BELARUS PREMIER LEAGUE
11.09.2026 17:10
Stadion Traktor
FC Minsk
Match Timeline
Slavia Mozyr
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
14'
Ilya Dubinets
FC Minsk
🟨
34'
Gleb Zherdev
FC Minsk
🔄
46'
G. Zherdev ↔ V. Yatskevich
FC Minsk
🔄
46'
F. Campo ↔ A. Migdalenok
FC Minsk
🟨
49'
Aleksey Antilevski
Slavia Mozyr
🟨
62'
Aleksey Antilevski
Slavia Mozyr
🟥
62'
Aleksey Antilevski
Slavia Mozyr
🔄
64'
M. Dieye ↔ E. Zubovich
FC Minsk
🟨
65'
Abdul Jarju Kabia
FC Minsk
🔄
69'
K. Malitskiy ↔ K. Kuchinskiy
FC Minsk
🟨
73'
Yuli Kuznetsov
Slavia Mozyr
76'
K. Kuchinskiy
FC Minsk
🔄
82'
A. Dzhigero ↔ T. Lutsevich
Slavia Mozyr
🔄
83'
D. Fedorenko ↔ O. Batyshchev
Slavia Mozyr
🔄
83'
E. Shevchenko ↔ K. Chernook
Slavia Mozyr
🔄
85'
P. Chikida ↔ R. Ngatchou
Slavia Mozyr
🔄
88'
Y. Kuznetsov ↔ N. Romanov
Slavia Mozyr
🔄
89'
A. Ksenofontov ↔ H. Gomis
FC Minsk

FC Minsk vs Slavia Mozyr Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 67.1%
Odds 1.47
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds 1.76
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds 2.04
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
67.1%
1.47
BTTS Yes
75%
1.76
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.3%
2.04
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
68.7%
1.45
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.25
Correct Score 1-2
-
9.50
Probability Distribution
FC Minsk Win 32.9%
Draw 25.2%
Slavia Mozyr Win 41.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Minsk1.15
Slavia Mozyr1.31
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC Minsk FC Minsk
WWDLW
38 GF / 48 GA
Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr
WLDWL
34 GF / 32 GA
Key Stats
1.15
Average Goals Scored
1.21
1.45
Average Goals Conceded
1.14
18
BTTS Yes
15
17
Over 2.5
13
1.81
Shots on Goal
1.1

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC Minsk FC Minsk 33 matches
Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr 28 matches
FC Minsk Statistic Slavia Mozyr
10 Wins 11
8 Draws 8
15 Losses 9
38 Goals For 34
48 Goals Against 32
1.15 Avg Goals Scored 1.21
1.45 Avg Goals Conceded 1.14
18 BTTS Yes 15
24 Over 1.5 19
17 Over 2.5 13
8 Over 3.5 7
6 Clean Sheets 11
11 Failed To Score 6
1.81 Shots On Goal 1.1
0.14 Total Shots 0
2.38 Corners 1.15
19.7% Ball Possession 14.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. FC Minsk have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Slavia Mozyr. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with FC Minsk expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Slavia Mozyr in 3-5-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Slavia Mozyr having the stronger overall control.

FC Minsk Analysis

FC Minsk sit 8 with 28 points after 20 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 8 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses, together with goals at 26:26, reflects mixed form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Slavia Mozyr Analysis

From their first 19 matches, Slavia Mozyr have collected 22 points and now occupy 10 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses, while the 20:24 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, FC Minsk won 2 times, Slavia Mozyr won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:9 from FC Minsk's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3.6 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (74.8%)
Predicted formations: FC Minsk 3-4-3 / Slavia Mozyr 3-5-2
H2H summary: FC Minsk wins 2, draws 2, Slavia Mozyr wins 1

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 13 6 3 37:18 19 45
L W D W D
2 21 12 8 1 42:17 25 44
W D D D W
3 21 13 4 4 37:16 21 43
W L D W L
4 23 12 4 7 38:23 15 40
W W W L D
5 23 11 6 6 33:18 15 39
W L W W D
6 22 11 4 7 26:20 6 37
W W D W W
7 23 10 6 7 28:21 7 36
W D L W W
8 23 10 4 9 30:28 2 34
L W W L L
9 22 7 6 9 28:29 -1 27
L L L W D
10 22 6 7 9 23:26 -3 25
L L W L D
11 23 6 7 10 24:38 -14 25
L D W W D
12 23 5 8 10 24:41 -17 23
L D D L L
13 22 5 6 11 22:36 -14 21
W D D D L
14 22 3 9 10 16:27 -11 18
L D L L W
15 23 2 10 11 20:36 -16 16
L D L D D
16 23 3 5 15 20:54 -34 14
W D L L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Pershaya Liga