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PORTUGAL › PRIMEIRA LIGA
13.09.2026 19:30
Estádio Municipal de Famalicão
Referee: Luís Godinho, Portugal
Famalicao
Match Timeline
Sporting CP
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
27'
Flávio Gonçalves
Sporting CP
🟨
45+1'
Gil Dias
Famalicao
🔄
46'
Gil Dias ↔ R. Beney
Famalicao
🔄
60'
G. Koutsias ↔ U. Abubakar
Famalicao
🔄
64'
Luis Guilherme ↔ R. Zalazar
Sporting CP
🔄
64'
F. Goncalves ↔ F. Ioannidis
Sporting CP
🟨
73'
Geny Catamo
Sporting CP
🔄
75'
I. Doumbia ↔ S. Andersen
Sporting CP
🔄
75'
G. Catamo ↔ N. Irankunda
Sporting CP
🟨
78'
Sorriso
Famalicao
⚽
81'
L. Suarez
Sporting CP
🔄
82'
M. Pena ↔ P. Salas
Famalicao
🔄
83'
Sorriso ↔ O. Aranda
Famalicao
🟨
86'
Luis Javier Suárez
Sporting CP
🟥
87'
Romeo Beney
Famalicao
🟨
90+7'
Iván Fresneda
Sporting CP
🟨
90'
Nestory Irankunda
Sporting CP
⚽
90'
G. Inacio
Famalicao

Famalicao vs Sporting CP Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 68.4%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
68.4%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Famalicao Win 27.2%
Draw 4.4%
Sporting CP Win 68.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Famalicao0.98
Sporting CP2.28
Recent Form (Last 5)
Famalicao Famalicao
WWDLW
11 GF / 6 GA
Sporting CP Sporting CP
WLDWL
34 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1.1
Average Goals Scored
3.4
0.6
Average Goals Conceded
0.8
3
BTTS Yes
6
3
Over 2.5
8
3
Shots on Goal
6.33

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Famalicao Famalicao 10 matches
Sporting CP Sporting CP 10 matches
Famalicao Statistic Sporting CP
3 Wins 9
5 Draws 1
2 Losses 0
11 Goals For 34
6 Goals Against 8
1.1 Avg Goals Scored 3.4
0.6 Avg Goals Conceded 0.8
3 BTTS Yes 6
4 Over 1.5 10
3 Over 2.5 8
2 Over 3.5 8
6 Clean Sheets 4
4 Failed To Score 0
3 Shots On Goal 6.33
10 Total Shots 12.67
6.2 Corners 4.67
57.4% Ball Possession 56.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Sporting CP's more proactive style and Famalicao's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Sporting CP carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 13 points while Famalicao sit 13 on 3, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Sporting CP. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Sporting CP look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match.

Famalicao Analysis

Famalicao sit 13 with 3 points after 5 league matches. Their overall return of 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 4:6 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by G. Koutsias (3 goals), F. van Breemen (1 goals), with creative support from Mathias De Amorim (1 assists), Gil Dias (1 assists), Óscar Aranda (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Sporting CP Analysis

Sporting CP approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 13 points after 5 outings. They have recorded 4 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, with a 14:5 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on L. Suárez (3 goals), Flávio Gonçalves (2 goals), R. Zalazar (1 goals), with creative support from L. Suárez (1 assists), Flávio Gonçalves (1 assists), R. Zalazar (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, their record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Famalicao won 2 times, Sporting CP won 10 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:25 from Famalicao's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.6%)
Predicted formations: Famalicao 4-2-3-1 / Sporting CP 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Famalicao wins 2, draws 3, Sporting CP wins 10

Standings

Primeira Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 8 0 0 20:4 16 24
W W W W W
2 8 6 1 1 24:7 17 19
W L W W W
3 8 5 3 0 20:9 11 18
W D D W W
4 8 5 3 0 12:4 8 18
W D W W D
5 8 4 2 2 11:7 4 14
W D L D W
6 8 4 2 2 11:10 1 14
W W W W L
7 7 3 2 2 6:5 1 11
W D L L D
8 8 3 2 3 13:12 1 11
W W W L D
9 7 3 2 2 8:8 0 11
L D W L W
10 8 2 4 2 14:15 -1 10
L L D W D
11 8 2 2 4 9:14 -5 8
L D L L L
12 8 2 2 4 8:15 -7 8
L D W L L
13 8 1 4 3 10:11 -1 7
L W D D D
14 8 2 1 5 8:17 -9 7
W L D L L
15 8 1 2 5 5:10 -5 5
L D L D L
16 8 1 1 6 9:18 -9 4
L L L L L
17 8 1 1 6 3:17 -14 4
L W L D L
18 8 0 2 6 4:12 -8 2
L L L D L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2