NETHERLANDS EREDIVISIE
--.--.---- --:--
De Kuip
Referee: D. Makkelie
Feyenoord
Match Timeline
Groningen
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
11'
J. Bos · Assist: L. Valente
Feyenoord
🟨
21'
Etienne Vaessen
Groningen
22'
A. Ueda
Feyenoord
🟨
52'
Dies Janse
Groningen
🔄
63'
G. Trauner ↔ J. St. Juste
Feyenoord
🔄
63'
J. Bos ↔ G. Read
Feyenoord
67'
A. Ueda · Assist: O. Targhalline
Feyenoord
🔄
69'
D. van der Werff ↔ B. Willumsson
Groningen
🔄
69'
Y. Taha ↔ R. Metu
Groningen
🔄
74'
T. Watanabe ↔ R. Sterling
Feyenoord
🔄
74'
T. van den Elshout ↔ J. Lotomba
Feyenoord
🔄
80'
T. de Jonge ↔ T. Hernes
Groningen
🔄
83'
T. Kraaijeveld ↔ I. Grootfaam
Feyenoord
86'
T. van Bergen · Assist: D. Janse
Groningen

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 79.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 73.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 69%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
79.5%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
73.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
69%
-
Probability Distribution
Feyenoord Win 79.5%
Draw 4.9%
Groningen Win 15.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Feyenoord1.65
Groningen1.46
Recent Form (Last 5)
Feyenoord Feyenoord
WWDLW
77 GF / 62 GA
Groningen Groningen
WLDWL
42 GF / 37 GA
Key Stats
1.93
Average Goals Scored
1.4
1.55
Average Goals Conceded
1.23
24
BTTS Yes
15
25
Over 2.5
15
6.08
Shots on Goal
5.93

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Feyenoord Feyenoord 40 matches
Groningen Groningen 30 matches
Feyenoord Statistic Groningen
19 Wins 12
7 Draws 6
14 Losses 12
77 Goals For 42
62 Goals Against 37
1.93 Avg Goals Scored 1.4
1.55 Avg Goals Conceded 1.23
24 BTTS Yes 15
34 Over 1.5 26
25 Over 2.5 15
16 Over 3.5 6
10 Clean Sheets 10
7 Failed To Score 7
6.08 Shots On Goal 5.93
16.3 Total Shots 16.37
6.58 Corners 6.47
52.7% Ball Possession 50.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Feyenoord appear more affected by absences, and that imbalance in squad availability could shift some of the structural advantage toward Groningen. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Feyenoord expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Groningen in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Groningen having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Groningen. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.

Feyenoord Analysis

Feyenoord come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 2 with 55 points from 30 matches. The record of 16 wins, 7 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 62:41 goal balance, points toward poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Much of their attacking threat comes through A. Ueda (23 goals), A. Hadj Moussa (8 goals), S. Steijn (7 goals), with creative support from J. Bos (7 assists), A. Hadj Moussa (6 assists), L. Valente (5 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, the record of 10 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with T. Beelen, Hwang In-Beom, M. Jeng unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

