Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home or Draw |
66.8%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
62.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
58.6%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
86.2%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Estudiantes L.P.
Independiente
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Estudiantes L.P.
25 matches
Independiente
19 matches
| Estudiantes L.P. | Statistic | Independiente |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Wins | 8 |
| 7 | Draws | 6 |
| 5 | Losses | 5 |
| 32 | Goals For | 31 |
| 13 | Goals Against | 25 |
| 1.28 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.63 |
| 0.52 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.32 |
| 8 | BTTS Yes | 13 |
| 13 | Over 1.5 | 17 |
| 7 | Over 2.5 | 8 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 12 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 4.96 | Shots On Goal | 4.06 |
| 13.83 | Total Shots | 12.59 |
| 4.52 | Corners | 5.53 |
| 52% | Ball Possession | 52.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Estudiantes L.P. expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Independiente in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Independiente having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Independiente. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Operating from 1 place with 31 points from 16 games, Estudiantes L.P. bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 9 wins, 4 draws, and 3 defeats plus a goal balance of 19:7, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by A. Castro (3 goals), A. Gaich (3 goals), Fabricio Pérez (3 goals), with creative support from B. Aguirre (2 assists), Gastón Benedetti (2 assists), J. Burgos (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, the split of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
Placed 5 with 24 points from 16 outings, Independiente continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 6 wins, 6 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 24:20 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through G. Avalos (10 goals), M. Abaldo (5 goals), M. Gutierrez (2 goals), with creative support from G. Avalos (5 assists), I. Malcorra (3 assists), M. Gutierrez (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Estudiantes L.P. won 4 times, Independiente won 4 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:17 from Estudiantes L.P.'s perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.43 goals per game.
Estudiantes L.P.
3
5
6
6
6
3
Lineups
Estudiantes L.P.
Defensa Y Justicia
Estudiantes L.P.
Rosario Central
Estudiantes L.P.
Independiente Medellin
Estudiantes L.P.
Flamengo
Estudiantes L.P.
Racing Club
Estudiantes L.P.
Cusco
Estudiantes L.P.
Platense
Estudiantes L.P.
Flamengo
Estudiantes L.P.
Talleres Cordoba
Estudiantes L.P.
Instituto Cordoba
Estudiantes L.P.
Cusco
Estudiantes L.P.
Union Santa Fe
Estudiantes L.P.
Independiente Medellin
Estudiantes L.P.
San Lorenzo
Estudiantes L.P.
Central Cordoba de Santiago
Estudiantes L.P.
Gimnasia M.
Estudiantes L.P.
Lanus
Estudiantes L.P.
Velez Sarsfield
Estudiantes L.P.
Newells Old Boys
Estudiantes L.P.
Sarmiento Junin
Independiente
Newells Old Boys
Independiente
Union Santa Fe
Independiente
Rosario Central
Independiente
San Lorenzo
Independiente
Deportivo Riestra
Independiente
Defensa Y Justicia
Independiente
Boca Juniors
Independiente
Racing Club
Independiente
Atenas
Independiente
Talleres Cordoba
Independiente
Instituto Cordoba
Independiente
Union Santa Fe
Independiente
Central Cordoba de Santiago
Independiente
Gimnasia M.
Independiente
Independ. Rivadavia
Independiente
Lanus
Independiente
Platense
Independiente
Velez Sarsfield
Independiente
Newells Old Boys
Independiente
Estudiantes L.P.
Estudiantes L.P.
Defensa Y Justicia
Estudiantes L.P.
Rosario Central
Estudiantes L.P.
Independiente Medellin
Estudiantes L.P.
Racing Club
Estudiantes L.P.
Flamengo
Estudiantes L.P.
Talleres Cordoba
Estudiantes L.P.
Cusco
Estudiantes L.P.
Union Santa Fe
Estudiantes L.P.
Central Cordoba de Santiago
Estudiantes L.P.
Lanus
Estudiantes L.P.
Velez Sarsfield
Estudiantes L.P.
Sarmiento Junin
Estudiantes L.P.
Deportivo Riestra
Estudiantes L.P.
Boca Juniors
Estudiantes L.P.
Ituzaingó
Independiente
Union Santa Fe
Independiente
Rosario Central
Independiente
San Lorenzo
Independiente
Deportivo Riestra
Independiente
Boca Juniors
Independiente
Instituto Cordoba
Independiente
Gimnasia M.
Independiente
Independ. Rivadavia
Independiente
Platense
Independiente
Newells Old Boys