RUSSIA › PREMIER LEAGUE

02.08.2026 15:15

FC Krasnodar

3 - 2

Fakel

Ozon Arena

Referee: Stanislav Matveev, Russia

FC Krasnodar

Match Timeline

Fakel

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

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VAR

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FC Krasnodar vs Fakel Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

Home Win

Probability 66.7%

Odds -

BTTS

Yes

Probability 86%

Odds -

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Probability 77.2%

Odds -

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	Home Win	66.7%	-	▥
BTTS	Yes	86%	-	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Over 2.5	77.2%	-	▥
Corners O/U	Over 7.5 Corners	92%	-	▥
HT / FT	Home / Home	-	-	▥
Correct Score	2-1	-	-	▥

Probability Distribution

FC Krasnodar Win 66.7%

Draw 5%

Fakel Win 28.3%

Expected Goals (xG)

FC Krasnodar1.88

Fakel1.44

Recent Form (Last 5)

FC Krasnodar

WWDLW

23 GF / 11 GA

Fakel

WLDWL

20 GF / 15 GA

Key Stats

2.3

Average Goals Scored

1.67

1.1

Average Goals Conceded

1.25

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

Shots on Goal

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC Krasnodar 10 matches

Fakel 12 matches

FC Krasnodar	Statistic	Fakel
5	Wins	4
3	Draws	5
2	Losses	3
23	Goals For	20
11	Goals Against	15
2.3	Avg Goals Scored	1.67
1.1	Avg Goals Conceded	1.25
6	BTTS Yes	9
8	Over 1.5	9
7	Over 2.5	6
5	Over 3.5	4
2	Clean Sheets	2
2	Failed To Score	1
8	Shots On Goal	3
19	Total Shots	12
4	Corners	8
71%	Ball Possession	57%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, FC Krasnodar won 3 times, Fakel won 0 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:7 from FC Krasnodar's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3.14 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win

BTTS: Yes

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (95%)

Predicted formations: FC Krasnodar 4-2-3-1 / Fakel 5-3-2

Missing players: FC Krasnodar 1, Fakel 1

H2H summary: FC Krasnodar wins 3, draws 4, Fakel wins 0

Standings

Premier League

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Dynamo	10	7	1	2	15:8	7	22	W W W W W
2	CSKA Moscow	10	6	4	0	18:9	9	22	W W D W D
3	Zenit	10	7	0	3	22:11	11	21	W W W L W
4	FC Krasnodar Home	10	6	3	1	16:10	6	21	L D D D W
5	Spartak Moscow	10	6	2	2	17:8	9	20	D W W L D
6	Rubin	10	2	6	2	12:12	0	12	L D D D W
7	FC Orenburg	10	2	6	2	11:10	1	12	W D L D D
8	Baltika	10	3	3	4	14:12	2	12	D L D L W
9	Dinamo Makhachkala	10	4	0	6	15:20	-5	12	L L L W L
10	Krylia Sovetov	10	2	6	2	14:15	-1	12	D D W D D
11	Akhmat	10	2	5	3	13:13	0	11	D L W D D
12	FC Rostov	10	3	2	5	11:17	-6	11	W L L W L
13	Lokomotiv	10	2	4	4	13:11	2	10	W D L W L
14	Akron	10	1	5	4	11:19	-8	8	L W D D D
15	Rodina Moskva	10	1	2	7	10:25	-15	5	L D L L L
16	Fakel Away	10	0	3	7	6:18	-12	3	L L D L L

Premier League (Relegation)

Relegation - FNL