Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
66.7%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
86%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
FC Krasnodar Win 66.7%
Draw 5%
Fakel Win 28.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Krasnodar1.88
Fakel1.44
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC Krasnodar
WWDLW
23 GF / 11 GA
Fakel
WLDWL
20 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
2.3
Average Goals Scored
1.67
1.1
Average Goals Conceded
1.25
6
BTTS Yes
9
7
Over 2.5
6
8
Shots on Goal
3
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
FC Krasnodar
10 matches
Fakel
12 matches
| FC Krasnodar | Statistic | Fakel |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 4 |
| 3 | Draws | 5 |
| 2 | Losses | 3 |
| 23 | Goals For | 20 |
| 11 | Goals Against | 15 |
| 2.3 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.67 |
| 1.1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.25 |
| 6 | BTTS Yes | 9 |
| 8 | Over 1.5 | 9 |
| 7 | Over 2.5 | 6 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 8 | Shots On Goal | 3 |
| 19 | Total Shots | 12 |
| 4 | Corners | 8 |
| 73% | Ball Possession | 57% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, FC Krasnodar won 2 times, Fakel won 0 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:5 from FC Krasnodar's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.83 goals per game.
1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95%)
Predicted formations: FC Krasnodar 4-2-3-1 / Fakel 5-3-2
H2H summary: FC Krasnodar wins 2, draws 4, Fakel wins 0
Last matches: FC Krasnodar
26.07.26
Pre
FC Krasnodar
Rubin
3
1
W
19.07.26
Fri
FC Krasnodar
Baltika
1
1
D
11.07.26
Fri
FC Krasnodar
FC Rostov
3
3
D
25.06.26
Fri
FC Krasnodar
PSK Dinskaya
5
1
W
17.05.26
Pre
FC Krasnodar
FC Orenburg
3
0
W
11.05.26
Pre
FC Krasnodar
Dynamo
1
2
L
03.05.26
Pre
FC Krasnodar
Akron
1
0
W
26.04.26
Pre
FC Krasnodar
Dinamo Makhachkala
2
1
W
23.04.26
Pre
FC Krasnodar
Spartak Moscow
2
1
W
19.04.26
Pre
FC Krasnodar
Baltika
2
2
D
12.04.26
Pre
FC Krasnodar
Zenit
1
1
D
04.04.26
Pre
FC Krasnodar
Akhmat
1
0
W
28.03.26
Fri
FC Krasnodar
Amkal
4
0
W
21.03.26
Pre
FC Krasnodar
Nizhny Novgorod
5
0
W
14.03.26
Pre
FC Krasnodar
FC Sochi
2
1
W
08.03.26
Pre
FC Krasnodar
Rubin
1
2
L
28.02.26
Pre
FC Krasnodar
FC Rostov
2
1
W
17.02.26
Fri
FC Krasnodar
Zenit
0
1
L
10.02.26
Fri
FC Krasnodar
Dynamo
0
1
L
06.02.26
Fri
FC Krasnodar
Zenit
3
0
W
Last matches: Fakel
25.07.26
Pre
Fakel
Dinamo Makhachkala
1
2
L
15.07.26
Fri
Fakel
FC Rostov
1
2
L
11.07.26
Fri
Fakel
Akron
1
1
D
07.07.26
Fri
Fakel
FC Rostov
3
1
W
19.02.26
Fri
Fakel
Sogdiana
1
0
W
12.02.26
Fri
Fakel
Baltika
0
1
L
12.02.26
Fri
Fakel
Zhenys
5
1
W
05.02.26
Fri
Fakel
FC Sochi
2
2
D
31.01.26
Fri
Fakel
Sloga Doboj
1
1
D
31.01.26
Fri
Fakel
Grafičar
1
1
D
27.01.26
Fri
Fakel
Qizilqum
3
3
D
20.01.26
Fri
Fakel
Radnik Surdulica
1
0
W
H2H: FC Krasnodar vs Fakel
30.03.25
H2H
FC Krasnodar
Fakel
5
0
W
04.08.24
H2H
Fakel
FC Krasnodar
0
0
D
19.04.24
H2H
Krasnodar
Fakel Voronezh
2
0
L
25.08.23
H2H
Fakel Voronezh
Krasnodar
0
0
D
05.11.22
H2H
Fakel Voronezh
Krasnodar
3
3
D
17.07.22
H2H
Krasnodar
Fakel Voronezh
2
2
D
Last matches: FC Krasnodar
19.07.26
Fri
FC Krasnodar
Baltika
1
1
D
11.07.26
Fri
FC Krasnodar
FC Rostov
3
3
D
25.06.26
Fri
FC Krasnodar
PSK Dinskaya
5
1
W
17.05.26
Pre
FC Krasnodar
FC Orenburg
3
0
W
26.04.26
Pre
FC Krasnodar
Dinamo Makhachkala
2
1
W
19.04.26
Pre
FC Krasnodar
Baltika
2
2
D
28.03.26
Fri
FC Krasnodar
Amkal
4
0
W
21.03.26
Pre
FC Krasnodar
Nizhny Novgorod
5
0
W
28.02.26
Pre
FC Krasnodar
FC Rostov
2
1
W
17.02.26
Fri
FC Krasnodar
Zenit
0
1
L
06.02.26
Fri
FC Krasnodar
Zenit
3
0
W
27.01.26
Fri
FC Krasnodar
Yelimay Semey
2
1
W
07.12.25
Pre
FC Krasnodar
CSKA Moscow
3
2
W
30.11.25
Pre
FC Krasnodar
Krylia Sovetov
5
0
W
02.11.25
Pre
FC Krasnodar
Spartak Moscow
2
1
W
26.10.25
Pre
FC Krasnodar
Rubin
1
0
W
04.10.25
Pre
FC Krasnodar
Akhmat
2
0
W
21.09.25
Pre
FC Krasnodar
Zenit
0
2
L
13.09.25
Pre
FC Krasnodar
Akron
2
1
W
17.08.25
Pre
FC Krasnodar
FC Sochi
5
1
W
H2H at home: FC Krasnodar
30.03.25
H2H
FC Krasnodar
Fakel
5
0
W
Last matches: Fakel
15.07.26
Fri
Fakel
FC Rostov
1
2
L
11.07.26
Fri
Fakel
Akron
1
1
D
19.02.26
Fri
Fakel
Sogdiana
1
0
W
12.02.26
Fri
Fakel
Baltika
0
1
L
05.02.26
Fri
Fakel
FC Sochi
2
2
D
31.01.26
Fri
Fakel
Sloga Doboj
1
1
D
20.01.26
Fri
Fakel
Radnik Surdulica
1
0
W
H2H away: Fakel
30.03.25
H2H
FC Krasnodar
Fakel
5
0
L