Login Register
RUSSIA › PREMIER LEAGUE
10.10.2026 16:30
Ozon Arena
Referee: Inal Tanashev, Russia
FC Krasnodar
Match Timeline
Zenit
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
17'
Aleksandr Sobolev
Zenit
🟨
19'
Daniil Utkin
FC Krasnodar
🟨
31'
Lucas Olaza
FC Krasnodar
🟨
31'
Luiz Henrique
Zenit
⚽
40'
M. Glushenkov · Assist: Douglas Santos
Zenit
🟨
45+2'
Aleksandr Chernikov
FC Krasnodar
⚽
45'
M. Glushenkov · Assist: Pedrinho
Zenit
🔄
46'
V. Paltsev ↔ I. Vakhania
FC Krasnodar
🟨
50'
Douglas Santos
Zenit
⚽
53'
A. Sobolev · Assist: Pedrinho
Zenit
⚽
55'
Joao Batxi
FC Krasnodar
🔄
61'
A. Chernikov ↔ M. Ozdoev
FC Krasnodar
VAR
63'
Maksim Glushenkov
Zenit
⚽
71'
J. Cordoba · Assist: I. Vakhania
FC Krasnodar
🔄
74'
A. Karpukas ↔ K. Andrade
Zenit
VAR
78'
Vítor Tormena
FC Krasnodar
🟥
80'
Vítor Tormena
FC Krasnodar
🔄
81'
Luiz Henrique ↔ Jhon Jhon
Zenit
🔄
81'
M. Glushenkov ↔ D. Kondakov
Zenit
🔄
82'
Christian ↔ J. Boselli
FC Krasnodar
🔄
83'
Joao Batxi ↔ M. Rodriguez
FC Krasnodar
🔄
85'
D. Utkin ↔ S. Petrov
FC Krasnodar
🟨
90+6'
Magomed Ozdoev
FC Krasnodar

FC Krasnodar vs Zenit Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 46.1%
Odds 2.96
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 1.77
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 62.1%
Odds 2.09
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
46.1%
2.96 ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
1.77 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
62.1%
2.09 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.30 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
4.70 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
10.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
FC Krasnodar Win 46.1%
Draw 15.2%
Zenit Win 38.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Krasnodar1.49
Zenit1.63
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC Krasnodar FC Krasnodar
WWDLW
37 GF / 17 GA
Zenit Zenit
WLDWL
53 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
1.95
Average Goals Scored
2.12
0.89
Average Goals Conceded
0.8
10
BTTS Yes
11
11
Over 2.5
15
5.11
Shots on Goal
5.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC Krasnodar FC Krasnodar 19 matches
Zenit Zenit 25 matches
FC Krasnodar Statistic Zenit
11 Wins 17
6 Draws 4
2 Losses 4
37 Goals For 53
17 Goals Against 20
1.95 Avg Goals Scored 2.12
0.89 Avg Goals Conceded 0.8
10 BTTS Yes 11
13 Over 1.5 20
11 Over 2.5 15
7 Over 3.5 8
7 Clean Sheets 12
3 Failed To Score 3
5.11 Shots On Goal 5.67
15.44 Total Shots 15.44
4.33 Corners 5.78
57.9% Ball Possession 60.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Zenit. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

FC Krasnodar Analysis

FC Krasnodar arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 1 place with 21 points after 9 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, while the 14:7 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Going forward they rely heavily on Nikita Krivtsov (3 goals), Jubal (3 goals), Christian (2 goals), with creative support from Christian (2 assists), L. Olaza (2 assists), D. Vorobjev (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Zenit Analysis

Zenit approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 5 on 18 points after 9 outings. The return of 6 wins, 0 draws, and 3 defeats, together with goals at 19:9, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through M. Glushenkov (6 goals), A. Sobolev (4 goals), Luiz Henrique (2 goals), with creative support from Pedro Henrique (3 assists), M. Glushenkov (1 assists), A. Sobolev (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, they have managed 4 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FC Krasnodar won 2 times, Zenit won 9 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:29 from FC Krasnodar's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.8%)
Predicted formations: FC Krasnodar 4-2-3-1 / Zenit 4-2-3-1
Missing players: FC Krasnodar 2, Zenit 2
H2H summary: FC Krasnodar wins 2, draws 4, Zenit wins 9

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 1 2 15:8 7 22
W W W W W
2 10 6 4 0 18:9 9 22
W W D W D
3
Zenit Away
10 7 0 3 22:11 11 21
W W W L W
4 10 6 3 1 16:10 6 21
L D D D W
5 10 6 2 2 17:8 9 20
D W W L D
6 10 2 6 2 12:12 0 12
L D D D W
7 10 2 6 2 11:10 1 12
W D L D D
8 10 3 3 4 14:12 2 12
D L D L W
9 10 4 0 6 15:20 -5 12
L L L W L
10 10 2 6 2 14:15 -1 12
D D W D D
11 10 2 5 3 13:13 0 11
D L W D D
12 10 3 2 5 11:17 -6 11
W L L W L
13 10 2 4 4 13:11 2 10
W D L W L
14 10 1 5 4 11:19 -8 8
L W D D D
15 10 1 2 7 10:25 -15 5
L D L L L
16 10 0 3 7 6:18 -12 3
L L D L L
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - FNL