BRAZIL SERIE A
--.--.---- --:--
Estádio do Maracanã
Referee: Flavio Rodrigues De Souza, Brazil
Flamengo
Match Timeline
Coritiba
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
11'
Samuel Lino · Assist: Pedro
Flamengo
🔄
19'
Leo Ortiz ↔ Joao Souza
Flamengo
VAR
34'
Pedro Rocha
Coritiba
🟥
36'
Pedro Rocha
Coritiba
🟨
41'
Erick Pulgar
Flamengo
🔄
46'
Joao Pedro Chermont ↔ Lucas Taverna
Coritiba
🟨
54'
Evertton Araujo
Flamengo
60'
Pedro · Assist: Samuel Lino
Flamengo
🔄
63'
J. Lavega ↔ Felipe Jonatan
Coritiba
🔄
63'
Thiago Santos ↔ Vini Paulista
Coritiba
🔄
63'
Josue ↔ Gustavo
Coritiba
70'
Samuel Lino · Assist: Ayrton Lucas
Flamengo
🔄
75'
Samuel Lino ↔ Everton
Flamengo
🔄
76'
E. Pulgar ↔ S. Niguez
Flamengo
🟨
84'
Luiz Araújo
Flamengo
🔄
85'
Luiz Araujo ↔ Wallace Yan
Flamengo
🔄
85'
Pedro ↔ Joshua
Flamengo
🔄
88'
S. Gomez ↔ Wallisson
Coritiba

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 81.5%
Odds 1.44
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 69.4%
Odds 2.00
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 60.2%
Odds 1.81
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
81.5%
1.44
BTTS BTTS Yes
69.4%
2.00
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
60.2%
1.81
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
68.7%
2.16
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.10
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
Flamengo Win 81.5%
Draw 0%
Coritiba Win 18.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Flamengo1.61
Coritiba1.19
Recent Form (Last 5)
Flamengo Flamengo
WWDLW
39 GF / 18 GA
Coritiba Coritiba
WLDWL
24 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
1.86
Average Goals Scored
1.41
0.86
Average Goals Conceded
1.24
10
BTTS Yes
8
12
Over 2.5
7
5.67
Shots on Goal
3.35

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Flamengo Flamengo 21 matches
Coritiba Coritiba 17 matches
Flamengo Statistic Coritiba
13 Wins 7
5 Draws 5
3 Losses 5
39 Goals For 24
18 Goals Against 21
1.86 Avg Goals Scored 1.41
0.86 Avg Goals Conceded 1.24
10 BTTS Yes 8
19 Over 1.5 12
12 Over 2.5 7
4 Over 3.5 5
9 Clean Sheets 5
2 Failed To Score 4
5.67 Shots On Goal 3.35
15.38 Total Shots 10.18
4.57 Corners 3.18
55.3% Ball Possession 38.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Coritiba. Flamengo arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 31 points compared to Coritiba in 7 on 23, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Flamengo Analysis

Flamengo come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 31 points after 15 matches. The return of 9 wins, 4 draws, and 2 defeats, together with goals at 28:13, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through Pedro (9 goals), G. de Arrascaeta (3 goals), Lucas Paquetá (3 goals), with creative support from Samuel Lino (5 assists), Pedro (3 assists), Guillermo Varela (3 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, the split of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Coritiba Analysis

So far, Coritiba have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 23 points from 16 matches. The record of 6 wins, 5 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 21:19 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Breno Lopes (7 goals), J. Lavega (4 goals), Pedro Rocha (4 goals), with creative support from Josué (6 assists), Lucas Ronier (2 assists), Tinga (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Flamengo won 11 times, Coritiba won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:10 from Flamengo's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Flamengo 4-2-3-1 / Coritiba 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Flamengo 10, Coritiba 5
H2H summary: Flamengo wins 11, draws 1, Coritiba wins 3
Stats
Flamengo Flamengo
Coritiba Coritiba
Shots on Goal
9
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
9
Shots off Goal
7
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
1
6 Corner Kicks 4
10 Fouls 2
0 Offsides 0
62% Ball Possession 38%
21 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Goal 2
9 Shots off Goal 7
3 Blocked Shots 1
8 Shots insidebox 9
13 Shots outsidebox 1
2 Goalkeeper Saves 6
638 Total passes 394
585 Passes accurate 336
1.62 expected_goals 0.83
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 0 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 1 🟥