Groningen Analysis

Groningen are currently 9 in the standings with 42 points from 30 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 12 wins, 6 draws, and 12 losses, while the 42:37 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Thom van Bergen (8 goals), B. Willumsson (6 goals), Y. Taha (4 goals), with creative support from Y. Taha (7 assists), Thom van Bergen (4 assists), M. Rente (3 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with S. Resink, O. Zawada unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Feyenoord won 8 times, Groningen won 1 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:9 from Feyenoord's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.21 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.1%)
Predicted formations: Feyenoord 4-3-3 / Groningen 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Feyenoord 10, Groningen 2
H2H summary: Feyenoord wins 8, draws 5, Groningen wins 1
Stats
Feyenoord Feyenoord
Groningen Groningen
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
2
Shots off Goal
6
Blocked Shots
4
Blocked Shots
2
3 Corner Kicks 3
10 Fouls 15
1 Offsides 1
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Goal 2
2 Shots off Goal 6
4 Blocked Shots 2
7 Shots insidebox 6
3 Shots outsidebox 4
1 Goalkeeper Saves 1
418 Total passes 462
352 Passes accurate 392
1.64 expected_goals 1.46
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Feyenoord
Formation
Groningen
T. Wellenreuther
T. Wellenreuther
M. Deijl
M. Deijl
G. Trauner
G. Trauner
T. Watanabe
T. Watanabe
J. Bos
J. Bos
T. Kraaijeveld
T. Kraaijeveld
O. Targhalline
🎯
O. Targhalline
A. Hadj Moussa
A. Hadj Moussa
L. Valente
🎯
L. Valente
T. van den Elshout
T. van den Elshout
A. Ueda
⚽ 2
A. Ueda
E. Vaessen
E. Vaessen
M. Rente
M. Rente
T. Blokzijl
T. Blokzijl
D. Janse
🎯
D. Janse
M. Peersman
M. Peersman
T. de Jonge
T. de Jonge
T. Land
T. Land
Y. Taha
Y. Taha
D. van der Werff
D. van der Werff
J. Schreuders
J. Schreuders
T. van Bergen
T. van Bergen
Feyenoord 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
22
T. Wellenreuther
G
20
M. Deijl
D
18
G. Trauner
↓ 63'
D
4
T. Watanabe
↓ 74'
D
15
J. Bos
⚽ 11' ↓ 63'
D
24
T. Kraaijeveld
↓ 83'
M
28
O. Targhalline
🎯 67'
M
23
A. Hadj Moussa
M
10
L. Valente
🎯 11'
M
44
T. van den Elshout
↓ 74'
M
9
A. Ueda
⚽ 22' ⚽ 67'
F
Substitutes
39
L. Bossin
G
13
S. Benda
G
19
R. Sterling
↑ 74'
F
8
J. St. Juste
↑ 63'
D
30
J. Lotomba
↑ 74'
D
11
G. Borges
F
32
A. Sliti
F
26
G. Read
↑ 63'
D
17
C. Tengstedt
F
27
G. Diarra
F
79
I. Grootfaam
↑ 83'
M
Groningen 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
E. Vaessen
🟨 21'
G
5
M. Rente
D
3
T. Blokzijl
D
4
D. Janse
🎯 86' 🟨 52'
D
43
M. Peersman
D
8
T. de Jonge
↓ 80'
M
18
T. Land
M
10
Y. Taha
↓ 69'
M
17
D. van der Werff
↓ 69'
M
14
J. Schreuders
M
26
T. van Bergen
⚽ 86'
F
Substitutes
21
H. Jurjus
G
13
L. Stubljar
G
20
M. Seuntjens
M
9
B. Willumsson
↑ 69'
F
2
W. Prins
D
16
T. Mercera
D
44
J. Dillema
M
22
S. Bouland
D
27
R. Mendes
F
7
T. Hernes
↑ 80'
M
15
E. van der Laan
D
34
R. Metu
↑ 69'
F
Last matches: Feyenoord
17.07.26
Fri
Feyenoord
Charleroi
3
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
Feyenoord
Club Brugge KV
3
1
W
04.07.26
Fri
Feyenoord
Dordrecht
6
0
W
17.05.26
Ere
Feyenoord
PEC Zwolle
2
0
W
10.05.26
Ere
Feyenoord
AZ Alkmaar
1
1
D
03.05.26
Ere
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
2
1
W
12.04.26
Ere
Feyenoord
NEC Nijmegen
1
1
D
05.04.26
Ere
Feyenoord
FC Volendam
0
0
D
22.03.26
Ere
Feyenoord
Ajax
1
1
D
15.03.26
Ere
Feyenoord
Excelsior
2
1
W
08.03.26
Ere
Feyenoord
NAC Breda
3
3
D
01.03.26
Ere
Feyenoord
Twente
0
2
L
22.02.26
Ere
Feyenoord
Telstar
2
1
W
15.02.26
Ere
Feyenoord
GO Ahead Eagles
1
0
W
08.02.26
Ere
Feyenoord
Utrecht
1
0
W
01.02.26
Ere
Feyenoord
PSV Eindhoven
0
3
L
29.01.26
UEF
Feyenoord
Real Betis
1
2
L
25.01.26
Ere
Feyenoord
Heracles
