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AUSTRALIA › VICTORIA NPL
19.08.2026 10:30
Genis Steel Stadium
Preston Lions
Match Timeline
Melbourne City II
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
33'
C. Cuba
Preston Lions
⚽
55'
F. Brown
Preston Lions
⚽
68'
J. Ali
Preston Lions
⚽
84'
L. Tevere
Preston Lions

Preston Lions vs Melbourne City II Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 60.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
60.1%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
75%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Preston Lions Win 60.1%
Draw 8.2%
Melbourne City II Win 31.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Preston Lions1.46
Melbourne City II1.33
Recent Form (Last 5)
Preston Lions Preston Lions
WWDLW
36 GF / 18 GA
Melbourne City II Melbourne City II
WLDWL
39 GF / 30 GA
Key Stats
1.57
Average Goals Scored
1.7
0.78
Average Goals Conceded
1.3
8
BTTS Yes
12
11
Over 2.5
12
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Preston Lions Preston Lions 23 matches
Melbourne City II Melbourne City II 23 matches
Preston Lions Statistic Melbourne City II
14 Wins 8
4 Draws 6
5 Losses 9
36 Goals For 39
18 Goals Against 30
1.57 Avg Goals Scored 1.7
0.78 Avg Goals Conceded 1.3
8 BTTS Yes 12
14 Over 1.5 19
11 Over 2.5 12
5 Over 3.5 8
11 Clean Sheets 5
5 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Melbourne City II. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Melbourne City II arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Melbourne City II having the stronger overall control. Preston Lions arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 43 points compared to Melbourne City II in 9 on 30, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Preston Lions Analysis

Operating from 3 place with 43 points from 22 games, Preston Lions bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 13 wins, 4 draws, and 5 defeats, together with goals at 33:18, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained very solid. At home, the split of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Melbourne City II Analysis

Melbourne City II sit 9 with 30 points after 22 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 8 wins, 6 draws, and 8 defeats with a 39:27 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 6 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Preston Lions won 3 times, Melbourne City II won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:5 from Preston Lions's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.83 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.8%)
H2H summary: Preston Lions wins 3, draws 2, Melbourne City II wins 1

Standings

Victoria NPL
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 16 6 4 56:24 32 54
L W L W W
2 26 15 6 5 41:19 22 51
L D D W W
3 26 15 4 7 51:36 15 49
L L W W W
4 26 15 2 9 65:34 31 47
W W W W W
5 26 13 2 11 39:36 3 41
L W L L W
6 26 11 7 8 42:34 8 40
L W W L L
7 26 9 11 6 35:34 1 38
W L W D D
8 26 10 7 9 35:31 4 37
W D W W D
9 26 9 7 10 36:43 -7 34
W W D L W
10 26 8 6 12 42:42 0 30
L L L L L
11 26 7 7 12 28:42 -14 28
D L L D W
12 26 6 6 14 27:51 -24 24
L W D D L
13 26 4 6 16 23:52 -29 18
W L L D D
14 26 4 3 19 23:65 -42 15
L L L L L