RUSSIA PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Ozon Arena

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 55.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
55.4%
-
BTTS Yes
75.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
69%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
FC Krasnodar Win 55.4%
Draw 11.4%
Akhmat Win 33.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Krasnodar1.72
Akhmat1.56
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC Krasnodar FC Krasnodar
WWDLW
26 GF / 13 GA
Akhmat Akhmat
WLDWL
29 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
2.36
Average Goals Scored
1.81
1.18
Average Goals Conceded
0.75
7
BTTS Yes
7
8
Over 2.5
9
6.5
Shots on Goal
5.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC Krasnodar FC Krasnodar 11 matches
Akhmat Akhmat 16 matches
FC Krasnodar Statistic Akhmat
6 Wins 10
3 Draws 3
2 Losses 3
26 Goals For 29
13 Goals Against 12
2.36 Avg Goals Scored 1.81
1.18 Avg Goals Conceded 0.75
7 BTTS Yes 7
9 Over 1.5 12
8 Over 2.5 9
6 Over 3.5 3
2 Clean Sheets 8
2 Failed To Score 1
6.5 Shots On Goal 5.5
15 Total Shots 13
3 Corners 3
64.5% Ball Possession 40%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FC Krasnodar won 6 times, Akhmat won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:20 from FC Krasnodar's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.6%)
Predicted formations: FC Krasnodar 4-2-3-1 / Akhmat 5-4-1
H2H summary: FC Krasnodar wins 6, draws 4, Akhmat wins 5
Last matches: FC Krasnodar
02.08.26
Pre
FC Krasnodar
Fakel
3
2
W
26.07.26
Pre
FC Krasnodar
Rubin
3
1
W
19.07.26
Fri
FC Krasnodar
Baltika
1
1
D
11.07.26
Fri
FC Krasnodar
FC Rostov
3
3
D
25.06.26
Fri
FC Krasnodar
PSK Dinskaya
5
1
W
17.05.26
Pre
FC Krasnodar
FC Orenburg
3
0
W
11.05.26
Pre
FC Krasnodar
Dynamo
1
2
L
03.05.26
Pre
FC Krasnodar
Akron
1
0
W
26.04.26
Pre
FC Krasnodar
Dinamo Makhachkala
2
1
W
23.04.26
Pre
FC Krasnodar
Spartak Moscow
2
1
W
19.04.26
Pre
FC Krasnodar
Baltika
2
2
D
12.04.26
Pre
FC Krasnodar
Zenit
1
1
D
04.04.26
Pre
FC Krasnodar
Akhmat
1
0
W
28.03.26
Fri
FC Krasnodar
Amkal
4
0
W
21.03.26
Pre
FC Krasnodar
Nizhny Novgorod
5
0
W
14.03.26
Pre
FC Krasnodar
FC Sochi
2
1
W
08.03.26
Pre
FC Krasnodar
Rubin
1
2
L
28.02.26
Pre
FC Krasnodar
FC Rostov
2
1
W
17.02.26
Fri
FC Krasnodar
Zenit
0
1
L
10.02.26
Fri
FC Krasnodar
Dynamo
0
1
L
Last matches: Akhmat
02.08.26
Pre
Akhmat
Spartak Moscow
1
2
L
26.07.26
Pre
Akhmat
Lokomotiv
1
1
D
16.07.26
Fri
Akhmat
Ajman
1
0
W
14.07.26
Fri
Akhmat
Radnik Bijeljina
3
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Akhmat
IMT Novi Beograd
1
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
Akhmat
Novi Pazar
1
1
D
29.06.26
Fri
Akhmat
Borac Banja Luka
3
1
W
27.06.26
Fri
Akhmat
OFK Beograd
3
0
W
17.05.26
Pre
Akhmat
FC Sochi
1
1
D
10.05.26
Pre
Akhmat
Dinamo Makhachkala
1
1
D
03.05.26
Pre
Akhmat
Nizhny Novgorod
2
0
W
26.04.26
Pre
Akhmat
Zenit
0
2
L
23.04.26
Pre
Akhmat
Baltika
1
1
D
19.04.26
Pre
Akhmat
Spartak Moscow
1
3
L
11.04.26
Pre
Akhmat
Krylia Sovetov
2
2
D
04.04.26
Pre
Akhmat
FC Krasnodar
0
1
L
21.03.26
Pre
Akhmat
FC Rostov
1
0
W
15.03.26
Pre
Akhmat
Akron
1
1
D
09.03.26
Pre
Akhmat
Lokomotiv
2
2
D
01.03.26
Pre
Akhmat
CSKA Moscow
