Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
79.7%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
29.6%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.7%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-1 |
-
|
- |
FC Lugano
FC ST. Gallen
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
FC Lugano
39 matches
FC ST. Gallen
35 matches
| FC Lugano | Statistic | FC ST. Gallen |
|---|---|---|
| 19 | Wins | 18 |
| 10 | Draws | 9 |
| 10 | Losses | 8 |
| 56 | Goals For | 66 |
| 46 | Goals Against | 44 |
| 1.44 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.89 |
| 1.18 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.26 |
| 22 | BTTS Yes | 25 |
| 26 | Over 1.5 | 30 |
| 17 | Over 2.5 | 25 |
| 11 | Over 3.5 | 13 |
| 12 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 4.36 | Shots On Goal | 5.46 |
| 12.49 | Total Shots | 15.66 |
| 3.67 | Corners | 5.4 |
| 53.3% | Ball Possession | 44.9% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with FC Lugano expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and FC ST. Gallen in 3-1-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward FC ST. Gallen having the stronger overall control. FC Lugano come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward FC ST. Gallen. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.
FC Lugano come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 63 points after 35 matches. They have recorded 18 wins, 9 draws, and 8 losses, with a 52:38 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on Kevin Behrens (11 goals), A. Grgic (7 goals), R. Steffen (7 goals), with creative support from D. Dos Santos (10 assists), A. Grgic (6 assists), R. Steffen (3 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have managed 11 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
FC ST. Gallen come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 2 with 63 points from 35 matches. Their overall return of 18 wins, 9 draws, and 8 losses with goals at 66:44 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by A. Vogt (15 goals), C. Boukhalfa (11 goals), A. Balde (10 goals), with creative support from Lukas Görtler (6 assists), C. Witzig (4 assists), A. Vogt (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 8 wins, 7 draws, and 2 losses fits a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FC Lugano won 4 times, FC ST. Gallen won 6 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:21 from FC Lugano's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 12 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.
FC Lugano
6
9
2
6
3
4
Lineups
FC Lugano
Dukagjini
FC Lugano
FC Vaduz
FC Lugano
1. FC Heidenheim
FC Lugano
Memmingen
FC Lugano
Rapperswil
FC Lugano
Neuchatel Xamax FC
FC Lugano
FC Basel 1893
FC Lugano
FC Sion
FC Lugano
BSC Young Boys
FC Lugano
FC Thun
FC Lugano
FC Zurich
FC Lugano
FC Thun
FC Lugano
Taverne
FC Lugano
BSC Young Boys
FC Lugano
FC ST. Gallen
FC Lugano
FC Luzern
FC Lugano
FC Sion
FC Lugano
Grasshoppers
FC Lugano
Lausanne
FC Lugano
FC Basel 1893
FC ST. Gallen
Benfica
FC ST. Gallen
Norwich
FC ST. Gallen
Lyon
FC ST. Gallen
FC Winterthur
FC ST. Gallen
SCR Altach
FC ST. Gallen
FC Thun
FC ST. Gallen
FC Basel 1893
FC ST. Gallen
FC Sion
FC ST. Gallen
BSC Young Boys
FC ST. Gallen
FC Luzern
FC ST. Gallen
FC Zurich
FC ST. Gallen
FC Sion
FC ST. Gallen
FC Lugano
FC ST. Gallen
FC Basel 1893
FC ST. Gallen
FC Thun
FC ST. Gallen
FC Winterthur
FC ST. Gallen
Servette FC
FC ST. Gallen
FC Winterthur
FC ST. Gallen
Grasshoppers
FC ST. Gallen
BSC Young Boys
FC Lugano
Dukagjini
FC Lugano
FC Vaduz
FC Lugano
Rapperswil
FC Lugano
Neuchatel Xamax FC
FC Lugano
FC Basel 1893
FC Lugano
BSC Young Boys
FC Lugano
FC Thun
FC Lugano
Taverne
FC Lugano
FC Luzern
FC Lugano
FC Sion
FC Lugano
Lausanne
FC Lugano
Servette FC
FC Lugano
FC Winterthur
FC Lugano
Plzen
FC Lugano
1. FC Köln
FC Lugano
BSC Young Boys
FC Lugano
Servette FC
FC Lugano
FC Sion
FC Lugano
FC ST. Gallen
FC Lugano
FC Luzern
FC ST. Gallen
Lyon
FC ST. Gallen
FC Winterthur
FC ST. Gallen
FC Basel 1893
FC ST. Gallen
BSC Young Boys
FC ST. Gallen
FC Luzern
FC ST. Gallen
FC Sion
FC ST. Gallen
FC Thun
FC ST. Gallen
Servette FC
FC ST. Gallen
FC Winterthur
FC ST. Gallen
Lausanne
FC ST. Gallen
FC Luzern
FC ST. Gallen
Grasshoppers
FC ST. Gallen
FC Thun
FC ST. Gallen
FC Basel 1893
FC ST. Gallen
FC Lugano
FC ST. Gallen
FC Sion
FC ST. Gallen
BSC Young Boys
FC ST. Gallen
FC Zurich
FC ST. Gallen
Lausanne
FC ST. Gallen
Servette FC
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 33 | 24 | 2 | 7 | 75:37 | 38 | 74 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 2 |
FC ST. Gallen
Away
|
33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 64:40 | 24 | 60 |
D
W
W
L
W
|
| 3 |
FC Lugano
Home
|
33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 50:38 | 12 | 57 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
| 4 | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 51:45 | 6 | 53 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 5 | 33 | 13 | 13 | 7 | 51:35 | 16 | 52 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 65:60 | 5 | 48 |
D
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 7 | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 64:61 | 3 | 40 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 33 | 9 | 13 | 11 | 57:57 | 0 | 40 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 47:57 | -10 | 39 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 33 | 10 | 4 | 19 | 45:63 | -18 | 34 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 33 | 6 | 9 | 18 | 40:65 | -25 | 27 |
W
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 33 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 35:86 | -51 | 19 |
L
L
W
D
L
|