4
2
W
22.01.26
UEF
Feyenoord
Sturm Graz
3
0
W
18.01.26
Ere
Feyenoord
Sparta Rotterdam
3
4
L
Last matches: Groningen
25.07.26
Fri
Groningen
Volos NFC
0
0
D
24.07.26
Fri
Groningen
FC Volendam
0
4
L
18.07.26
Fri
Groningen
AEK Athens FC
1
2
L
11.07.26
Fri
Groningen
Emmen
3
2
W
08.07.26
Fri
Groningen
Heracles
1
2
L
21.05.26
Ere
Groningen
Ajax
0
2
L
17.05.26
Ere
Groningen
Heracles
2
1
W
10.05.26
Ere
Groningen
NEC Nijmegen
2
1
W
02.05.26
Ere
Groningen
Excelsior
2
3
L
11.04.26
Ere
Groningen
GO Ahead Eagles
0
0
D
04.04.26
Ere
Groningen
Telstar
2
0
W
22.03.26
Ere
Groningen
AZ Alkmaar
3
0
W
13.03.26
Ere
Groningen
PEC Zwolle
1
1
D
07.03.26
Ere
Groningen
Ajax
3
1
W
01.03.26
Ere
Groningen
FC Volendam
2
3
L
22.02.26
Ere
Groningen
Twente
1
2
L
14.02.26
Ere
Groningen
Utrecht
1
2
L
08.02.26
Ere
Groningen
PSV Eindhoven
1
2
L
31.01.26
Ere
Groningen
Sparta Rotterdam
0
2
L
25.01.26
Ere
Groningen
Fortuna Sittard
1
2
L
H2H: Feyenoord vs Groningen
25.04.26
H2H
Feyenoord
Groningen
3
1
W
28.09.25
H2H
Groningen
Feyenoord
0
1
W
02.04.25
H2H
Feyenoord
Groningen
4
1
W
14.09.24
H2H
Groningen
Feyenoord
2
2
D
29.02.24
H2H
Feyenoord
Groningen
2
1
W
04.03.23
H2H
Feyenoord
Groningen
1
0
W
15.01.23
H2H
Groningen
Feyenoord
0
3
W
05.03.22
H2H
Feyenoord
Groningen
1
1
D
12.12.21
H2H
Groningen
Feyenoord
1
1
D
24.02.21
H2H
Groningen
Feyenoord
0
0
D
08.11.20
H2H
Feyenoord
Groningen
2
0
W
25.04.20
H2H
Feyenoord
Groningen
0
0
D
24.11.19
H2H
Groningen
Feyenoord
1
1
D
17.02.19
H2H
Groningen
Feyenoord
1
0
L
25.11.18
H2H
Feyenoord
Groningen
1
0
W
Last matches: Feyenoord
17.07.26
Fri
Feyenoord
Charleroi
3
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
Feyenoord
Club Brugge KV
3
1
W
10.05.26
Ere
Feyenoord
AZ Alkmaar
1
1
D
22.03.26
Ere
Feyenoord
Ajax
1
1
D
15.03.26
Ere
Feyenoord
Excelsior
2
1
W
22.02.26
Ere
Feyenoord
Telstar
2
1
W
15.02.26
Ere
Feyenoord
GO Ahead Eagles
1
0
W
25.01.26
Ere
Feyenoord
Heracles
4
2
W
22.01.26
UEF
Feyenoord
Sturm Graz
3
0
W
18.01.26
Ere
Feyenoord
Sparta Rotterdam
3
4
L
21.12.25
Ere
Feyenoord
Twente
1
1
D
06.12.25
Ere
Feyenoord
PEC Zwolle
6
1
W
27.11.25
UEF
Feyenoord
Celtic
1
3
L
23.11.25
Ere
Feyenoord
NEC Nijmegen
2
4
L
01.11.25
Ere
Feyenoord
FC Volendam
3
1
W
26.10.25
Ere
Feyenoord
PSV Eindhoven
2
3
L
23.10.25
UEF
Feyenoord
Panathinaikos
3
1
W
05.10.25
Ere
Feyenoord
Utrecht
3
2
W
02.10.25
UEF
Feyenoord
Aston Villa
0
2
L
17.09.25
Ere
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
2
0
W
H2H at home: Feyenoord
25.04.26
H2H
Feyenoord
Groningen
3
1
W
02.04.25
H2H
Feyenoord
Groningen
4
1
W
29.02.24
H2H
Feyenoord
Groningen
2
1
W
04.03.23
H2H
Feyenoord
Groningen
1
0
W
05.03.22
H2H
Feyenoord
Groningen
1
1
D
08.11.20
H2H
Feyenoord
Groningen
2
0
W
25.04.20
H2H
Feyenoord
Groningen
0
0
D
25.11.18
H2H
Feyenoord
Groningen
1
0
W
Last matches: Groningen
08.07.26
Fri
Groningen
Heracles
1
2
L
21.05.26
Ere
Groningen
Ajax
0
2
L
17.05.26
Ere
Groningen
Heracles
2
1
W
04.04.26
Ere
Groningen
Telstar
2
0
W
13.03.26
Ere
Groningen
PEC Zwolle
1
1
D
01.03.26
Ere
Groningen
FC Volendam
2
3
L
22.02.26
Ere
Groningen
Twente
1
2
L
31.01.26
Ere
Groningen
Sparta Rotterdam
0
2
L
18.01.26
Ere
Groningen
Heerenveen
2
0
W
21.12.25
Ere
Groningen
GO Ahead Eagles
1
1
D
05.12.25
Ere
Groningen
Excelsior
2
0
W
02.12.25
Ere
Groningen
Ajax
0
2
L
09.11.25
Ere
Groningen
NEC Nijmegen
0
2
L
25.10.25
Ere
Groningen
Fortuna Sittard
2
1
W
03.10.25
Ere
Groningen
NAC Breda
2
1
W
14.09.25
Ere
Groningen
Utrecht
1
0
W
23.08.25
Ere
Groningen
PSV Eindhoven
2
4
L
10.08.25
Ere
Groningen
AZ Alkmaar
1
4
L
H2H away: Groningen
25.04.26
H2H
Feyenoord
Groningen
3
1
L
02.04.25
H2H
Feyenoord
Groningen
4
1
L
29.02.24
H2H
Feyenoord
Groningen
2
1
L
04.03.23
H2H
Feyenoord
Groningen
1
0
L
05.03.22
H2H
Feyenoord
Groningen
1
1
D
08.11.20
H2H
Feyenoord
Groningen
2
0
L
25.04.20
H2H
Feyenoord
Groningen
0
0
D
25.11.18
H2H
Feyenoord
Groningen
1
0
L