1
0
W
H2H: FC Krasnodar vs Akhmat
04.04.26
H2H
Akhmat
FC Krasnodar
0
1
W
04.10.25
H2H
FC Krasnodar
Akhmat
2
0
W
19.04.25
H2H
FC Krasnodar
Akhmat
3
1
W
11.03.25
H2H
FC Krasnodar
Akhmat
1
2
L
02.10.24
H2H
Akhmat
FC Krasnodar
3
0
L
15.08.24
H2H
FC Krasnodar
Akhmat
1
0
W
21.07.24
H2H
Akhmat
FC Krasnodar
1
1
D
04.05.24
H2H
Krasnodar
Akhmat Grozny
0
1
W
16.09.23
H2H
Akhmat Grozny
Krasnodar
1
1
D
03.06.23
H2H
Akhmat Grozny
Krasnodar
2
2
D
15.03.23
H2H
Akhmat Grozny
Krasnodar
0
3
W
15.10.22
H2H
Krasnodar
Akhmat Grozny
2
3
W
21.05.22
H2H
Krasnodar
Akhmat Grozny
1
1
D
18.09.21
H2H
Akhmat Grozny
Krasnodar
0
2
W
03.04.21
H2H
Krasnodar
Akhmat Grozny
0
5
W
Last matches: FC Krasnodar
02.08.26
Pre
FC Krasnodar
Fakel
3
2
W
19.07.26
Fri
FC Krasnodar
Baltika
1
1
D
11.07.26
Fri
FC Krasnodar
FC Rostov
3
3
D
25.06.26
Fri
FC Krasnodar
PSK Dinskaya
5
1
W
17.05.26
Pre
FC Krasnodar
FC Orenburg
3
0
W
26.04.26
Pre
FC Krasnodar
Dinamo Makhachkala
2
1
W
19.04.26
Pre
FC Krasnodar
Baltika
2
2
D
28.03.26
Fri
FC Krasnodar
Amkal
4
0
W
21.03.26
Pre
FC Krasnodar
Nizhny Novgorod
5
0
W
28.02.26
Pre
FC Krasnodar
FC Rostov
2
1
W
17.02.26
Fri
FC Krasnodar
Zenit
0
1
L
06.02.26
Fri
FC Krasnodar
Zenit
3
0
W
27.01.26
Fri
FC Krasnodar
Yelimay Semey
2
1
W
07.12.25
Pre
FC Krasnodar
CSKA Moscow
3
2
W
30.11.25
Pre
FC Krasnodar
Krylia Sovetov
5
0
W
02.11.25
Pre
FC Krasnodar
Spartak Moscow
2
1
W
26.10.25
Pre
FC Krasnodar
Rubin
1
0
W
04.10.25
Pre
FC Krasnodar
Akhmat
2
0
W
21.09.25
Pre
FC Krasnodar
Zenit
0
2
L
13.09.25
Pre
FC Krasnodar
Akron
2
1
W
H2H at home: FC Krasnodar
04.10.25
H2H
FC Krasnodar
Akhmat
2
0
W
19.04.25
H2H
FC Krasnodar
Akhmat
3
1
W
11.03.25
H2H
FC Krasnodar
Akhmat
1
2
L
15.08.24
H2H
FC Krasnodar
Akhmat
1
0
W
Last matches: Akhmat
26.07.26
Pre
Akhmat
Lokomotiv
1
1
D
14.07.26
Fri
Akhmat
Radnik Bijeljina
3
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Akhmat
IMT Novi Beograd
1
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
Akhmat
Novi Pazar
1
1
D
17.05.26
Pre
Akhmat
FC Sochi
1
1
D
26.04.26
Pre
Akhmat
Zenit
0
2
L
19.04.26
Pre
Akhmat
Spartak Moscow
1
3
L
11.04.26
Pre
Akhmat
Krylia Sovetov
2
2
D
15.03.26
Pre
Akhmat
Akron
1
1
D
09.03.26
Pre
Akhmat
Lokomotiv
2
2
D
18.02.26
Fri
Akhmat
Baltika
2
2
D
13.01.26
Fri
Akhmat
Novi Pazar
0
1
L
22.11.25
Pre
Akhmat
Rubin
0
1
L
02.11.25
Pre
Akhmat
Baltika
0
2
L
19.10.25
Pre
Akhmat
Dynamo
2
2
D
04.10.25
Pre
Akhmat
FC Krasnodar
0
2
L
20.09.25
Pre
Akhmat
Nizhny Novgorod
2
1
W
30.08.25
Pre
Akhmat
FC Rostov
1
1
D
22.08.25
Pre
Akhmat
FC Orenburg
2
2
D
03.08.25
Pre
Akhmat
Dinamo Makhachkala
0
1
L
H2H away: Akhmat
04.10.25
H2H
FC Krasnodar
Akhmat
2
0
L
19.04.25
H2H
FC Krasnodar
Akhmat
3
1
L
11.03.25
H2H
FC Krasnodar
Akhmat
1
2
W
15.08.24
H2H
FC Krasnodar
Akhmat
1
0
L

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 2 2 0 0 8:0 8 6
W W
2 2 2 0 0 5:1 4 6
W W
3 2 2 0 0 6:3 3 6
W W
4 2 2 0 0 4:2 2 6
W W
5 2 1 1 0 3:2 1 4
D W
6 2 1 0 1 2:4 -2 3
L W
7 2 1 0 1 3:3 0 3
W L
8 2 1 0 1 3:4 -1 3
W L
9 2 1 0 1 5:4 1 3
W L
10 2 0 2 0 1:1 0 2
D D
11 2 0 1 1 2:3 -1 1
L D
12 2 0 1 1 2:3 -1 1
L D
13 2 0 1 1 1:2 -1 1
L D
14 2 0 0 2 3:5 -2 0
L L
15 2 0 0 2 2:7 -5 0
L L
16 2 0 0 2 1:7 -6 0
L L
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - FNL