Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
59.6%
|
1.93 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
88%
|
1.44 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
82.2%
|
1.45 | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
84.1%
|
1.37 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
3.00 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
7.00 |
FC Cincinnati
New York City FC
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
FC Cincinnati
28 matches
New York City FC
24 matches
| FC Cincinnati | Statistic | New York City FC |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Wins | 8 |
| 8 | Draws | 7 |
| 8 | Losses | 9 |
| 71 | Goals For | 39 |
| 56 | Goals Against | 34 |
| 2.54 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.63 |
| 2 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.42 |
| 20 | BTTS Yes | 16 |
| 25 | Over 1.5 | 22 |
| 19 | Over 2.5 | 13 |
| 17 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 5.43 | Shots On Goal | 4.84 |
| 12.52 | Total Shots | 11.68 |
| 4.09 | Corners | 3.47 |
| 45% | Ball Possession | 54.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with FC Cincinnati expected to line up in 3-4-3 and New York City FC in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward New York City FC having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring New York City FC. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.
FC Cincinnati sit 6 with 26 points after 18 league matches. Their overall return of 7 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 45:44 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Evander (10 goals), Kévin Denkey (9 goals), Tom Barlow (4 goals), with creative support from Evander (7 assists), Pavel Bucha (4 assists), Ender Echenique (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 6 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses fits a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Placed 5 with 26 points from 18 outings, New York City FC continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 7 wins, 5 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 31:24 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Nicolás Fernández (8 goals), Agustin Ojeda (3 goals), Hannes Wolf (3 goals), with creative support from Nicolás Fernández (3 assists), Agustin Ojeda (3 assists), Hannes Wolf (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FC Cincinnati won 6 times, New York City FC won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:22 from FC Cincinnati's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.2 goals per game.
FC Cincinnati
Orlando City SC
FC Cincinnati
San Jose Earthquakes
FC Cincinnati
Columbus Crew
FC Cincinnati
Vancouver Whitecaps
FC Cincinnati
Burnley
FC Cincinnati
Orlando City SC
FC Cincinnati
San Diego
FC Cincinnati
Inter Miami
FC Cincinnati
Charlotte
FC Cincinnati
Chicago Fire
FC Cincinnati
New York Red Bulls
FC Cincinnati
New York City FC
FC Cincinnati
Chicago Fire
FC Cincinnati
Toronto FC
FC Cincinnati
New York Red Bulls
FC Cincinnati
CF Montreal
FC Cincinnati
Tigres UANL
FC Cincinnati
New England Revolution
FC Cincinnati
Tigres UANL
FC Cincinnati
Toronto FC
New York City FC
Philadelphia Union
New York City FC
Toronto FC
New York City FC
Chicago Fire
New York City FC
Columbus Crew
New York City FC
Nashville SC
New York City FC
New York Red Bulls
New York City FC
Charlotte
New York City FC
Columbus Crew
New York City FC
DC United
New York City FC
CF Montreal
New York City FC
FC Cincinnati
New York City FC
Charlotte
New York City FC
Vancouver Whitecaps
New York City FC
St. Louis City
New York City FC
Inter Miami
New York City FC
Colorado Rapids
New York City FC
Orlando City SC
New York City FC
Philadelphia Union
New York City FC
Los Angeles Galaxy
New York City FC
San Jose Earthquakes
FC Cincinnati
San Jose Earthquakes
FC Cincinnati
Vancouver Whitecaps
FC Cincinnati
Burnley
FC Cincinnati
Orlando City SC
FC Cincinnati
Inter Miami
FC Cincinnati
New York Red Bulls
FC Cincinnati
Chicago Fire
FC Cincinnati
CF Montreal
FC Cincinnati
Tigres UANL
FC Cincinnati
Toronto FC
FC Cincinnati
Universidad O&M
FC Cincinnati
Atlanta United FC
FC Cincinnati
Detroit City
New York City FC
Columbus Crew
New York City FC
Nashville SC
New York City FC
New York Red Bulls
New York City FC
Charlotte
New York City FC
CF Montreal
New York City FC
Vancouver Whitecaps
New York City FC
Philadelphia Union
New York City FC
Los Angeles Galaxy
New York City FC
San Jose Earthquakes
New York City FC
Sporting Kansas City
New York City FC
Los Angeles FC
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 39:15 | 24 | 43 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 46:36 | 10 | 38 |
L
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 34:24 | 10 | 32 |
W
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 4 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 29:25 | 4 | 30 |
L
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 32:28 | 4 | 28 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 6 |
FC Cincinnati
Home
|
19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 46:45 | 1 | 27 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
| 7 |
New York City FC
Away
|
19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 33:27 | 6 | 26 |
L
D
W
W
L
|
| 8 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 30:41 | -11 | 25 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 19 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 27:30 | -3 | 24 |
D
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 10 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 31:48 | -17 | 21 |
D
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 11 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 27:31 | -4 | 20 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 26:33 | -7 | 20 |
W
D
L
D
D
|
|
| 13 | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 28:35 | -7 | 19 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 25:36 | -11 | 17 |
D
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 15 | 19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 21:34 | -13 | 15 |
W
L
L
D
L
|