Lineups

Flamengo
Formation
Coritiba
A. Rossi
A. Rossi
Emerson Royal
Emerson Royal
Leo Ortiz
Leo Ortiz
Vitao
Vitao
Ayrton Lucas
🎯
Ayrton Lucas
Evertton Araujo
Evertton Araujo
E. Pulgar
E. Pulgar
Luiz Araujo
Luiz Araujo
Samuel Lino
⚽ 2 🎯
Samuel Lino
Bruno Henrique
Bruno Henrique
Pedro
🎯
Pedro
Pedro Rangel
Pedro Rangel
Joao Pedro Chermont
Joao Pedro Chermont
Tiago Coser
Tiago Coser
Jacy
Jacy
Bruno Melo
Bruno Melo
Thiago Santos
Thiago Santos
S. Gomez
S. Gomez
J. Lavega
J. Lavega
Josue
Josue
Breno Lopes
Breno Lopes
Pedro Rocha
Pedro Rocha
Flamengo 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
A. Rossi
G
22
Emerson Royal
D
3
Leo Ortiz
↓ 19'
D
44
Vitao
D
6
Ayrton Lucas
🎯 70'
D
52
Evertton Araujo
🟨 54'
M
5
E. Pulgar
↓ 76' 🟨 41'
M
7
Luiz Araujo
↓ 85' 🟨 84'
M
16
Samuel Lino
⚽ 11' ⚽ 70' 🎯 60' ↓ 75'
M
27
Bruno Henrique
M
9
Pedro
⚽ 60' 🎯 11' ↓ 85'
F
Substitutes
42
A. da Silva Ventura
G
49
Dyogo Alves
G
8
S. Niguez
↑ 76'
M
51
Daniel Sales
D
64
Wallace Yan
↑ 85'
F
61
Joao Souza
↑ 19'
D
59
Alan
79
Joshua
↑ 85'
M
77
J. Goes
D
11
Everton
↑ 75'
F
75
L. Mariano
87
Daniel Thuram
Coritiba 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
22
Pedro Rangel
G
44
Joao Pedro Chermont
↓ 46'
D
23
Tiago Coser
D
55
Jacy
D
26
Bruno Melo
D
21
Thiago Santos
↓ 63'
M
19
S. Gomez
↓ 88'
M
7
J. Lavega
↓ 63'
M
10
Josue
↓ 63'
M
77
Breno Lopes
M
32
Pedro Rocha
🟥 36'
F
Substitutes
13
Keiller
G
29
Willian Oliveira
M
8
Wallisson
↑ 88'
M
6
Felipe Jonatan
↑ 63'
D
11
Lucas Ronier
F
36
Vini Paulista
↑ 63'
F
86
Lucas Taverna
↑ 46'
D
4
Rodrigo Moledo
D
88
Fernando Sobral
M
28
Fabinho
F
78
Renato Marques
F
39
Gustavo
↑ 63'
M
Last matches: Flamengo
27.05.26
CON
Flamengo
Cusco
3
0
W
24.05.26
Ser
Flamengo
Palmeiras
0
3
L
21.05.26
CON
Flamengo
Estudiantes L.P.
1
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
Flamengo
Atletico Paranaense
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Flamengo
Gremio
1
0
W
03.05.26
Ser
Flamengo
Vasco DA Gama
2
2
D
30.04.26
CON
Flamengo
Estudiantes L.P.
1
1
D
26.04.26
Ser
Flamengo
Atletico-MG
4
0
W
19.04.26
Ser
Flamengo
Bahia
2
0
W
17.04.26
CON
Flamengo
Independiente Medellin
4
1
W
12.04.26
Ser
Flamengo
Fluminense
2
1
W
09.04.26
CON
Flamengo
Cusco
2
0
W
05.04.26
Ser
Flamengo
Santos
3
1
W
03.04.26
Ser
Flamengo
RB Bragantino
0
3
L
22.03.26
Ser
Flamengo
Corinthians
1
1
D
19.03.26
Ser
Flamengo
Remo
3
0
W
14.03.26
Ser
Flamengo
Botafogo
3
0
W
12.03.26
Ser
Flamengo
Cruzeiro
2
0
W
11.02.26
Ser
Flamengo
Vitoria
2
1
W
04.02.26
Ser
Flamengo
Internacional
1
1
D
Last matches: Coritiba
25.05.26
Ser
Coritiba
Bahia
3
2
W
17.05.26
Ser
Coritiba
Santos
3
0
W
09.05.26
Ser
Coritiba
Internacional
2
2
D
02.05.26
Ser
Coritiba
Vitoria
1
4
L
26.04.26
Ser
Coritiba
Gremio
0
1
L
19.04.26
Ser
Coritiba
Atletico-MG
2
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
Coritiba
Botafogo
2
2
D
04.04.26
Ser
Coritiba
Fluminense
1
1
D
01.04.26
Ser
Coritiba
Vasco DA Gama
1
1
D
22.03.26
Ser
Coritiba
Atletico Paranaense
0
2
L
18.03.26
Ser
Coritiba
Mirassol
1
0
W
15.03.26
Ser
Coritiba
Remo
1
0
W
12.03.26
Ser
Coritiba
Corinthians
2
0
W
25.02.26
Ser
Coritiba
Sao Paulo
0
1
L
11.02.26
Ser
Coritiba
Chapecoense-sc
3
3
D
06.02.26
Ser
Coritiba
Cruzeiro
2
1
W
28.01.26
Ser
Coritiba
RB Bragantino
0
1
L
H2H: Flamengo vs Coritiba
30.05.26
H2H
Flamengo
Coritiba
3
0
W
20.08.23
H2H
Coritiba
Flamengo
2
3
W
16.04.23
H2H
Flamengo
Coritiba
3
0
W
06.11.22
H2H
Coritiba
Flamengo
1
0
L
16.07.22
H2H
Flamengo
Coritiba
2
0
W
17.06.21
H2H
Flamengo
Coritiba
2
0
W
10.06.21
H2H
Coritiba
Flamengo
0
1
W
21.11.20
H2H
Flamengo
Coritiba
3
1
W
15.08.20
H2H
Coritiba
Flamengo
0
1
W
16.11.17
H2H
Coritiba
Flamengo
1
0
L
22.07.17
H2H
Flamengo
Coritiba
2
1
W
20.11.16
H2H
Flamengo
Coritiba
2
2
D
31.07.16
H2H
Coritiba
Flamengo
0
2
W
18.09.15
H2H
Flamengo
Coritiba
0
2
L
13.06.15
H2H
Coritiba
Flamengo
0
1
W
Last matches: Flamengo
27.05.26
CON
Flamengo