Standings

Eredivisie
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 27 3 4 101:45 56 84
W W D W W
2 34 19 8 7 70:44 26 65
W D W W D
3 34 16 11 7 77:53 24 59
W L D D D
4 34 15 13 6 59:40 19 58
L W D D W
5 34 14 14 6 62:41 21 56
D L D W W
6 34 15 8 11 55:42 13 53
W W W L W
7 34 14 10 10 58:51 7 52
D D D D W
8 34 14 9 11 57:53 4 51
D L W W L
9 34 14 6 14 49:45 4 48
W W L L D
10 34 12 7 15 40:62 -22 43
L L D L L
11 34 11 6 17 49:63 -14 39
L W L L D
12 34 8 14 12 54:53 1 38
L L D D D
13 34 10 8 16 43:56 -13 38
W D W W D
14 34 9 10 15 49:55 -6 37
W W D W L
15 34 9 10 15 44:71 -27 37
L L W L D
16 34 8 8 18 35:55 -20 32
L D L W L
17 34 6 11 17 35:58 -23 29
D W L L D
18 34 5 4 25 35:85 -50 19
L L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Eerste Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie

Missing Players

Feyenoord 10 missing
-
T. Beelen
Questionable Broken Leg
OUT
-
Hwang In-Beom
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
-
M. Jeng
Questionable Leg Injury
OUT
-
G. Smal
Missing Fixture Hip Injury
OUT
-
S. Steijn
Questionable Knee Injury
OUT
-
S. Zand
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
S. van Persie
Questionable Knee Injury
OUT
-
B. Nieuwkoop
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
T. van den Elshout
Questionable Injury
OUT
-
L. Sauer
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
Groningen 2 missing
-
S. Resink
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
O. Zawada
Missing Fixture Arm Injury
OUT