Flamengo vs Coritiba Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
81.5%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
69.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
60.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
68.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Flamengo
Coritiba
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Flamengo
21 matches
Coritiba
17 matches
| Flamengo | Statistic | Coritiba |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Wins | 7 |
| 5 | Draws | 5 |
| 3 | Losses | 5 |
| 39 | Goals For | 24 |
| 18 | Goals Against | 21 |
| 1.86 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.41 |
| 0.86 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.24 |
| 10 | BTTS Yes | 8 |
| 19 | Over 1.5 | 12 |
| 12 | Over 2.5 | 7 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 9 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 5.67 | Shots On Goal | 3.35 |
| 15.38 | Total Shots | 10.18 |
| 4.57 | Corners | 3.18 |
| 55.3% | Ball Possession | 38.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Coritiba. Flamengo arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 31 points compared to Coritiba in 7 on 23, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Flamengo come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 31 points after 15 matches. The return of 9 wins, 4 draws, and 2 defeats, together with goals at 28:13, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through Pedro (9 goals), G. de Arrascaeta (3 goals), Lucas Paquetá (3 goals), with creative support from Samuel Lino (5 assists), Pedro (3 assists), Guillermo Varela (3 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, the split of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
So far, Coritiba have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 23 points from 16 matches. The record of 6 wins, 5 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 21:19 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Breno Lopes (7 goals), J. Lavega (4 goals), Pedro Rocha (4 goals), with creative support from Josué (6 assists), Lucas Ronier (2 assists), Tinga (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Flamengo won 11 times, Coritiba won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:10 from Flamengo's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Flamengo
Home
|
27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 53:22 | 31 | 57 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
| 2 | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 47:21 | 26 | 56 |
W
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 41:31 | 10 | 46 |
D
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 42:33 | 9 | 46 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 41:35 | 6 | 45 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 39:39 | 0 | 42 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 35:31 | 4 | 39 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 8 |
Coritiba
Away
|
27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 37:38 | -1 | 38 |
D
L
W
W
D
|
| 9 | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 32:29 | 3 | 36 |
D
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 39:39 | 0 | 35 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 11 | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 31:30 | 1 | 33 |
L
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 12 | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 27:39 | -12 | 33 |
D
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 13 | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 28:29 | -1 | 32 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 38:41 | -3 | 32 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 31:42 | -11 | 29 |
D
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 16 | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 28:35 | -7 | 28 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 29:41 | -12 | 28 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 30:35 | -5 | 28 |
W
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 19 | 27 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 31:45 | -14 | 23 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 20 | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 28:52 | -24 | 17 |
L
W
L
W
D
|