Cusco
3
0
W
24.05.26
Ser
Flamengo
Palmeiras
0
3
L
21.05.26
CON
Flamengo
Estudiantes L.P.
1
0
W
03.05.26
Ser
Flamengo
Vasco DA Gama
2
2
D
19.04.26
Ser
Flamengo
Bahia
2
0
W
17.04.26
CON
Flamengo
Independiente Medellin
4
1
W
05.04.26
Ser
Flamengo
Santos
3
1
W
19.03.26
Ser
Flamengo
Remo
3
0
W
12.03.26
Ser
Flamengo
Cruzeiro
2
0
W
04.02.26
Ser
Flamengo
Internacional
1
1
D
H2H at home: Flamengo
30.05.26
H2H
Flamengo
Coritiba
3
0
W
16.04.23
H2H
Flamengo
Coritiba
3
0
W
16.07.22
H2H
Flamengo
Coritiba
2
0
W
17.06.21
H2H
Flamengo
Coritiba
2
0
W
21.11.20
H2H
Flamengo
Coritiba
3
1
W
22.07.17
H2H
Flamengo
Coritiba
2
1
W
20.11.16
H2H
Flamengo
Coritiba
2
2
D
18.09.15
H2H
Flamengo
Coritiba
0
2
L
Last matches: Coritiba
17.05.26
Ser
Coritiba
Santos
3
0
W
02.05.26
Ser
Coritiba
Vitoria
1
4
L
26.04.26
Ser
Coritiba
Gremio
0
1
L
12.04.26
Ser
Coritiba
Botafogo
2
2
D
22.03.26
Ser
Coritiba
Atletico Paranaense
0
2
L
18.03.26
Ser
Coritiba
Mirassol
1
0
W
12.03.26
Ser
Coritiba
Corinthians
2
0
W
11.02.26
Ser
Coritiba
Chapecoense-sc
3
3
D
06.02.26
Ser
Coritiba
Cruzeiro
2
1
W
H2H away: Coritiba
30.05.26
H2H
Flamengo
Coritiba
3
0
L
16.04.23
H2H
Flamengo
Coritiba
3
0
L
16.07.22
H2H
Flamengo
Coritiba
2
0
L
17.06.21
H2H
Flamengo
Coritiba
2
0
L
21.11.20
H2H
Flamengo
Coritiba
3
1
L
22.07.17
H2H
Flamengo
Coritiba
2
1
L
20.11.16
H2H
Flamengo
Coritiba
2
2
D
18.09.15
H2H
Flamengo
Coritiba
0
2
W
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 7.17
Draw 4.95
Home 1.44
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 7.46
Draw 2.54
Home 1.95
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.27
Over 2.0 1.41
Over 2.25 1.60
Over 2.5 1.81
Over 2.75 2.05
Over 3.0 2.43
Over 3.25 2.78
Over 3.5 3.11
Over 4.5 6.25
Under 1.5 3.93
Under 2.0 2.94
Under 2.25 2.43
Under 2.5 2.08
Under 2.75 1.85
Under 3.0 1.61
Under 3.25 1.48
Under 3.5 1.39
Under 4.5 1.14
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 6.50
Draw 5.00
Home 1.42
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 7.00
Draw 2.40
Home 1.91
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 6.00
Draw 2.75
Home 1.73
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.04
Over 1.5 1.25
Over 2.5 1.75
Over 3.5 3.00
Over 4.5 5.50
Over 5.5 11.00
Over 6.5 23.00
Over 7.5 51.00
Under 0.5 13.00
Under 1.5 4.00
Under 2.5 2.05
Under 3.5 1.40
Under 4.5 1.14
Under 5.5 1.05
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 7.31
Draw 4.99
Home 1.42
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 6.45
Draw 2.46
Home 1.84
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 6.25
Draw 2.77
Home 1.71
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.03
Over 1.0 1.03
Over 1.25 1.09
Over 1.5 1.19
Over 1.75 1.26
Over 2.0 1.32
Over 2.25 1.59
Over 2.5 1.79
Over 2.75 2.01
Over 3.0 2.28
Over 3.25 2.57
Over 3.5 2.85
Over 3.75 3.50
Over 4.0 4.75
Over 4.25 5.10
Over 4.5 5.50
Over 4.75 7.60
Over 5.0 8.20
Over 5.5 10.50
Over 6.5 23.00
Over 7.5 50.00
Under 0.5 11.30
Under 1.0 8.30
Under 1.25 5.46
Under 1.5 3.82
Under 1.75 3.38
Under 2.0 3.00
Under 2.25 2.42
Under 2.5 2.07
Under 2.75 1.84
Under 3.0 1.53
Under 3.25 1.40
Under 3.5 1.33
Under 3.75 1.22
Under 4.0 1.12
Under 4.25 1.10
Under 4.5 1.08
Under 4.75 1.04
Under 5.0 1.03
Under 5.5 1.01
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 6.75
Draw 5.00
Home 1.40
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 6.10
Draw 2.48
Home 1.92
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 5.75
Draw 2.95
Home 1.75
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 1.5 1.21
Over 2.0 1.33
Over 2.25 1.53
Over 2.5 1.73
Over 2.75 1.93
Over 3.0 2.28
Over 3.25 2.60
Over 3.5 2.90
Over 3.75 3.50
Over 4.5 5.60
Over 5.5 11.50
Under 0.5 13.00
Under 1.5 4.20
Under 2.0 3.25
Under 2.25 2.48
Under 2.5 2.10
Under 2.75 1.87
Under 3.0 1.63
Under 3.25 1.49
Under 3.5 1.40
Under 3.75 1.30
Under 4.5 1.13
Under 5.5 1.02

