SWITZERLAND SUPER LEAGUE
13.09.2026 14:30
Thermoplan Arena
FC Luzern
Match Timeline
FC Basel 1893
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
1'
Oscar Kabwit Tshikomb · Assist: Rúben Dantas Fernandes
FC Luzern
4'
Žan Celar · Assist: Kazeem Olaigbe
FC Basel 1893
42'
Philip Otele · Assist: Xherdan Shaqiri
FC Basel 1893
🟨
52'
Bung Hua Freimann
FC Luzern
56'
Xherdan Shaqiri · Assist: Kazeem Olaigbe
FC Basel 1893
🟨
57'
Xherdan Shaqiri
FC Basel 1893
🟨
58'
Kevin Ruegg
FC Basel 1893
🔄
60'
Oscar Kabwit Tshikomb ↔ Bongeli Faveurdi Beenga
FC Luzern
🔄
60'
Mio Zimmermann ↔ Lucas Manuel Silva Ferreira
FC Luzern
🔄
60'
Tyron Owusu ↔ Aurelio Oehlers
FC Luzern
🔄
61'
Philip Otele ↔ Aaron Malouda
FC Basel 1893
🔄
61'
Kevin Ruegg ↔ Clément Michelin
FC Basel 1893
66'
Xherdan Shaqiri · Assist: Kazeem Olaigbe
FC Basel 1893
🔄
72'
Daniel Mikołajewski ↔ Nando Toggenburger
FC Luzern
🔄
72'
Jonas harder ↔ Ludwig Thorell
FC Basel 1893
🔄
72'
Xherdan Shaqiri ↔ giacomo koloto
FC Basel 1893
🔄
83'
Matteo Di Giusto ↔ Lars Villiger
FC Luzern
84'
Lars Villiger · Assist: Bongeli Faveurdi Beenga
FC Luzern
🔄
85'
Žan Celar ↔ Becir Omeragic
FC Basel 1893

FC Luzern vs FC Basel 1893 Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 64%
Odds 1.73
BTTS
Yes
Probability 88%
Odds 1.40
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds 1.45
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
64%
1.73
BTTS Yes
88%
1.40
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
1.45
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
80.8%
1.11
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
8.00
Correct Score 1-2
-
12.00
Probability Distribution
FC Luzern Win 36%
Draw 20.5%
FC Basel 1893 Win 43.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Luzern2.02
FC Basel 18931.91
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC Luzern FC Luzern
WWDLW
23 GF / 23 GA
FC Basel 1893 FC Basel 1893
WLDWL
30 GF / 36 GA
Key Stats
1.77
Average Goals Scored
2
1.77
Average Goals Conceded
2.4
10
BTTS Yes
10
10
Over 2.5
12
4.86
Shots on Goal
3.71

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC Luzern FC Luzern 13 matches
FC Basel 1893 FC Basel 1893 15 matches
FC Luzern Statistic FC Basel 1893
6 Wins 5
3 Draws 3
4 Losses 7
23 Goals For 30
23 Goals Against 36
1.77 Avg Goals Scored 2
1.77 Avg Goals Conceded 2.4
10 BTTS Yes 10
12 Over 1.5 12
10 Over 2.5 12
6 Over 3.5 8
2 Clean Sheets 3
1 Failed To Score 3
4.86 Shots On Goal 3.71
15.57 Total Shots 11.14
5.14 Corners 3.86
43.9% Ball Possession 49.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights FC Basel 1893's more proactive style and FC Luzern's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors FC Basel 1893. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with FC Luzern expected to line up in 4-4-2 and FC Basel 1893 in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward FC Basel 1893 having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

FC Luzern Analysis

Placed 5 with 9 points from 7 outings, FC Luzern continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 10:13 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by M. Di Giusto (3 goals), A. Cigaņiks (3 goals), D. Mikołajewski (1 goals), with creative support from D. Mikołajewski (3 assists), M. Di Giusto (1 assists), A. Oehlers (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

FC Basel 1893 Analysis

FC Basel 1893 arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 3 place with 10 points after 6 matches. The record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 11:9 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Ž. Celar (4 goals), Asane Sow (2 goals), K. Olaigbe (1 goals), with creative support from Asane Sow (2 assists), Ž. Celar (1 assists), K. Olaigbe (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FC Luzern won 5 times, FC Basel 1893 won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:21 from FC Luzern's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (79.5%)
Predicted formations: FC Luzern 4-4-2 / FC Basel 1893 4-3-3
H2H summary: FC Luzern wins 5, draws 4, FC Basel 1893 wins 6

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 6 1 0 19:6 13 19
D W W W W
2 8 4 4 0 28:16 12 16
D D W D W
3 7 5 0 2 17:11 6 15
W W W L W
4 8 4 1 3 16:14 2 13
W L L D W
5 7 3 1 3 12:14 -2 10
L W L L D
6 8 3 1 4 13:19 -6 10
W D L W L
7 8 2 3 3 12:17 -5 9
L D W D W
8 7 2 2 3 10:14 -4 8
W D W L L
9 7 2 1 4 5:8 -3 7
W L L D W
10 7 2 1 4 11:18 -7 7
L L D W L
11 8 2 0 6 17:19 -2 6
L W L W L
12 8 1 3 4 7:11 -4 6
L L D L L
Play-offs
Relegation Play-offs