P.
Flamengo
Atletico Paranaense
Flamengo
Gremio
Flamengo
Vasco DA Gama
Flamengo
Estudiantes L.P.
Flamengo
Atletico-MG
Flamengo
Bahia
Flamengo
Independiente Medellin
Flamengo
Fluminense
Flamengo
Cusco
Flamengo
Santos
Flamengo
RB Bragantino
Flamengo
Corinthians
Flamengo
Remo
Flamengo
Botafogo
Flamengo
Cruzeiro
Flamengo
Vitoria
Flamengo
Internacional
Coritiba
Bahia
Coritiba
Santos
Coritiba
Internacional
Coritiba
Vitoria
Coritiba
Gremio
Coritiba
Atletico-MG
Coritiba
Botafogo
Coritiba
Fluminense
Coritiba
Vasco DA Gama
Coritiba
Atletico Paranaense
Coritiba
Mirassol
Coritiba
Remo
Coritiba
Corinthians
Coritiba
Sao Paulo
Coritiba
Chapecoense-sc
Coritiba
Cruzeiro
Coritiba
RB Bragantino
Flamengo
Cusco
Flamengo
Palmeiras
Flamengo
Estudiantes L.P.
Flamengo
Vasco DA Gama
Flamengo
Bahia
Flamengo
Independiente Medellin
Flamengo
Santos
Flamengo
Remo
Flamengo
Cruzeiro
Flamengo
Internacional
Coritiba
Santos
Coritiba
Vitoria
Coritiba
Gremio
Coritiba
Botafogo
Coritiba
Atletico Paranaense
Coritiba
Mirassol
Coritiba
Corinthians
Coritiba
Chapecoense-sc
Coritiba
Cruzeiro
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 30:13 | 17 | 41 |
W
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 2 |
Flamengo
Home
|
17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31:16 | 15 | 34 |
W
L
D
W
D
|
| 3 | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 28:23 | 5 | 31 |
D
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 4 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 24:18 | 6 | 30 |
W
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 5 | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 25:19 | 6 | 29 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 25:23 | 2 | 26 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 7 |
Coritiba
Away
|
18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 24:24 | 0 | 26 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
| 8 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 23:20 | 3 | 25 |
L
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 9 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 22:23 | -1 | 24 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 18:19 | -1 | 24 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 11 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 24:28 | -4 | 24 |
D
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 31:31 | 0 | 22 |
L
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 13 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21:25 | -4 | 22 |
L
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 14 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21:22 | -1 | 21 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 26:29 | -3 | 21 |
W
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 16 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 20:23 | -3 | 21 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 22:29 | -7 | 20 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 18 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 21:29 | -8 | 18 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 19 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 18:24 | -6 | 16 |
L
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 20 | 17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 17:33 | -16 | 9 |
L
L
L
D
L
|