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 12 5 1 30:13 17 41
W W D D D
2 17 10 4 3 31:16 15 34
W L D W D
3 18 9 4 5 28:23 5 31
D L W D L
4 18 9 3 6 24:18 6 30
W W D L D
5 18 9 2 7 25:19 6 29
W W W L W
6 17 7 5 5 25:23 2 26
W L D L D
7 18 7 5 6 24:24 0 26
L W W D L
8 18 7 4 7 23:20 3 25
L D L L D
9 18 7 3 8 22:23 -1 24
W L W D W
10 18 6 6 6 18:19 -1 24
W W L W L
11 18 6 6 6 24:28 -4 24
D W D W L
12 17 6 4 7 31:31 0 22
L D W D L
13 17 6 4 7 21:25 -4 22
L W L D W
14 18 5 6 7 21:22 -1 21
L L W D W
15 18 5 6 7 26:29 -3 21
W L L W D
16 18 5 6 7 20:23 -3 21
L W D L D
17 18 5 5 8 22:29 -7 20
L L L W D
18 18 4 6 8 21:29 -8 18
W L W D W
19 17 4 4 9 18:24 -6 16
L W L D W
20 17 1 6 10 17:33 -16 9
L L L D L

Missing Players

Flamengo 10 missing
-
Alex Sandro
Missing Fixture International duty
OUT
-
Danilo
Missing Fixture International duty
OUT
-
Leo Pereira
Missing Fixture Yellow Cards
OUT
-
G. Varela
Missing Fixture Yellow Cards
OUT
-
Jorginho
Missing Fixture Toe Injury
OUT
-
Lucas Paqueta
Missing Fixture International duty
OUT
-
G. de Arrascaeta
Missing Fixture International duty
OUT
-
N. de la Cruz
Missing Fixture International duty
OUT
-
J. Carrascal
Missing Fixture Red Card
OUT
-
G. Plata
Missing Fixture International duty
OUT
Coritiba 5 missing
-
Pedro Morisco
Missing Fixture Shoulder Injury
OUT
-
Maicon
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT
-
Tinga
Missing Fixture Calf Injury
OUT
-
Keno
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
Rodrigo Rodrigues
Missing Fixture Ankle Injury
OUT