Internacional de Bogota vs Atletico Nacional Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
54.3%
|
1.62 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
75.1%
|
1.83 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72%
|
1.91 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.24 | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
4.75 | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
8.50 |
Internacional de Bogota
Atletico Nacional
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Internacional de Bogota
31 matches
Atletico Nacional
34 matches
| Internacional de Bogota | Statistic | Atletico Nacional |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 23 |
| 12 | Draws | 1 |
| 9 | Losses | 10 |
| 40 | Goals For | 65 |
| 47 | Goals Against | 32 |
| 1.29 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.91 |
| 1.52 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.94 |
| 20 | BTTS Yes | 15 |
| 24 | Over 1.5 | 26 |
| 18 | Over 2.5 | 23 |
| 10 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 11 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 9 |
| 4.47 | Shots On Goal | 6.23 |
| 12.53 | Total Shots | 16.32 |
| 4.6 | Corners | 5.29 |
| 44% | Ball Possession | 57% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Atletico Nacional's more proactive style and Internacional de Bogota's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Atletico Nacional. Atletico Nacional look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. Atletico Nacional carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 40 points while Internacional de Bogota sit 8 on 28, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Internacional de Bogota sit 8 with 28 points after 19 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 7 draws, and 5 losses, while the 26:26 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on F. Sanguinetti (7 goals), F. Boné (5 goals), Dereck Moncada (5 goals), with creative support from F. Sanguinetti (7 assists), F. Boné (2 assists), Dereck Moncada (2 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Atletico Nacional come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 40 points after 19 matches. With 13 wins, 1 draws, and 5 defeats plus a goal balance of 35:15, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by A. Morelos (13 goals), J. Rengifo (7 goals), A. Sarmiento (7 goals), with creative support from J. Rengifo (7 assists), A. Morelos (6 assists), A. Sarmiento (6 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their record of 5 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Internacional de Bogota won 5 times, Atletico Nacional won 7 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:26 from Internacional de Bogota's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Atletico Nacional
Away
|
19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35:15 | 20 | 40 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
| 2 | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31:24 | 7 | 35 |
W
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 3 | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29:25 | 4 | 34 |
W
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 4 | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25:15 | 10 | 33 |
D
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31:22 | 9 | 33 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27:17 | 10 | 31 |
D
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | 7 | 29 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:26 | 0 | 28 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 9 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20:16 | 4 | 27 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 10 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31:23 | 8 | 26 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | 2 | 26 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 12 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 26 |
D
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 13 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26:20 | 6 | 23 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 14 | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 22 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22:27 | -5 | 22 |
L
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20:33 | -13 | 18 |
L
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 17 | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 17 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15:32 | -17 | 17 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 19 | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22:35 | -13 | 16 |
L
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 20 | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15:32 | -17 | 10 |
D
L
D
L
W
|